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Aguada vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 94-98
18-21 17-29 25-25 34-23
Position#3
Record20-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Position#2
Record19-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game81.8
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2025-26
Meetings · Aguada v Nacional
28 May 2026
AGUA92
NACI91
21 May 2026
AGUA89
NACI109
25 Apr 2026
AGUA94
NACI98
20 Dec 2025
AGUA98
NACI94
30 May 2025
AGUA96
NACI97
25 May 2025
AGUA80
NACI72
19 May 2025
AGUA84
NACI75
13 Mar 2025
AGUA99
NACI81
13 Dec 2024
AGUA88
NACI90
21 May 2024
AGUA92
NACI87
14 May 2024
AGUA115
NACI101
23 Mar 2024
AGUA103
NACI89
18 Jan 2024
AGUA105
NACI111
12 Dec 2022
AGUA91
NACI71
19 Apr 2022
AGUA80
NACI65
06 Apr 2022
AGUA93
NACI72
17 Nov 2021
AGUA78
NACI58
10 Apr 2021
AGUA84
NACI80
12 Feb 2021
AGUA72
NACI85
01 Dec 2020
AGUA20
NACI0
24 Jan 2020
AGUA87
NACI67
03 May 2019
AGUA78
NACI86
25 Apr 2019
AGUA69
NACI75
11 Mar 2019
AGUA123
NACI117
18 Jan 2019
AGUA96
NACI90
04 May 2018
AGUA84
NACI77
26 Apr 2018
AGUA81
NACI91
19 Apr 2018
AGUA76
NACI81
26 Mar 2018
AGUA70
NACI68
10 Nov 2017
AGUA86
NACI78
16 Oct 2013
AGUA81
NACI61
28 Sep 2012
AGUA94
NACI86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Union Atletica
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
87avg 83
H13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 83
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
92-98
92
98
-6
80avg 83
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 83
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
97-77
97
77
+20
92avg 83
A16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
97-81
97
81
+16
94avg 83
H20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
88-64
88
64
+24
87avg 83
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
82-101
82
101
-19
96avg 83
A12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
102-100
102
100
+2
104avg 83
H15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
95-103
95
103
-8
88avg 83
A18/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
19-20
25-15
21-25
27-22
24-23
14-19
20-16
29-35
27-23
17-22
19-18
22-20
30-19
14-25
20-16
24-26
22-15
20-21
31-15
22-18
26-24
21-14
28-25
26-20
21-13
23-14
18-17
29-31
12-21
22-23
19-26
31-27
35-22
19-23
17-28
17-24
21-34
25-24
32-21
177.4Avg total
91.4Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)92.086.6178.6+5.569%
Season at home (15)94.982.5177.3+12.4100%
Season away (14)89.090.9179.9-1.936%
Last 10 (10)91.486.0177.4+5.470%
Last 5 (5)92.889.8182.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)80.491.7172.1-11.233%
vs Similar (3)96.387.3183.7+9.0100%
vs Weaker (15)91.181.6172.7+9.573%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Paisas
#8
W
96-75
96
75
+21
97avg 79
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
111-80
111
80
+31
113avg 79
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
88-90
88
90
-2
80avg 79
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
80-68
80
68
+12
72avg 79
A26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
71-69
71
69
+2
58avg 79
A30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
78-71
78
71
+7
72avg 79
A09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
101-82
101
82
+19
72avg 79
H12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Franca
#4
L
71-83
71
83
-12
61avg 79
H17/04
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
W
94-65
94
65
+29
44avg 79
H18/04
Champions League Americas
Penarol
#1
L
82-84
82
84
-2
76avg 79
H23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
22-19
30-17
22-22
34-13
27-23
28-29
22-15
27-20
16-27
22-24
23-19
20-17
20-17
21-21
19-13
21-14
18-18
18-20
14-17
17-20
25-17
20-16
16-18
31-29
21-12
23-22
26-19
16-29
22-17
21-18
12-19
23-16
31-10
22-17
18-22
20-23
19-20
15-21
28-20
163.9Avg total
87.2Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)91.181.8172.9+9.366%
Season at home (14)92.676.8169.4+15.979%
Season away (15)89.786.5176.1+3.253%
Last 10 (10)87.276.7163.9+10.570%
Last 5 (5)85.277.0162.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.379.0155.3-2.733%
vs Similar (1)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)91.579.3170.8+12.277%
This opponent (Aguada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
AguadaNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union Atletica
#6
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A18/04
Liga Uruguaya
94.2Avg total
