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Malvin vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 May 2025
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 76-83
18-15 24-24 20-20 14-24
Position#4
Record22-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
Position#2
Record26-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game81.5
UruguayLiga UruguayaLiga Uruguaya - Semi-finals· Malvin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Malvin v Aguada
02 May 2026
MALV84
AGUA94
07 Jan 2026
MALV89
AGUA72
08 May 2025
MALV76
AGUA83
29 Apr 2025
MALV87
AGUA83
05 Dec 2024
MALV67
AGUA81
02 May 2024
MALV81
AGUA83
30 Jan 2024
MALV77
AGUA87
18 Nov 2022
MALV73
AGUA68
26 Oct 2021
MALV71
AGUA83
23 Mar 2021
MALV95
AGUA71
08 Oct 2019
MALV62
AGUA90
20 May 2019
MALV80
AGUA69
10 May 2019
MALV80
AGUA83
09 Nov 2018
MALV73
AGUA94
24 May 2018
MALV69
AGUA86
18 May 2018
MALV70
AGUA75
11 May 2018
MALV73
AGUA64
09 Mar 2018
MALV76
AGUA81
03 Nov 2017
MALV69
AGUA62
10 Jan 2017
MALV77
AGUA85
31 Oct 2015
MALV101
AGUA91
13 Jan 2015
MALV82
AGUA69
21 Jan 2014
MALV92
AGUA98
06 Apr 2013
MALV87
AGUA77
27 Mar 2013
MALV85
AGUA86
18 Jan 2013
MALV99
AGUA84
08 Dec 2012
MALV74
AGUA82
09 Jan 2012
MALV78
AGUA54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
73-82 OT
73
82
-9
63avg 76
A28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
85-82
85
82
+3
85avg 76
A31/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
81-88
81
88
-7
68avg 76
H04/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
78-63
78
63
+15
68avg 76
A08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
90-75
90
75
+15
92avg 76
H14/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
75-79
75
79
-4
65avg 76
A16/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
105-76
105
76
+29
112avg 76
H22/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
99-96 OT
99
96
+3
92avg 76
A25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
87-83
87
83
+4
81avg 76
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
80-93
80
93
-13
70avg 76
A06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
14-13
24-21
16-17
23-18
32-22
11-16
19-26
23-28
17-23
26-15
15-22
19-24
20-20
18-5
21-14
20-12
25-17
21-21
24-25
25-14
14-25
20-28
16-12
24-24
34-26
19-17
28-9
26-26
12-17
22-29
30-18
18-23
23-22
19-23
27-15
21-21
22-23
17-23
20-26
167.0Avg total
85.3Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)81.877.8159.6+4.063%
Season at home (17)83.776.5160.2+7.271%
Season away (18)80.179.0159.1+1.156%
Last 10 (10)85.381.7167.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)89.285.4174.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)80.684.9165.5-4.250%
vs Similar (6)75.876.3152.2-0.533%
vs Weaker (16)85.376.6161.9+8.875%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
W
99-81
99
81
+18
100avg 87
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
85-78
85
78
+7
78avg 87
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
109-94
109
94
+15
119avg 87
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
83-75
83
75
+8
84avg 87
H30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
89-77
89
77
+12
92avg 87
H03/04
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
95-90
95
90
+5
85avg 87
A07/04
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
99-82
99
82
+17
96avg 87
H11/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
96-99 OT
96
99
-3
86avg 87
H25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
83-87
83
87
-4
74avg 87
A30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
93-80
93
80
+13
88avg 87
H06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
26-24
24-28
20-16
26-16
21-23
20-23
18-16
31-25
28-30
24-20
26-19
19-23
22-31
25-11
17-10
26-14
25-28
23-19
15-16
28-30
23-21
23-26
21-13
23-24
22-16
30-21
24-21
26-26
17-12
29-22
18-30
23-18
22-23
23-19
15-27
21-21
23-22
23-17
26-20
177.4Avg total
93.1Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)90.681.5172.1+9.179%
Season at home (19)92.281.2173.4+11.184%
Season away (14)88.481.9170.3+6.471%
Last 10 (10)93.184.3177.4+8.880%
Last 5 (5)93.287.6180.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)93.787.3181.0+6.367%
vs Similar (2)81.073.5154.5+7.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)92.181.2173.2+10.984%
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
MalvinAguada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A31/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H04/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H14/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A16/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H22/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A06/05
