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Bayern vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 99-86 (OT)
17-17 21-24 24-15 18-24 19-6
Position#1
Record11-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game75.1
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#6
Record7-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game82.6
GermanyBBLRound 19· BMW Park
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Bayern v Alba Berlin
26 Sep 2026
BAY95
ABE61
21 Jun 2026
BAY81
ABE84
14 Jun 2026
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2026
BAY102
ABE94
01 May 2026
BAY85
ABE79
02 Feb 2025
BAY99
ABE86
14 Nov 2024
BAY115
ABE88
10 Jun 2024
BAY70
ABE79
08 Jun 2024
BAY79
ABE67
05 May 2024
BAY77
ABE53
05 Oct 2023
BAY80
ABE68
17 Mar 2023
BAY75
ABE76
18 Feb 2023
BAY83
ABE77
08 Jan 2023
BAY79
ABE80
19 Jun 2022
BAY81
ABE96
14 Jun 2022
BAY58
ABE71
10 May 2022
BAY78
ABE83
28 Jan 2022
BAY62
ABE56
13 Jun 2021
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2021
BAY69
ABE81
16 May 2021
BAY85
ABE79
25 Apr 2021
BAY62
ABE100
05 Feb 2021
BAY101
ABE95
10 Nov 2019
BAY84
ABE80
23 Dec 2018
BAY70
ABE78
16 Dec 2018
BAY83
ABE81
16 Jun 2018
BAY106
ABE85
10 Jun 2018
BAY72
ABE66
03 Jun 2018
BAY95
ABE106
25 Mar 2018
BAY72
ABE91
13 May 2017
BAY80
ABE73
06 May 2017
BAY95
ABE68
18 Feb 2017
BAY78
ABE70
16 Oct 2016
BAY97
ABE58
01 Mar 2016
BAY84
ABE75
28 Feb 2016
BAY96
ABE65
21 Feb 2016
BAY65
ABE67
02 Jun 2015
BAY89
ABE83
28 May 2015
BAY85
ABE73
26 Apr 2015
BAY70
ABE68
15 Jun 2014
BAY92
ABE86
08 Jun 2014
BAY88
ABE81
04 May 2014
BAY72
ABE80
12 May 2013
BAY89
ABE83
04 May 2013
BAY88
ABE67
10 Feb 2013
BAY79
ABE61
26 Nov 2011
BAY79
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
W
91-84
91
84
+7
89avg 80
A29/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
65avg 80
A03/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
77avg 80
A05/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
69-112
69
112
-43
61avg 80
A10/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
87-59
87
59
+28
87avg 80
A12/01
BBL
Monaco
#4
W
95-94
95
94
+1
88avg 80
H15/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
72-82
72
82
-10
59avg 80
H17/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
99-84
99
84
+15
99avg 80
A24/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
W
84-82
84
82
+2
77avg 80
H26/01
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
97-82
97
82
+15
99avg 80
A30/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
27-22
22-21
17-16
16-23
14-24
20-15
26-26
27-18
20-19
18-26
16-25
14-28
23-23
20-27
12-34
22-12
27-12
17-24
21-11
30-13
23-27
25-28
17-26
18-20
14-15
20-22
20-25
27-27
25-23
18-18
29-16
17-21
18-20
21-15
28-26
22-18
23-13
26-28
26-23
170.6Avg total
85.1Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.475.1157.5+7.373%
Season at home (7)81.073.7154.7+7.386%
Season away (8)83.676.4160.0+7.262%
Last 10 (10)85.185.5170.6-0.460%
Last 5 (5)89.484.8174.2+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.894.5173.3-15.717%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.283.2168.4+1.967%
vs Weaker (12)89.875.1164.9+14.892%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
90-105
90
105
-15
82avg 77
H02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
W
88-81
88
81
+7
84avg 77
H05/01
BBL
Fenerbahce
#1
L
73-90
73
90
-17
64avg 77
A09/01
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
75-61
75
61
+14
63avg 77
A12/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
68-100
68
100
-32
52avg 77
A14/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
79avg 77
A16/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
92-65
92
65
+27
93avg 77
H18/01
BBL
Bayern
#7
L
84-99
84
99
-15
74avg 77
H24/01
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
L
92-97
92
97
-5
92avg 77
A27/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
93-87
93
87
+6
93avg 77
A30/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
14-25
32-24
23-26
18-27
19-20
26-18
25-16
11-16
23-21
26-24
13-29
26-14
15-22
16-12
18-13
19-23
24-24
10-31
15-22
19-23
21-27
22-20
23-15
27-19
17-15
28-15
20-16
27-27
23-25
18-18
16-29
23-22
17-18
35-28
17-29
19-22
27-26
24-15
23-24
172.5Avg total
84.4Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.282.6167.8+2.644%
Season at home (8)83.677.0160.6+6.662%
Season away (8)86.888.2175.0-1.525%
Last 10 (10)84.488.1172.5-3.740%
