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Aktobe vs Kaspiy Aktau 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 71-59
20-14 19-7 17-24 15-14
Position#4
Record21-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game67.8
Aktobe 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#15
Record1-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game53.0
Allowed / game83.6
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kaspiy Aktau 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Aktobe
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.0
90.4▲ 6.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 67.8
74.2▲ 6.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
54%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.4
17.5▼ 0.9
🔥 Form · Kaspiy Aktau 2
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 53.0
39.0▼ 14.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.6
77.6▼ 6.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their no baseline
–
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their no baseline
–
AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
57-81
57
81
-24
H11/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H12/02
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A13/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A14/02
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
95-46
95
46
+49
H09/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
110-61
110
61
+49
A10/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
85-56
85
56
+29
H11/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A12/03
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
75-99
75
99
-24
H01/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
96-79
96
79
+17
A02/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
12-16
18-25
13-17
9-19
10-10
28-17
11-20
13-14
18-20
15-17
8-10
15-20
18-20
22-20
22-10
32-8
19-13
23-8
21-17
27-15
23-22
32-6
28-18
20-13
21-18
22-8
22-17
20-19
18-17
21-20
27-20
23-24
19-26
16-31
17-18
31-23
28-11
17-27
20-18
148.8Avg total
79.3Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.067.8151.7+16.281%
Season at home (13)84.167.1151.2+17.077%
Season away (13)83.868.5152.3+15.485%
Last 10 (10)79.369.5148.8+9.860%
Last 5 (5)90.474.2164.6+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)51.359.7111.0-8.420%
vs Similar (2)93.086.5179.5+6.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.466.0156.4+24.494%
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy Aktau 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A24/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
59-80
59
80
-21
H25/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
72-112
72
112
-40
H15/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
L
63-93
63
93
-30
A16/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H17/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A18/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
29-83
29
83
-54
H10/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
26-93
26
93
-67
A11/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
44-77
44
77
-33
H12/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
38-75
38
75
-37
A13/02
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
15-12
9-10
11-24
12-24
13-19
19-11
15-26
12-25
19-31
22-33
19-23
17-21
14-26
14-22
18-24
12-15
21-35
17-14
13-22
15-12
21-9
11-23
11-16
9-30
10-19
6-22
4-12
11-20
6-20
7-38
2-15
9-22
10-19
13-21
12-15
4-24
8-13
15-16
11-22
133.0Avg total
50.6Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)53.083.6136.6-30.65%
Season at home (12)53.285.3138.6-32.10%
Season away (10)52.781.5134.2-28.810%
Last 10 (10)50.682.4133.0-31.80%
Last 5 (5)39.077.6116.6-38.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)54.987.5142.4-32.54%
vs Similar (2)60.576.5137.0-16.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -9.2-9.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -7.7-7.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -8.3-8.3
AktobeKaspiy Aktau 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H11/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
19-29
19
29
-10
H12/02
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A13/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A14/02
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H09/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A10/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H11/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A12/03
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H01/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
59-34
59
34
+25
A02/04
Higher League
74.1Avg total
39.0Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)41.333.174.4+8.264%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.331.973.1+9.467%-
Last 30 away (13)41.434.575.9+6.862%-
Last 10 (10)39.035.174.1+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)46.037.683.6+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.236.266.5-6.012%-
vs Similar (2)42.541.083.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.130.876.9+15.389%-
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy Aktau 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A24/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H25/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
31-56
31
56
-25
H15/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A16/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H17/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A18/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
19-49
19
49
-30
H10/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
17-40
17
40
-23
A11/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
19-41
19
41
-22
H12/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
12-37
12
37
-25
A13/02
Higher League
67.2Avg total
25.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.444.973.4-16.57%-
Last 30 at home (15)28.446.574.9-18.10%-
Last 30 away (15)28.543.371.8-14.913%-
Last 10 (10)25.741.567.2-15.820%-
Last 5 (5)20.637.658.2-17.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)28.145.773.8-17.64%-
vs Similar (2)33.534.067.5-0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aktobetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aktobe: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.626.0
55.8%
49.5%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.2
28.8%
28.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.613.8
70.4%
63.9%13.8
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kaspiy Aktau 2their own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aktobe wins
0
Kaspiy Aktau 2 wins
No previous meetings.
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/26AAtyrau 296-79
01/04/26HAtyrau 275-99
12/03/26AChelSU Kostanay86-76
11/03/26HChelSU Kostanay85-56
10/03/26ATobol Kostanay 2110-61
09/03/26HTobol Kostanay 295-46
14/02/26AShymkent77-70
13/02/26ATuran54-61
12/02/26HShymkent58-66
11/02/26HTuran57-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26ABars Petropavlovsk38-75
12/02/26HTigers-KazATU44-77
11/02/26ABars Petropavlovsk26-93
10/02/26HTigers-KazATU29-83
18/12/25APavlodar58-60
17/12/25HKaraganda63-86
16/12/25APavlodar63-93
15/12/25HKaraganda72-112
25/11/25HChelSU Kostanay59-80
24/11/25ATobol Kostanay 254-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW81%
HomeLLWWL77%
AwayLWWWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %81%77%85%
Points / game84.084.183.8
Allowed / game67.867.168.5
Point differential+16.2+17.0+15.4
Avg total151.7151.2152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%54%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Kaspiy Aktau 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL5%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %5%0%10%
Points / game53.053.252.7
Allowed / game83.685.381.5
Point differential-30.6-32.1-28.8
Avg total136.6138.6134.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan24240100%89.760.0+29.7
2 Shymkent2421388%95.268.1+27.2
3 Aktobe2621581%84.067.8+16.2
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2419579%85.960.0+25.9
5 Atyrau 22417771%78.769.3+9.3
6 BC Almaty 22416867%83.573.1+10.5
7 CHAMP1ON24131154%74.773.3+1.4
8 ChelSU Kostanay24131154%76.480.0-3.6
9 Karaganda24101442%79.879.8+0.0
10 Tigers-KazATU24101442%67.575.7-8.2
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
13 Tobol Kostanay 22442017%68.483.1-14.8
14 Pavlodar242228%56.189.5-33.4
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aktobe2019171571
Kaspiy Aktau 2147241459
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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