PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Olympiacos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 103-78
23-21 21-22 28-21 31-14
Position#1
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#5
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 1
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Olympiacos v AEK Athens
14 Feb 2027
OLY v AAT
upcoming
28 May 2026
OLY94
AAT77
07 Dec 2025
OLY100
AAT93
04 May 2025
OLY87
AAT85
26 Jan 2025
OLY89
AAT70
15 May 2024
OLY92
AAT75
15 Oct 2023
OLY79
AAT71
08 Jan 2023
OLY111
AAT71
18 Feb 2022
OLY76
AAT70
03 Oct 2021
OLY103
AAT78
06 Jan 2019
OLY101
AAT75
01 Apr 2018
OLY100
AAT86
17 Feb 2018
OLY83
AAT88
26 Nov 2016
OLY78
AAT67
19 Feb 2015
OLY83
AAT77
31 Oct 2010
OLY82
AAT50
11 Apr 2010
OLY84
AAT53
19 Nov 2008
OLY81
AAT66
16 Nov 2008
OLY101
AAT84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H05/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
75-61
75
61
+14
73avg 71
H12/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
84-80
84
80
+4
82avg 71
A18/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
63avg 71
H26/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
88-79
88
79
+9
90avg 71
A31/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
63-72
63
72
-9
55avg 71
A02/04
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#18
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
H09/04
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#20
W
94-67
94
67
+27
no box
A18/09
Greek Cup
Iraklis
#11
W
90-55
90
55
+35
no box
A22/09
Greek Cup
Baskonia
#15
W
75-50
75
50
+25
68avg 71
H01/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
23-29
22-19
19-12
15-28
15-13
24-15
21-5
16-18
21-24
25-20
22-18
11-20
16-23
22-15
22-18
23-19
21-12
30-10
14-38
11-20
15-16
12-17
25-19
24-18
18-23
21-14
19-20
28-26
25-16
13-6
28-19
25-15
21-12
20-15
24-13
28-13
19-9
16-20
12-8
151.0Avg total
81.6Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.669.4151.0+12.280%
Last 5 (5)80.863.8144.6+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.483.2155.6-10.912%
vs Similar (15)79.580.3159.9-0.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.871.0158.8+16.8100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
72-78
72
78
-6
no box
A19/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
W
92-80
92
80
+12
93avg 74
H21/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
83-94
83
94
-11
85avg 74
A23/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
71-78
71
78
-7
62avg 74
H26/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
73-77
73
77
-4
55avg 74
A02/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
113-101
113
101
+12
no box
H04/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
no box
A06/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
95-72
95
72
+23
86avg 74
H09/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#2
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
A25/09
Super Cup
Lavrio
#4
W
86-67
86
67
+19
no box
A26/09
Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
24-30
19-17
15-16
22-26
17-21
25-18
28-15
10-20
27-30
23-19
23-25
15-19
25-19
15-11
16-29
18-19
14-21
23-21
18-16
27-22
29-29
18-13
39-37
16-19
26-21
22-20
17-20
24-12
29-26
16-21
26-13
17-20
22-22
18-31
14-15
27-17
23-11
19-20
17-19
165.2Avg total
83.7Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.781.5165.2+2.250%
Last 5 (5)89.281.6170.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.985.7164.6-6.929%
vs Similar (11)81.481.5162.9-0.245%
vs Weaker (11)85.878.0163.8+7.873%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
OlympiacosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H05/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H12/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A18/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H26/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A31/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A02/04
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H09/04
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#20
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A18/09
Greek Cup
Iraklis
#11
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A22/09
Greek Cup
Baskonia
#15
W
47-22
47
22
+25
H01/10
Euroleague
77.8Avg total
40.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.678.2-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.140.175.2-5.121%-
Last 30 away (16)39.841.080.8-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.537.377.8+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.833.676.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.443.476.8-10.012%-
vs Similar (15)35.439.775.1-4.313%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.038.884.8+7.283%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A19/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H21/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A23/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H26/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A02/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H04/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A06/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H09/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A25/09
Super Cup
Lavrio
#4
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A26/09
Super Cup
84.5Avg total
42.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.780.3+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.139.183.1+5.071%-
Last 30 away (16)37.540.377.8-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.984.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)48.039.887.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.444.381.7-6.914%-
vs Similar (11)41.539.881.3+1.664%-
vs Weaker (11)42.037.279.2+4.864%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.8
57.1%
51.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.4
31.0%
34.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.811.8
74.7%
72.2%11.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.9
55.4%
51.3%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.6
36.0%
34.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.314.5
79.2%
72.2%14.5
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WWWWLWLWWW
AEK Athens
WLWWWLLLWL
#1
League position
#5
+5.3
Net rating
+2.6
106.3
Offensive rating
112.2
101.0
Defensive rating
109.6
52.4%
Effective FG%
54.8%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
18.3%
Turnover %
18.8%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.0%
3-point %
36.0%
68.4%
Assist %
59.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 112.2Defence101.0 · 109.6Shooting52.4% · 54.8%3-point %31.0% · 36.0%Ball care18.3% · 18.8%Off. rebounds29.4% · 30.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Olympiacos   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olympiacos wins
2
AEK Athens wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/21HBaskonia75-50
22/09/21AIraklis90-55
18/09/21AKolossos Rhodes94-67
09/04/21HKhimki M.82-75
02/04/21AReal Madrid63-72
31/03/21AValencia88-79
26/03/21HFenerbahce71-76
18/03/21AAlba Berlin84-80
12/03/21HZenit Petersburg75-61
05/03/21HCrvena zvezda94-79
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/21ALavrio86-67
25/09/21APromitheas71-88
09/06/21HPromitheas95-72
06/06/21APromitheas81-80
04/06/21HPromitheas113-101
02/06/21APromitheas73-77
26/05/21HPanathinaikos71-78
23/05/21APanathinaikos83-94
21/05/21HPanathinaikos92-80
19/05/21APanathinaikos72-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
AEK Athens
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lavrio110100%89.073.0+16.0
2 Promitheas110100%88.081.0+7.0
3 Larisa110100%81.077.0+4.0
4 Kolossos Rhodes1010%77.081.0-4.0
5 Peristeri1010%81.088.0-7.0
6 PAOK1010%73.089.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos23212831103
AEK Athens2122211478
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.