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AEK Larnaca vs AEL Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 89-70
20-18 28-27 26-14 15-11
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game70.3
vs
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game71.6
CyprusDivision ARound 6· Kition Athletic Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v AEL
02 Jan 2027
ALA v AEL
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
ALA78
AEL71
11 Oct 2025
ALA88
AEL72
01 Dec 2024
ALA89
AEL70
20 Mar 2024
ALA93
AEL81
21 Dec 2022
ALA118
AEL103
05 Mar 2022
ALA84
AEL65
23 Dec 2020
ALA87
AEL58
25 Oct 2019
ALA84
AEL77
20 Mar 2019
ALA93
AEL57
03 Nov 2018
ALA82
AEL76
13 Feb 2015
ALA20
AEL0
06 Dec 2014
ALA20
AEL0
24 Jan 2014
ALA100
AEL52
06 Dec 2013
ALA93
AEL48
25 Jan 2013
ALA86
AEL38
23 Dec 2012
ALA81
AEL67
27 Nov 2011
ALA88
AEL82
22 Jan 2011
ALA92
AEL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEL winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
69avg 84
H30/05
Division A
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
L
59-89
59
89
-30
41avg 84
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#4
L
69-96
69
96
-27
54avg 84
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Achilleas K.
#9
W
93-69
93
69
+24
94avg 84
A19/10
Division A
Keravnos
#34
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 84
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
L
63-72
63
72
-9
52avg 84
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
80-61
80
61
+19
80avg 84
H03/11
Division A
Tofas
#4
L
61-93
61
93
-32
53avg 84
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#2
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 84
A10/11
Division A
Keravnos
#34
W
92-91
92
91
+1
89avg 84
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
22-20
15-17
23-24
21-12
11-20
15-29
12-28
20-27
16-25
20-23
13-21
22-14
28-19
26-15
17-21
18-16
20-21
22-17
22-19
14-20
17-23
20-10
12-19
18-20
12-11
23-11
27-19
13-28
26-18
12-23
10-24
31-19
16-23
25-16
24-23
28-27
29-30
17-19
18-15
158.1Avg total
77.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.770.3160.0+19.3100%
Season at home (1)80.061.0141.0+19.0100%
Season away (2)94.575.0169.5+19.5100%
Last 10 (10)77.280.9158.1-3.750%
Last 5 (5)78.479.6158.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.085.7156.7-14.733%
vs Similar (10)77.777.8155.5-0.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)97.469.8167.2+27.6100%
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#3
L
65-80
65
80
-15
68avg 73
A31/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
63-99
63
99
-36
50avg 73
H05/04
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
99-74
99
74
+25
103avg 73
A08/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
65avg 73
A18/04
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
61-75
61
75
-14
40avg 73
H22/04
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
105-79
105
79
+26
104avg 73
H11/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
84-57
84
57
+27
90avg 73
A18/10
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
99-67
99
67
+32
104avg 73
H26/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
88-96
88
96
-8
85avg 73
A04/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
88-59
88
59
+29
85avg 73
H10/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
12-18
21-15
15-19
19-22
16-33
18-22
10-22
25-19
21-15
34-18
19-22
13-23
15-17
26-21
15-13
17-19
13-20
14-19
17-17
31-23
21-21
23-22
30-13
21-14
20-25
29-7
14-11
28-20
27-11
27-19
17-17
21-22
21-30
22-23
24-21
24-20
16-17
21-10
27-12
158.1Avg total
82.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)92.871.6164.4+21.280%
Season at home (3)97.368.3165.7+29.0100%
Season away (2)86.076.5162.5+9.550%
Last 10 (10)82.176.0158.1+6.150%
Last 5 (5)92.871.6164.4+21.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.185.4158.6-12.311%
vs Similar (3)57.367.7125.0-10.30%
vs Weaker (18)87.868.1155.9+19.789%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
AEK LarnacaAEL
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H30/05
Division A
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#4
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Achilleas K.
#9
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A19/10
Division A
Keravnos
#34
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H03/11
Division A
Tofas
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A10/11
Division A
Keravnos
#34
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
81.5Avg total
39.9Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.682.2+5.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.338.181.4+5.256%-
Last 30 away (14)44.039.183.1+4.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.681.5-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.884.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.844.583.3-5.717%-
vs Similar (10)38.440.178.5-1.740%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)49.434.984.4+14.579%-
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#3
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A31/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H05/04
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A08/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A18/04
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H22/04
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H11/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A18/10
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H26/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A04/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H10/11
Division A
81.5Avg total
39.8Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.878.0+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.935.476.3+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)39.540.379.8-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)39.841.781.5-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)46.040.686.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.743.379.0-7.711%-
vs Similar (3)24.336.060.3-11.70%-
vs Weaker (18)45.135.480.5+9.783%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.717.7
46.9%
51.5%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.5
33.2%
34.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.415.3
78.9%
70.5%15.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.921.2
59.1%
51.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.7
33.4%
34.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.910.0
67.1%
70.5%10.0
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WWLWLWWLLL
AEL
WLWWWLLWLL
#1
League position
#3
-5.5
Net rating
+8.3
102.8
Offensive rating
109.2
108.3
Defensive rating
100.9
48.1%
Effective FG%
55.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.7%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.2%
3-point %
33.4%
62.6%
Assist %
68.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 109.2Defence108.3 · 100.9Shooting48.1% · 55.1%3-point %33.2% · 33.4%Ball care17.7% · 18.7%Off. rebounds30.2% · 31.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ AEL
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
AEK Larnaca wins
0
AEL wins
DateGameScore
05/04/24AEL v AEK Larnaca63-99
20/03/24AEK Larnaca v AEL93-81
09/10/23AEL v AEK Larnaca94-96 OT
05/03/23AEL v AEK Larnaca76-91
21/12/22AEK Larnaca v AEL118-103
05/03/22AEK Larnaca v AEL84-65
11/12/21AEL v AEK Larnaca62-95
23/12/20AEK Larnaca v AEL87-58
08/11/20AEL v AEK Larnaca60-73
18/12/19AEL v AEK Larnaca69-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24AKeravnos92-91
10/11/24AKeravnos96-81
06/11/24ATofas61-93
03/11/24HApoel BC80-61
30/10/24HBasketball Braunschweig63-72
23/10/24HKeravnos82-73
19/10/24AAchilleas K.93-69
16/10/24HTofas69-96
09/10/24ABasketball Braunschweig59-89
30/05/24HKeravnos77-84
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24HAchilleas K.88-59
04/11/24AAnorthosis88-96
26/10/24HParalimni99-67
18/10/24AETHA Engomi84-57
11/10/24HApollon105-79
22/04/24HKeravnos61-75
18/04/24AApoel BC69-74
08/04/24AApollon99-74
05/04/24HAEK Larnaca63-99
31/03/24AAnorthosis65-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.780.094.5
Allowed / game70.361.075.0
Point differential+19.3+19.0+19.5
Avg total160.0141.0169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEL
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game92.897.386.0
Allowed / game71.668.376.5
Point differential+21.2+29.0+9.5
Avg total164.4165.7162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca330100%89.770.3+19.3
2 AEL54180%92.871.6+21.2
3 Keravnos54180%92.481.6+10.8
4 Anorthosis54180%93.283.4+9.8
5 Apoel BC42250%79.879.0+0.8
6 Apollon52340%84.085.4-1.4
7 Paralimni52340%75.686.4-10.8
8 ETHA Engomi5050%76.490.6-14.2
9 Achilleas K.5050%63.691.2-27.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca2028261589
AEL1827141170
← all games of the day
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