Liga Uruguaya
84.3Avg total
42.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.982.7+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.239.783.9+4.573%-
Last 30 away (15)41.340.181.5+1.233%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.684.3+1.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.844.288.0-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.044.284.2-4.212%-
vs Similar (6)40.333.874.2+6.583%-
vs Weaker (16)45.140.085.1+5.162%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H03/04
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A07/04
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H11/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H06/05
Liga Uruguaya
92.1Avg total
48.1Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.941.089.0+6.987%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.442.791.2+5.789%-
Last 30 away (12)47.238.585.7+8.783%-
Last 10 (10)48.144.092.1+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)45.642.688.2+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.338.092.3+16.3100%-
vs Similar (2)41.035.576.5+5.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)47.741.889.6+5.984%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.8
50.8%
51.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.5
34.3%
33.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.413.7
74.5%
71.7%13.7
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.322.2
59.5%
51.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.0
35.7%
33.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.815.9
80.3%
71.7%15.9
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malvin
LWWWLWWLWL
Aguada
WLLWWWWWWW
#4
League position
#2
+4.2
Net rating
+11.5
110.1
Offensive rating
115.6
106.0
Defensive rating
104.1
51.1%
Effective FG%
56.8%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.7%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.3%
3-point %
35.7%
57.1%
Assist %
63.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 115.6Defence106.0 · 104.1Shooting51.1% · 56.8%3-point %34.3% · 35.7%Ball care16.6% · 15.7%Off. rebounds33.2% · 24.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Malvin   ■ Aguada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Malvin wins
7
Aguada wins
DateGameScore
06/05/25Aguada v Malvin93-80
30/04/25Malvin v Aguada87-83
25/04/25Aguada v Malvin96-99 OT
11/03/25Aguada v Malvin85-90
07/02/25Aguada v Malvin71-70
05/12/24Malvin v Aguada67-81
08/05/24Aguada v Malvin100-95
02/05/24Malvin v Aguada81-83
30/04/24Aguada v Malvin91-67
30/01/24Malvin v Aguada77-87
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/25AAguada80-93
30/04/25HAguada87-83
25/04/25AAguada99-96 OT
22/04/25HCordon105-76
16/04/25ACordon75-79
14/04/25HCordon90-75
08/04/25ACordon78-63
04/04/25HCordon81-88
31/03/25ANacional85-82
28/03/25APenarol73-82 OT
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/25HMalvin93-80
30/04/25AMalvin83-87
25/04/25HMalvin96-99 OT
11/04/25HBigua99-82
07/04/25ABigua95-90
03/04/25HBigua89-77
30/03/25HDefensor83-75
27/03/25HCordon109-94
17/03/25APenarol85-78
13/03/25HNacional99-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL63%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWWLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %63%71%56%
Points / game81.883.780.1
Allowed / game77.876.579.0
Point differential+4.0+7.2+1.1
Avg total159.6160.2159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%47%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (2)71% (7)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW79%
HomeWWWLW84%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %79%84%71%
Points / game90.692.288.4
Allowed / game81.581.281.9
Point differential+9.1+11.1+6.4
Avg total172.1173.4170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%63%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)25% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %6%5%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional3328585%92.877.2+15.7
2 Aguada3326779%90.681.5+9.1
3 Penarol32221069%83.476.6+6.8
4 Malvin35221363%81.877.8+4.0
5 Defensor35161946%83.982.2+1.7
6 Bigua32141844%86.485.7+0.7
7 Hebraica y Macabi33141942%82.888.2-5.4
8 Urunday27111641%77.982.2-4.3
9 Cordon32131941%82.286.4-4.1
10 Urupan28101836%82.287.5-5.3
11 Remeros Mercedes31233%82.079.7+2.3
12 Welcome2891932%80.293.4-13.2
13 Trouville2742315%72.382.6-10.3
14 Ferro Carril2020%73.595.5-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malvin1824201476
Aguada1524202483
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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