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Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 86-85
25-18 23-19 15-29 23-19
Position#2
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game64.8
vs
Position#9
Record3-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game80.7
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 7· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Panathinaikos v AEK Athens
24 Jan 2027
PAO v AAT
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
PAO103
AAT78
21 Oct 2024
PAO94
AAT74
15 Feb 2024
PAO79
AAT72
20 Nov 2023
PAO86
AAT85
11 Dec 2022
PAO71
AAT57
13 Nov 2021
PAO100
AAT75
23 May 2021
PAO94
AAT83
19 May 2021
PAO78
AAT72
10 Jan 2021
PAO80
AAT75
28 Sep 2019
PAO89
AAT68
23 Dec 2018
PAO111
AAT79
11 May 2018
PAO115
AAT85
18 May 2017
PAO81
AAT72
11 May 2017
PAO80
AAT70
11 Dec 2016
PAO77
AAT68
26 Oct 2014
PAO92
AAT58
06 Apr 2011
PAO111
AAT70
25 Apr 2010
PAO91
AAT62
11 Jan 2009
PAO86
AAT82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
73avg 74
H20/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
111-75
111
75
+36
113avg 74
H23/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#9
W
95-81
95
81
+14
88avg 74
H27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
W
66-54
66
54
+12
57avg 74
A30/10
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 74
A03/11
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
112-60
112
60
+52
112avg 74
H06/11
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
99-85
99
85
+14
102avg 74
A10/11
Euroleague
Aris
#8
W
75-65
75
65
+10
71avg 74
A12/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
73-71
73
71
+2
63avg 74
H15/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
86avg 74
H17/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
9-19
25-18
23-15
31-20
25-25
30-9
25-21
24-22
24-21
22-23
25-15
11-12
17-19
17-12
21-11
20-21
13-24
14-26
25-9
33-12
29-15
27-15
23-18
27-26
33-21
22-23
17-15
14-15
18-18
23-11
20-21
13-15
23-24
17-13
20-19
21-15
24-27
17-21
28-13
160.7Avg total
87.4Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.364.8150.2+20.5100%
Season at home (3)101.768.7170.3+33.0100%
Season away (3)69.061.0130.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.473.3160.7+14.180%
Last 5 (5)89.871.4161.2+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)59.372.3131.7-13.017%
vs Similar (4)71.276.2147.5-5.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.172.0157.1+13.080%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
L
99-113 OT
99
113
-14
no box
H27/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
93-98
93
98
-5
86avg 73
H07/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
66avg 73
A15/10
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 73
H17/10
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
100-70
100
70
+30
104avg 73
H21/10
Basket League
Sassari
#37
W
83-79
83
79
+4
84avg 73
A25/10
Champions League
Aris
#8
L
64-75
64
75
-11
50avg 73
A29/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
103-88
103
88
+15
104avg 73
H04/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
86-77
86
77
+9
83avg 73
A08/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
93-74
93
74
+19
96avg 73
H13/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
14-36
27-21
19-12
26-28
13-24
25-24
29-22
12-16
21-20
21-23
17-20
24-25
20-18
17-18
23-18
31-16
17-25
26-18
26-11
20-33
12-13
26-15
25-18
15-22
9-9
20-21
20-23
34-26
25-15
27-20
17-27
19-19
21-17
22-16
24-25
27-26
24-21
24-11
18-16
170.8Avg total
87.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.380.7168.0+6.750%
Season at home (4)97.282.5179.8+14.875%
Season away (2)67.577.0144.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)87.683.2170.8+4.460%
Last 5 (5)85.878.6164.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.981.5156.5-6.636%
vs Similar (12)78.677.4156.0+1.258%
vs Weaker (7)90.681.7172.3+8.971%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +7.0+7.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +7.0+7.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
PanathinaikosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H20/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H23/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A30/10
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A03/11
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
62-27
62
27
+35
H06/11
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A10/11
Euroleague
Aris
#8
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H15/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H17/11
Euroleague
81.5Avg total
42.4Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.675.3+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.937.680.5+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)32.537.670.1-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)42.439.181.5+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)47.037.684.6+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.339.368.7-10.017%-
vs Similar (4)33.038.871.8-5.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.136.978.0+4.360%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H27/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H07/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/10
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H17/10
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H21/10
Basket League
Sassari
#37
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A25/10
Champions League
Aris
#8
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A29/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H04/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A08/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H13/11
Basket League
83.8Avg total
41.1Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.879.7-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.241.884.1+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)35.139.774.8-4.614%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.783.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.281.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.740.676.4-4.918%-
vs Similar (12)39.939.879.8+0.133%-
vs Weaker (7)42.142.985.0-0.757%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.2
55.2%
52.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.1
38.7%
33.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.216.5
74.3%
71.5%16.5
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.2
54.0%
52.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.6
35.0%
33.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws23.716.8
70.9%
71.5%16.8
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWWLWWWL
AEK Athens
WWWLWWWLLL
#2
League position
#9
+19.9
Net rating
+5.9
119.5
Offensive rating
111.8
99.6
Defensive rating
105.9
56.4%
Effective FG%
53.5%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.0%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
38.7%
3-point %
35.0%
61.4%
Assist %
65.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence119.5 · 111.8Defence99.6 · 105.9Shooting56.4% · 53.5%3-point %38.7% · 35.0%Ball care16.5% · 18.0%Off. rebounds33.1% · 32.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Panathinaikos wins
2
AEK Athens wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23HVirtus Bologna90-76
15/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas73-71
12/11/23AAris75-65
10/11/23AAlba Berlin99-85
06/11/23HApollon Patras112-60
03/11/23ABarcelona72-80
30/10/23AOlympiacos66-54
27/10/23HBaskonia95-81
23/10/23HLavrio111-75
20/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv81-86 OT
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/23HKolossos Rhodes93-74
08/11/23ASzczecin86-77
04/11/23HAS Karditsas103-88
29/10/23AAris64-75
25/10/23ASassari83-79
21/10/23HApollon Patras100-70
17/10/23HLudwigsburg84-79
15/10/23AOlympiacos71-79
07/10/23HLavrio93-98
27/04/23HPeristeri99-113 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.3101.769.0
Allowed / game64.868.761.0
Point differential+20.5+33.0+8.0
Avg total150.2170.3130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game87.397.267.5
Allowed / game80.782.577.0
Point differential+6.7+14.8-9.5
Avg total168.0179.8144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos660100%85.364.8+20.5
2 LCC W550100%86.866.4+20.4
3 Olympiacos76186%85.169.9+15.3
4 Kibirkstis Vilnius W43175%96.574.0+22.5
5 Promitheas75271%92.179.4+12.7
6 Peristeri74357%80.974.1+6.7
7 Aris74357%74.673.0+1.6
8 PAOK74357%73.975.3-1.4
9 Klaipedos Neptunas W42250%77.265.8+11.5
10 AEK Athens63350%87.380.7+6.7
11 Aistes LSU Kaunas W42250%59.071.2-12.2
12 Kolossos Rhodes73443%78.784.4-5.7
13 Lavrio73443%83.791.1-7.4
14 Maroussi72529%83.194.7-11.6
15 Apollon Patras71614%66.188.6-22.4
16 AS Karditsas7070%71.182.1-11.0
17 Siauliai W3030%67.084.3-17.3
18 Panevezys W4040%56.290.5-34.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2523152386
AEK Athens1819291985
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