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Alba Berlin vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 85-99
20-18 19-23 25-25 21-33
Position#18
Record4-23
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game91.1
vs
Position#6
Record14-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game84.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28· Uber Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Barcelona
07 Mar 2025
ABE85
BAR99
19 Dec 2023
ABE74
BAR70
01 Dec 2022
ABE86
BAR88
22 Mar 2022
ABE79
BAR95
05 Nov 2020
ABE67
BAR103
02 Jan 2015
ABE80
BAR70
26 Feb 2009
ABE57
BAR75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#7
L
84-99
84
99
-15
74avg 76
H24/01
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
L
92-97
92
97
-5
92avg 76
A27/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
93-87
93
87
+6
93avg 76
A30/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
L
86-99 OT
86
99
-13
80avg 76
A02/02
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
53-73
53
73
-20
46avg 76
A04/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
71-77
71
77
-6
71avg 76
H06/02
Euroleague
Hamburg
#13
W
92-77
92
77
+15
94avg 76
H09/02
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
78-71
78
71
+7
69avg 76
A12/02
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
73-98
73
98
-25
63avg 76
A28/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 76
H03/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
23-25
18-18
16-29
23-22
17-18
35-28
17-29
19-22
27-26
24-15
23-24
17-17
24-21
15-24
24-18
12-25
10-12
15-18
16-18
13-15
22-25
20-19
16-18
31-18
23-16
17-22
21-21
17-20
19-25
23-11
19-15
21-24
14-24
20-20
18-30
18-16
21-18
23-25
24-18
166.3Avg total
80.8Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.691.1169.7-12.515%
Season at home (13)80.489.5169.9-9.215%
Season away (14)76.992.5169.4-15.614%
Last 10 (10)80.885.5166.3-4.740%
Last 5 (5)80.080.0160.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.391.2169.5-12.811%
vs Similar (3)78.084.7162.7-6.733%
vs Weaker (9)87.280.1167.3+7.167%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
94-100
94
100
-6
92avg 82
A24/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
95-90 OT
95
90
+5
85avg 82
A26/01
ACB
Baskonia
#14
L
86-88
86
88
-2
76avg 82
A30/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
L
92-103
92
103
-11
87avg 82
H02/02
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
100-71
100
71
+29
94avg 82
H05/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
88-90
88
90
-2
83avg 82
H07/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
100-86
100
86
+14
95avg 82
A09/02
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
no box
A13/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#8
L
91-96
91
96
-5
78avg 82
A27/02
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
102-79
102
79
+23
97avg 82
H02/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
21-25
27-28
25-24
22-19
17-11
13-20
26-28
25-23
21-21
18-21
22-23
20-20
24-26
17-32
31-25
28-26
14-10
32-24
26-11
18-22
29-23
18-21
23-24
25-19
27-18
30-28
18-21
33-23
21-24
19-19
13-25
25-23
18-17
24-30
24-26
21-33
27-11
24-15
30-20
182.8Avg total
93.4Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.284.6171.8+2.752%
Season at home (13)87.580.3167.8+7.262%
Season away (14)87.088.5175.5-1.543%
Last 10 (10)93.489.4182.8+4.040%
Last 5 (5)93.488.4181.8+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.579.5165.0+6.050%
vs Similar (14)87.385.5172.8+1.836%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.686.2177.8+5.462%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
Alba BerlinBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#7
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H24/01
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A27/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A30/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A02/02
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A04/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H06/02
Euroleague
Hamburg
#13
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H09/02
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A12/02
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A28/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H03/03
BBL
81.4Avg total
39.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.483.5-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.844.082.8-5.231%-
Last 30 away (17)41.043.084.0-2.035%-
Last 10 (10)39.841.681.4-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.280.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.146.385.4-7.311%-
vs Similar (3)31.741.773.3-10.033%-
vs Weaker (9)44.838.283.0+6.678%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A24/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A26/01
ACB
Baskonia
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A30/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H02/02
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H05/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H07/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A09/02
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A13/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A27/02
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H02/03
ACB
87.4Avg total
45.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.582.7+1.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.139.981.9+2.271%-
Last 30 away (16)42.241.183.4+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)45.741.787.4+4.080%-
Last 5 (5)48.842.691.4+6.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.536.578.0+5.050%-
vs Similar (14)41.440.982.2+0.564%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.240.382.5+1.962%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.522.0
57.1%
54.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.9
30.7%
36.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.412.4
75.6%
78.0%12.4
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 93.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.724.4
58.5%
54.5%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.7
39.8%
36.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.115.6
77.6%
78.0%15.6
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLWWLLLWLL
Barcelona
WLLWLWLLWL
#18
League position
#6
-6.0
Net rating
+7.1
105.1
Offensive rating
122.8
111.2
Defensive rating
115.7
52.7%
Effective FG%
58.9%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
21.0%
Turnover %
14.8%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.7%
3-point %
39.8%
69.2%
Assist %
52.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 122.8Defence111.2 · 115.7Shooting52.7% · 58.9%3-point %30.7% · 39.8%Ball care21.0% · 14.8%Off. rebounds32.2% · 30.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alba Berlin wins
9
Barcelona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/25HBamberg86-77
28/02/25AAnadolu Efes73-98
12/02/25ARostock78-71
09/02/25HHamburg92-77
06/02/25HCrvena zvezda71-77
04/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas53-73
02/02/25ABayern86-99 OT
30/01/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv93-87
27/01/25AOldenburg92-97
24/01/25HBayern84-99
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HBreogan102-79
27/02/25AReal Madrid91-96
13/02/25ATenerife86-91
09/02/25AValencia100-86
07/02/25HOlympiacos88-90
05/02/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv100-71
02/02/25HManresa92-103
30/01/25ABaskonia86-88
26/01/25AMurcia95-90 OT
24/01/25ALyon-Villeurbanne94-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL15%
HomeLLLLL15%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %15%15%14%
Points / game78.680.476.9
Allowed / game91.189.592.5
Point differential-12.5-9.2-15.6
Avg total169.7169.9169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %11%8%14%
Barcelona
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL52%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%62%43%
Points / game87.287.587.0
Allowed / game84.680.388.5
Point differential+2.7+7.2-1.5
Avg total171.8167.8175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%46%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)0% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %7%8%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2821775%87.881.5+6.4
2 Fenerbahce2819968%82.480.4+2.1
3 Panathinaikos28181064%87.382.9+4.4
4 Monaco28171161%86.582.8+3.7
5 Bayern28171161%86.686.4+0.3
6 Crvena zvezda28161257%81.980.9+1.0
7 Paris28161257%85.485.0+0.3
8 Partizan28151354%82.979.2+3.6
9 Olimpia Milano28151354%85.285.8-0.6
10 Barcelona27141352%87.284.6+2.7
11 Anadolu Efes28141450%85.482.2+3.1
12 Real Madrid28141450%84.482.9+1.4
13 Zalgiris Kaunas28131546%77.478.0-0.6
14 Baskonia28121643%80.482.0-1.6
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne28111739%81.385.2-3.9
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv2882029%85.290.0-4.7
17 Virtus Bologna2872125%79.484.9-5.5
18 Alba Berlin2742315%78.691.1-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2019252185
Barcelona1823253399
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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