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AEK Larnaca vs AEL Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 93-81
26-24 21-23 27-18 19-16
Position#2
Record16-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game69.5
AEK Larnaca 🏆
Cyprus
vs
AEL
Cyprus
Position#5
Record12-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game70.8
CyprusDivision ARound 22· Kition Athletic Center
Other2023-24
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v AEL
02 Jan 2027
ALA v AEL
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
ALA78
AEL71
11 Oct 2025
ALA88
AEL72
01 Dec 2024
ALA89
AEL70
20 Mar 2024
ALA93
AEL81
21 Dec 2022
ALA118
AEL103
05 Mar 2022
ALA84
AEL65
23 Dec 2020
ALA87
AEL58
25 Oct 2019
ALA84
AEL77
20 Mar 2019
ALA93
AEL57
03 Nov 2018
ALA82
AEL76
13 Feb 2015
ALA20
AEL0
06 Dec 2014
ALA20
AEL0
24 Jan 2014
ALA100
AEL52
06 Dec 2013
ALA93
AEL48
25 Jan 2013
ALA86
AEL38
23 Dec 2012
ALA81
AEL67
27 Nov 2011
ALA88
AEL82
22 Jan 2011
ALA92
AEL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEL winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#11
W
112-71
112
71
+41
120avg 82
H14/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
83-52
83
52
+31
82avg 82
A22/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
78-66
78
66
+12
72avg 82
H05/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
72-82
72
82
-10
65avg 82
A19/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
114-87
114
87
+27
115avg 82
H28/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
98-77
98
77
+21
99avg 82
A03/02
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
120-80
120
80
+40
121avg 82
H09/02
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
77avg 82
A14/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
90-55
90
55
+35
91avg 82
H04/03
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
114-28
114
28
+86
124avg 82
A13/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
22-16
31-13
29-19
24-10
17-11
30-15
12-16
20-11
20-16
18-23
20-16
24-24
19-25
17-17
12-16
33-14
28-21
29-25
24-27
25-19
28-19
28-21
17-18
35-25
28-22
34-14
23-19
15-27
24-16
28-17
16-27
14-17
24-10
28-14
24-14
29-3
27-11
33-2
25-12
164.9Avg total
96.4Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)89.969.5159.5+20.484%
Season at home (9)93.369.6162.9+23.8100%
Season away (10)86.969.5156.4+17.470%
Last 10 (10)96.468.5164.9+27.980%
Last 5 (5)101.065.4166.4+35.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.083.0153.0-13.033%
vs Similar (7)76.376.1152.4+0.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.571.2161.7+19.384%
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
L
57-67
57
67
-10
43avg 71
A13/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
74-90
74
90
-16
69avg 71
H22/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
no box
A05/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 71
H15/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
65avg 71
A20/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
62-71
62
71
-9
49avg 71
H29/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
86-42
86
42
+44
89avg 71
H12/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
73-64
73
64
+9
63avg 71
A28/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
71-55
71
55
+16
68avg 71
A03/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
46-62
46
62
-16
32avg 71
H16/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
10-17
17-18
14-21
21-21
22-28
14-24
17-17
28-13
28-26
11-23
19-24
26-14
27-16
27-19
18-15
28-23
20-22
21-15
17-21
14-16
19-17
12-22
17-16
27-12
32-12
10-8
17-10
23-11
21-17
17-18
12-18
22-17
23-19
17-5
9-14
12-18
7-22
9-15
18-7
144.3Avg total
74.7Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.470.8150.2+8.663%
Season at home (10)79.765.3145.0+14.460%
Season away (9)79.076.9155.9+2.167%
Last 10 (10)74.769.6144.3+5.150%
Last 5 (5)67.658.8126.4+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.086.9164.9-8.912%
vs Similar (6)65.781.3147.0-15.717%
vs Weaker (16)85.970.4156.2+15.581%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +7.0+7.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +11.5+11.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +7.0+7.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +11.5+11.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
AEK LarnacaAEL
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#11
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H14/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A22/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H05/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
61-35
61
35
+26
H28/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A03/02
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H09/02
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A14/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H04/03
