PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Murcia vs Promitheas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 90-81
26-18 20-16 19-12 25-35
Position#2
Record6-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game69.7
Murcia 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record6-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game77.8
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 2· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Promitheas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Tortona
#8
W
87-75
87
75
+12
76avg 71
H13/12
Champions League
Breogan
#16
W
83-74
83
74
+9
79avg 71
A17/12
ACB
Tofas
#34
W
90-75
90
75
+15
92avg 71
A20/12
Champions League
Unicaja
#2
L
65-88
65
88
-23
54avg 71
H22/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
87-79
87
79
+8
80avg 71
A29/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
73-98
73
98
-25
60avg 71
A06/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
73-61
73
61
+12
61avg 71
H14/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
74avg 71
A20/01
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
78-61
78
61
+17
73avg 71
H23/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
L
73-75
73
75
-2
67avg 71
A27/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
23-18
26-27
21-18
31-16
15-18
14-18
23-22
23-17
25-28
26-11
16-19
11-20
16-24
18-25
20-19
13-19
26-21
21-23
27-16
25-21
16-32
17-25
15-20
19-16
17-10
16-25
21-10
16-27
28-17
19-30
17-17
13-11
31-17
16-16
18-17
18-17
11-19
24-16
20-23
156.6Avg total
78.9Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.069.7154.7+15.386%
Season at home (4)88.068.0156.0+20.0100%
Season away (3)81.072.0153.0+9.067%
Last 10 (10)78.977.7156.6+1.260%
Last 5 (5)75.477.2152.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.885.2157.0-13.525%
vs Similar (10)80.276.4156.6+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.774.8159.5+9.973%
This opponent (Promitheas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPromitheas
Date
Competition
Opava
#51
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
93avg 80
A19/12
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
54-69
54
69
-15
no box
H24/12
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
80-73
80
73
+7
71avg 80
H30/12
Basket League
Le Mans
#35
W
78-68
78
68
+10
73avg 80
A03/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
72-101
72
101
-29
61avg 80
A06/01
Basket League
Le Mans
#35
W
91-78
91
78
+13
86avg 80
H09/01
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
95-70
95
70
+25
93avg 80
A13/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
no box
H20/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#33
W
80-79
80
79
+1
73avg 80
H23/01
Champions League
Lavrio
#13
L
84-89
84
89
-5
76avg 80
A27/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
27-27
24-26
15-14
15-18
16-16
13-20
10-15
20-16
20-17
20-18
20-22
21-14
18-16
23-15
16-23
11-27
27-27
17-23
17-24
30-12
18-17
27-25
16-24
19-20
26-11
20-15
30-24
10-11
15-18
21-19
24-22
20-18
15-22
27-18
18-21
23-26
18-25
16-23
27-15
161.4Avg total
80.9Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.077.8162.8+7.267%
Season at home (5)86.474.0160.4+12.480%
Season away (4)83.282.5165.8+0.850%
Last 10 (10)80.980.5161.4+0.460%
Last 5 (5)85.079.4164.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)62.080.3142.3-18.30%
vs Similar (11)76.976.8153.7+0.136%
vs Weaker (16)93.882.0175.8+11.881%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.1-1.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.1-1.1
MurciaPromitheas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#8
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H13/12
Champions League
Breogan
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A17/12
ACB
Tofas
#34
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/12
Champions League
Unicaja
#2
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H22/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A29/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A06/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H14/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A20/01
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H23/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A27/01
ACB
77.4Avg total
39.4Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.236.875.1+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.433.872.2+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)38.139.977.9-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.077.4+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.476.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.538.269.8-6.825%-
vs Similar (10)36.437.373.7-0.940%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.335.977.2+5.573%-
This opponent (Promitheas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Opava
#51
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A19/12
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H24/12
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H30/12
Basket League
Le Mans
#35
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A03/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A06/01
Basket League
Le Mans
#35
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H09/01
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A13/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H20/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#33
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H23/01
Champions League
Lavrio
#13
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A27/01
Basket League
77.6Avg total
39.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.081.8+3.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.834.078.8+10.867%-
Last 30 away (15)40.943.984.8-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.277.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.836.074.8+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.042.775.7-9.70%-
vs Similar (11)36.338.574.8-2.318%-
vs Weaker (16)49.238.687.8+10.681%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.6
50.3%
51.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.2
36.4%
34.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.212.9
75.0%
74.5%12.9
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Promitheastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Promitheas: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.516.1
51.1%
51.4%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.2
38.2%
34.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws20.713.4
64.7%
74.5%13.4
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LWLWLWLWWW
Promitheas
LWLWWLWWLW
#2
League position
#13
+0.8
Net rating
+1.0
106.0
Offensive rating
108.5
105.2
Defensive rating
107.6
52.0%
Effective FG%
54.1%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
18.4%
Turnover %
19.7%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.4%
3-point %
38.2%
60.4%
Assist %
63.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 108.5Defence105.2 · 107.6Shooting52.0% · 54.1%3-point %36.4% · 38.2%Ball care18.4% · 19.7%Off. rebounds29.8% · 31.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Murcia   ■ Promitheas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murcia wins
0
Promitheas wins
No previous meetings.
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24ATenerife73-75
23/01/24HHapoel Holon78-61
20/01/24AGran Canaria80-91
14/01/24HReal Madrid73-61
06/01/24AMoraBanc Andorra73-98
29/12/23AObradoiro CAB87-79
22/12/23HUnicaja65-88
20/12/23ATofas90-75
17/12/23ABreogan83-74
13/12/23HTortona87-75
Promitheaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24ALavrio84-89
23/01/24HAEK Athens80-79
20/01/24HPeristeri75-81 OT
13/01/24AMaroussi95-70
09/01/24HLe Mans91-78
06/01/24AAS Karditsas72-101
03/01/24ALe Mans78-68
30/12/23HPAOK80-73
24/12/23HPanathinaikos54-69
19/12/23AOpava100-97 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game85.088.081.0
Allowed / game69.768.072.0
Point differential+15.3+20.0+9.0
Avg total154.7156.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Promitheas
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game85.086.483.2
Allowed / game77.874.082.5
Point differential+7.2+12.4+0.8
Avg total162.8160.4165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %22%20%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia76186%85.069.7+15.3
2 Hapoel Jerusalem76186%84.373.6+10.7
3 Dijon86275%88.077.9+10.1
4 Unicaja75271%82.773.1+9.6
5 Tenerife75271%85.177.1+8.0
6 Strasbourg107370%82.479.5+2.9
7 Cholet139469%84.282.9+1.3
8 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
9 Promitheas96367%85.077.8+7.2
10 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
11 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
12 AEK Athens85362%84.477.5+6.9
13 Bonn85362%83.278.0+5.2
14 Tortona85362%82.481.2+1.1
15 Peristeri95456%81.282.4-1.2
16 Ludwigsburg116555%81.579.2+2.4
17 Hapoel Holon116555%74.774.1+0.6
18 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
19 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
20 Rytas84450%85.181.0+4.1
21 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
22 Galatasaray105550%84.883.6+1.2
23 Karsiyaka105550%84.083.4+0.6
24 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
25 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
26 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
27 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
28 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
29 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
30 Breogan94544%78.178.6-0.4
31 Oostende94544%75.079.8-4.8
32 Darussafaka94544%78.683.7-5.1
33 PAOK94544%75.282.7-7.4
34 Tofas104640%86.886.2+0.6
35 Le Mans83538%77.979.0-1.1
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Sassari93633%85.689.2-3.7
38 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
39 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
40 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia2620192590
Promitheas1816123581
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.