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Colorado State vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 65-50
25-28 40-22
Position#14
Record18-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game67.4
vs
Position#130
Record16-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game57.6
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Colorado State v Fresno State
17 Jan 2027
COLO v FRES
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
COLO67
FRES63
24 Feb 2026
COLO74
FRES70
07 Jan 2025
COLO91
FRES64
08 Mar 2023
COLO67
FRES65
07 Jan 2023
COLO79
FRES57
11 Feb 2022
COLO65
FRES50
11 Mar 2021
COLO72
FRES62
30 Dec 2020
COLO81
FRES59
28 Dec 2020
COLO75
FRES53
22 Jan 2020
COLO86
FRES68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#52
L
49-79
49
79
-30
A08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#170
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H13/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
78-42
78
42
+36
A15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H20/01
NCAA
Air Force
#276
W
73-53
73
53
+20
A22/01
NCAA
Nevada
#257
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H26/01
NCAA
UNLV
#154
L
74-88
74
88
-14
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
78-84 OT
78
84
-6
A01/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H05/02
NCAA
Nevada
#257
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-36
17-43
33-24
44-48
35-17
43-25
37-32
43-42
31-17
42-36
27-34
50-32
25-43
49-45
35-34
35-36
23-18
35-39
36-31
46-41
141.3Avg total
72.6Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.567.4144.9+10.086%
Season at home (14)78.667.4146.1+11.293%
Season away (7)75.167.4142.6+7.771%
Last 10 (10)72.668.7141.3+3.970%
Last 5 (5)73.873.4147.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.075.5141.5-9.550%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.570.8141.3-0.455%
vs Weaker (15)80.265.1145.3+15.193%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#31
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A29/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H12/01
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A15/01
NCAA
Utah State
#170
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H19/01
NCAA
Nevada
#257
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A22/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A26/01
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
63-68 OT
63
68
-5
H29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
73-43
73
43
+30
A02/02
NCAA
Nevada
#257
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-35
30-30
39-28
40-31
33-23
40-45
21-31
40-23
37-36
36-41
41-26
24-34
25-29
28-24
32-23
41-20
33-24
40-32
24-28
35-33
128.5Avg total
67.4Scored
61.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)66.957.6124.5+9.370%
Season at home (14)68.655.6124.2+13.186%
Season away (9)64.260.8125.0+3.444%
Last 10 (10)67.461.1128.5+6.360%
Last 5 (5)66.657.6124.2+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)59.267.0126.2-7.825%
vs Similar ◀ (11)63.560.8124.4+2.755%
vs Weaker (14)70.457.9128.3+12.479%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +4.1+4.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +4.1+4.1
Colorado StateFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#52
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#170
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H13/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
35-17
35
17
+18
A15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H20/01
NCAA
Air Force
#276
W
31-17
31
17
+14
A22/01
NCAA
Nevada
#257
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H26/01
NCAA
UNLV
#154
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A01/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
W
23-18
23
18
+5
H05/02
NCAA
Nevada
#257
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A09/02
NCAA
60.0Avg total
31.4Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.130.664.7+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (21)34.230.664.9+3.662%-
Last 30 away (9)33.730.764.3+3.067%-
Last 10 (10)31.428.660.0+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)29.232.061.2-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.536.067.5-4.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.531.262.7+0.455%-
vs Weaker (15)35.529.364.9+6.280%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#31
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A29/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H12/01
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A15/01
NCAA
Utah State
#170
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H19/01
NCAA
Nevada
#257
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A22/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A26/01
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A02/02
NCAA
Nevada
#257
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H07/02
NCAA
59.3Avg total
31.0Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.426.959.3+5.673%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.426.358.7+6.171%-
Last 30 away (13)32.527.660.1+4.877%-
Last 10 (10)31.028.359.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)31.026.057.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.028.857.8+0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)29.826.956.7+2.964%-
vs Weaker (14)34.826.861.6+8.086%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Colorado State wins
0
Fresno State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/22ANevada82-72
05/02/22HSan Diego State58-57
01/02/22AWyoming78-84 OT
29/01/22HUNLV74-88
26/01/22HNevada77-66
22/01/22AAir Force73-53
20/01/22HNew Mexico80-74
15/01/22ASan Jose State78-42
13/01/22HUtah State77-72
08/01/22ASan Diego State49-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/22HWyoming59-61
05/02/22HNevada73-56
02/02/22ASan Jose State73-43
29/01/22HBoise State63-68 OT
26/01/22ANew Mexico65-60
22/01/22ANevada73-77
19/01/22HUtah State61-54
15/01/22AUNLV73-68
12/01/22HSan Jose State79-59
29/12/21ABoise State55-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Colorado State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW86%
HomeWWWLW93%
AwayLWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21147
Win %86%93%71%
Points / game77.578.675.1
Allowed / game67.467.467.4
Point differential+10.0+11.2+7.7
Avg total144.9146.1142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%43%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %5%0%14%
Fresno State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL70%
HomeWWLWL86%
AwayLWLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %70%86%44%
Points / game66.968.664.2
Allowed / game57.655.660.8
Point differential+9.3+13.1+3.4
Avg total124.5124.2125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wyoming2320387%76.266.1+10.1
2 Colorado State2118386%77.567.4+10.0
3 Boise State2318578%68.059.0+9.0
4 Grand Canyon2217577%71.960.9+11.0
5 San Diego State2014670%64.757.5+7.2
6 Fresno State2316770%66.957.6+9.3
7 UNLV24141058%71.566.2+5.2
8 Utah State26151158%75.767.8+7.8
9 Air Force22101245%59.264.0-4.8
10 Nevada23101343%72.674.8-2.2
11 New Mexico24101442%76.576.2+0.4
12 San Jose State2371630%65.872.3-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Colorado State254065
Fresno State282250
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