PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Promitheas vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-78
13-16 26-20 20-19 20-23
Position#13
Record7-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#2
Record8-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game72.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4· Dimitris Tofalos Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Promitheas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PromitheasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPromitheas
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
no box
H20/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#33
W
80-79
80
79
+1
73avg 78
H23/01
Champions League
Lavrio
#13
L
84-89
84
89
-5
76avg 78
A27/01
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
81-90
81
90
-9
68avg 78
A30/01
Champions League
Olympiacos
#3
L
57-81
57
81
-24
47avg 78
H04/02
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
74-65
74
65
+9
69avg 78
A06/02
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
84-56
84
56
+28
84avg 78
A10/02
Basket League
Panionios
#2
W
88-48
88
48
+40
90avg 78
H16/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
70avg 78
A17/02
Greek Cup
Aris
#8
W
70-57
70
57
+13
62avg 78
H02/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-11
15-18
21-19
24-22
20-18
15-22
27-18
18-21
23-26
18-25
16-23
27-15
18-26
16-20
12-19
35-25
11-21
17-18
17-24
12-18
13-17
12-10
25-18
24-20
16-11
20-8
22-18
26-19
30-16
21-13
22-6
15-13
15-23
21-17
19-30
22-21
20-14
17-15
19-12
14-16
150.7Avg total
77.0Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.677.7161.4+5.964%
Season at home (5)86.474.0160.4+12.480%
Season away (6)81.380.8162.2+0.550%
Last 10 (10)77.073.7150.7+3.350%
Last 5 (5)78.663.4142.0+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)66.883.0149.8-16.20%
vs Similar (9)75.378.2153.6-2.933%
vs Weaker (17)91.877.5169.3+14.282%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
73-61
73
61
+12
61avg 72
H14/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
74avg 72
A20/01
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
78-61
78
61
+17
73avg 72
H23/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
L
73-75
73
75
-2
67avg 72
A27/01
ACB
Promitheas
#13
W
90-81
90
81
+9
76avg 72
H30/01
Champions League
Bilbao
#13
W
96-76
96
76
+20
88avg 72
H03/02
ACB
AEK Athens
#33
W
84-79
84
79
+5
81avg 72
A06/02
Champions League
Granada
#17
W
91-78
91
78
+13
88avg 72
H11/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
66avg 72
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Manresa
#9
W
88-83
88
83
+5
74avg 72
A02/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
17-10
16-25
21-10
16-27
28-17
19-30
17-17
13-11
31-17
16-16
18-17
18-17
11-19
24-16
20-23
26-18
20-16
19-12
25-35
18-19
32-13
26-18
20-26
27-25
15-14
20-21
22-19
24-12
22-20
28-18
17-28
17-25
17-19
22-19
23-21
21-24
26-14
21-25
20-20
160.1Avg total
83.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.472.0157.4+13.489%
Season at home (5)88.470.6159.0+17.8100%
Season away (4)81.873.8155.5+8.075%
Last 10 (10)83.276.9160.1+6.370%
Last 5 (5)87.680.0167.6+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.785.0161.7-8.333%
vs Similar (8)81.981.0162.9+0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.874.2159.0+10.778%
This opponent (Promitheas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
PromitheasMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PromitheasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H20/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#33
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H23/01
Champions League
Lavrio
#13
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A27/01
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A30/01
Champions League
Olympiacos
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H04/02
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A06/02
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A10/02
Basket League
Panionios
#2
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H16/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/02
Greek Cup
Aris
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H02/03
Basket League
69.7Avg total
34.8Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.179.7+3.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.934.678.5+9.360%-
Last 30 away (15)39.341.781.0-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)34.834.969.7-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.028.865.8+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)33.042.575.5-9.50%-
vs Similar (9)33.838.272.0-4.40%-
vs Weaker (17)47.837.184.8+10.782%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H14/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A20/01
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H23/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A27/01
ACB
Promitheas
#13
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H30/01