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
56-14
56
14
+42
A13/03
Division A
82.6Avg total
48.6Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.535.577.9+7.067%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.035.779.7+8.377%-
Last 30 away (17)41.335.376.6+6.059%-
Last 10 (10)48.634.082.6+14.680%-
Last 5 (5)49.833.883.6+16.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.346.384.7-8.033%-
vs Similar (7)39.038.477.4+0.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.333.477.6+10.984%-
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A13/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H22/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A05/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H15/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H29/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
59-24
59
24
+35
H12/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A28/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A03/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
19-40
19
40
-21
H16/03
Division A
77.8Avg total
42.6Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.178.0+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.535.076.5+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.341.379.6-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)42.635.277.8+7.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.032.272.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.942.481.2-3.525%-
vs Similar (6)29.840.770.5-10.817%-
vs Weaker (16)44.235.179.2+9.175%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 95.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.426.7
60.1%
51.0%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.5
35.4%
32.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.516.7
81.5%
71.2%16.7
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.4
49.6%
51.0%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.8
33.3%
32.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.311.2
64.7%
71.2%11.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WWLWWWLWWW
AEL
LWWWLWWLLL
#2
League position
#5
+36.3
Net rating
+15.2
126.1
Offensive rating
102.0
89.8
Defensive rating
86.8
57.7%
Effective FG%
49.8%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
40.8%
13.9%
Turnover %
16.2%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.4%
3-point %
33.3%
61.9%
Assist %
65.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence126.1 · 102.0Defence89.8 · 86.8Shooting57.7% · 49.8%3-point %35.4% · 33.3%Ball care13.9% · 16.2%Off. rebounds35.1% · 25.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ AEL
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
AEK Larnaca wins
0
AEL wins
DateGameScore
09/10/23AEL v AEK Larnaca94-96 OT
05/03/23AEL v AEK Larnaca76-91
21/12/22AEK Larnaca v AEL118-103
05/03/22AEK Larnaca v AEL84-65
11/12/21AEL v AEK Larnaca62-95
23/12/20AEK Larnaca v AEL87-58
08/11/20AEL v AEK Larnaca60-73
18/12/19AEL v AEK Larnaca69-82
25/10/19AEK Larnaca v AEL84-77
20/03/19AEK Larnaca v AEL93-57
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24AParalimni114-28
04/03/24HApop Paphou90-55
14/02/24AKeravnos83-87
09/02/24HPAEEK120-80
03/02/24AApollon98-77
28/01/24HETHA Engomi114-87
19/01/24AAnorthosis72-82
05/01/24HApoel BC78-66
22/12/23AAchilleas K.83-52
14/12/23HParalimni112-71
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HApoel BC46-62
03/03/24AAchilleas K.71-55
28/02/24AApop Paphou73-64
12/02/24HParalimni86-42
29/01/24HKeravnos62-71
20/01/24APAEEK86-81
15/01/24HApollon98-64
05/01/24AETHA Engomi94-100 OT
22/12/23HAnorthosis74-90
13/12/23AApoel BC57-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW84%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %84%100%70%
Points / game89.993.386.9
Allowed / game69.569.669.5
Point differential+20.4+23.8+17.4
Avg total159.5162.9156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%89%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
AEL
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL63%
HomeLWLWL60%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %63%60%67%
Points / game79.479.779.0
Allowed / game70.865.376.9
Point differential+8.6+14.4+2.1
Avg total150.2145.0155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%60%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos2017385%86.269.3+16.9
2 AEK Larnaca1916384%89.969.5+20.4
3 Anorthosis1916384%87.268.2+19.0
4 Apoel BC2015575%77.667.8+9.8
5 AEL1912763%79.470.8+8.6
6 Apollon1971237%76.686.8-10.2
7 PAEEK1961332%80.190.5-10.4
8 ETHA Engomi2061430%75.283.0-7.7
9 Apop Paphou2051525%73.282.5-9.3
10 Achilleas K.2051525%66.578.5-12.0
11 Paralimni1921711%63.988.9-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca2621271993
AEL2423181681
← all games of the day
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