48.9Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.944.790.6+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.542.689.1+3.969%-
Last 30 away (14)45.147.192.2-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)48.945.394.2+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)48.046.894.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.246.687.8-5.333%-
vs Similar (3)52.044.396.3+7.7100%-
vs Weaker (15)48.343.391.6+5.173%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paisas
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
61-36
61
36
+25
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Franca
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H17/04
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H18/04
Champions League Americas
Penarol
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H23/04
Liga Uruguaya
83.0Avg total
45.2Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.740.987.6+5.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.538.686.1+8.967%-
Last 30 away (15)45.843.389.1+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)45.237.883.0+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)45.038.683.6+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.740.077.7-2.333%-
vs Similar (1)38.046.084.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)48.040.888.9+7.265%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.8
53.7%
53.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.5
39.2%
33.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws22.417.9
79.9%
70.9%17.9
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.1
48.2%
53.3%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.1
33.1%
33.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.314.9
70.0%
70.9%14.9
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada
LWLWWWWLWW
Nacional
LWLWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#2
+5.9
Net rating
+7.1
101.1
Offensive rating
96.5
95.2
Defensive rating
89.4
55.8%
Effective FG%
48.8%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
13.3%
Turnover %
12.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.2%
3-point %
33.1%
65.3%
Assist %
61.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 96.5Defence95.2 · 89.4Shooting55.8% · 48.8%3-point %39.2% · 33.1%Ball care13.3% · 12.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Aguada   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Aguada wins
6
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
12/04/26Nacional v Aguada101-82
21/12/25Aguada v Nacional98-94
21/10/25Nacional v Aguada82-79
02/06/25Nacional v Aguada79-77
31/05/25Aguada v Nacional96-97
28/05/25Nacional v Aguada103-98
26/05/25Aguada v Nacional80-72
23/05/25Nacional v Aguada73-82
20/05/25Aguada v Nacional84-75
17/05/25Nacional v Aguada102-77
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26APenarol95-103
15/04/26HHebraica y Macabi102-100
12/04/26ANacional82-101
27/03/26HMalvin88-64
20/03/26HDefensor97-81
16/03/26AHebraica y Macabi97-77
10/03/26HPenarol86-80
19/02/26ADefensor92-98
16/02/26HHebraica y Macabi85-80
13/02/26HUnion Atletica90-76
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/26HPenarol82-84
18/04/26HFlamengo94-65
17/04/26HFranca71-83
12/04/26HAguada101-82
09/04/26APenarol78-71
30/03/26AMalvin71-69
26/03/26ADefensor80-68
24/03/26HMalvin88-90
19/03/26AHebraica y Macabi111-80
14/03/26HPaisas96-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL69%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %69%100%36%
Points / game92.094.989.0
Allowed / game86.682.590.9
Point differential+5.5+12.4-1.9
Avg total178.6177.3179.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%60%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL66%
HomeWWLWL79%
AwayLWWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %66%79%53%
Points / game91.192.689.7
Allowed / game81.876.886.5
Point differential+9.3+15.9+3.2
Avg total172.9169.4176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%71%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol3024680%87.975.9+11.9
2 Aguada2920969%92.086.6+5.5
3 Nacional29191066%91.181.8+9.3
4 Malvin30181260%80.681.5-0.9
5 Bigua28161257%89.087.2+1.7
6 Hebraica y Macabi30161453%84.584.6-0.2
7 Union Atletica28141450%83.582.6+0.9
8 Urunday27131448%89.385.3+4.0
9 Defensor30141647%85.285.2+0.0
10 Goes2791833%83.789.1-5.4
11 Cordon2852318%80.894.4-13.6
12 Welcome2842414%81.195.8-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada1817253494
Nacional2129252398
← all games of the day
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