Champions League
Bilbao
#13
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H03/02
ACB
AEK Athens
#33
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A06/02
Champions League
Granada
#17
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H11/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Manresa
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A02/03
ACB
77.1Avg total
41.8Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.277.7+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.734.275.9+7.579%-
Last 30 away (16)39.339.979.2-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.835.377.1+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)43.837.080.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.337.370.7-4.033%-
vs Similar (8)39.240.880.0-1.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.535.377.8+7.283%-
This opponent (Promitheas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Promitheastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Promitheas: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.115.9
51.1%
51.4%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.6
36.9%
34.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
74.5%14.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.7
55.2%
51.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.5
34.4%
34.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.515.3
74.6%
74.5%15.3
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Promitheas
WLWWWLLLWL
Murcia
WLWWWWLWLW
#13
League position
#2
+8.3
Net rating
+8.4
108.2
Offensive rating
109.4
99.9
Defensive rating
101.0
53.2%
Effective FG%
53.8%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
20.5%
Turnover %
19.0%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.9%
3-point %
34.4%
63.4%
Assist %
58.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 109.4Defence99.9 · 101.0Shooting53.2% · 53.8%3-point %36.9% · 34.4%Ball care20.5% · 19.0%Off. rebounds32.3% · 31.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Promitheas   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Promitheas wins
1
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
30/01/24Murcia v Promitheas90-81
Promitheaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HAris70-57
17/02/24AOlympiacos77-91
16/02/24HPanionios88-48
10/02/24AApollon Patras84-56
06/02/24AHapoel Holon74-65
04/02/24HOlympiacos57-81
30/01/24AMurcia81-90
27/01/24ALavrio84-89
23/01/24HAEK Athens80-79
20/01/24HPeristeri75-81 OT
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AManresa88-83
15/02/24AReal Madrid79-84
11/02/24HGranada91-78
06/02/24AAEK Athens84-79
03/02/24HBilbao96-76
30/01/24HPromitheas90-81
27/01/24ATenerife73-75
23/01/24HHapoel Holon78-61
20/01/24AGran Canaria80-91
14/01/24HReal Madrid73-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Promitheas
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game83.686.481.3
Allowed / game77.774.080.8
Point differential+5.9+12.4+0.5
Avg total161.4160.4162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %18%20%17%
Murcia
Champions League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game85.488.481.8
Allowed / game72.070.673.8
Point differential+13.4+17.8+8.0
Avg total157.4159.0155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia98189%85.472.0+13.4
2 Hapoel Jerusalem98189%84.272.2+12.0
3 Unicaja97278%82.772.9+9.8
4 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
5 Dijon96367%85.177.2+7.9
6 Tenerife96367%82.977.0+5.9
7 Bonn96367%82.076.2+5.8
8 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
9 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
10 Promitheas117464%83.677.7+5.9
11 Tortona85362%82.481.2+1.1
12 Cholet159660%82.783.2-0.5
13 Ludwigsburg127558%83.179.2+3.8
14 Strasbourg127558%80.480.6-0.2
15 AEK Athens95456%83.878.2+5.6
16 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
17 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
18 Rytas84450%85.181.0+4.1
19 Tofas126650%87.183.7+3.4
20 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
21 Karsiyaka126650%83.983.8+0.2
22 Hapoel Holon126650%73.974.1-0.2
23 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
24 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
25 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
26 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
27 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
28 Galatasaray115645%84.485.1-0.7
29 Peristeri115645%80.684.0-3.4
30 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
31 Breogan94544%78.178.6-0.4
32 Oostende94544%75.079.8-4.8
33 Darussafaka94544%78.683.7-5.1
34 PAOK94544%75.282.7-7.4
35 Le Mans83538%77.979.0-1.1
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Sassari93633%85.689.2-3.7
38 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
39 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
40 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Promitheas1326202079
Murcia1620192378
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.