Last 5 (5)90.088.8178.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)81.494.1175.5-12.616%
vs Similar ◀ (3)81.381.0162.3+0.367%
vs Weaker (8)88.084.9172.9+3.138%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
BayernAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A29/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A03/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A05/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A10/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
49-24
49
24
+25
A12/01
BBL
Monaco
#4
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H15/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H17/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A24/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H26/01
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A30/01
Euroleague
83.5Avg total
43.2Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.782.3+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.038.481.4+4.657%-
Last 30 away (16)42.140.983.0+1.256%-
Last 10 (10)43.240.383.5+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.482.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.743.384.0-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.038.879.8+2.258%-
vs Weaker (12)45.038.983.9+6.167%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H05/01
BBL
Fenerbahce
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/01
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A12/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A16/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H18/01
BBL
Bayern
#7
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H24/01
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A27/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A30/01
Euroleague
85.6Avg total
41.0Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.845.786.5-4.927%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.547.285.8-8.723%-
Last 30 away (17)42.544.587.0-1.929%-
Last 10 (10)41.044.685.6-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)44.044.888.8-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)40.348.388.6-8.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)33.743.777.3-10.033%-
vs Weaker (8)44.840.184.9+4.662%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.415.9
54.1%
52.3%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.112.8
41.2%
33.6%38.4
🏀 Free throws17.613.5
76.7%
73.5%13.5
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.4
54.2%
52.3%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
33.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.112.8
74.9%
73.5%12.8
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWWLWWLLLW
Alba Berlin
WLLWLLWLWL
#1
League position
#6
-1.4
Net rating
-5.4
114.0
Offensive rating
109.7
115.4
Defensive rating
115.0
58.0%
Effective FG%
52.5%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
21.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
41.2%
3-point %
33.2%
66.2%
Assist %
65.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 109.7Defence115.4 · 115.0Shooting58.0% · 52.5%3-point %41.2% · 33.2%Ball care21.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds32.0% · 32.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Bayern   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Bayern wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
24/01/25Alba Berlin v Bayern84-99
05/01/25Alba Berlin v Bayern88-81
14/11/24Bayern v Alba Berlin115-88
14/06/24Alba Berlin v Bayern82-88
12/06/24Alba Berlin v Bayern63-67
10/06/24Bayern v Alba Berlin70-79
08/06/24Bayern v Alba Berlin79-67
10/05/24Alba Berlin v Bayern59-53
05/05/24Bayern v Alba Berlin77-53
18/01/24Alba Berlin v Bayern65-82
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas97-82
26/01/25HBamberg84-82
24/01/25AAlba Berlin99-84
17/01/25HVirtus Bologna72-82
15/01/25HMonaco95-94
12/01/25AHeidelberg87-59
10/01/25AOlympiacos69-112
05/01/25AAlba Berlin81-88
03/01/25AReal Madrid76-88
29/12/24AFrankfurt91-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv93-87
27/01/25AOldenburg92-97
24/01/25HBayern84-99
18/01/25HHeidelberg92-65
16/01/25ALyon-Villeurbanne89-96 OT
14/01/25AOlimpia Milano68-100
12/01/25AFrankfurt75-61
09/01/25AFenerbahce73-90
05/01/25HBayern88-81
02/01/25HMonaco90-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %73%86%62%
Points / game82.481.083.6
Allowed / game75.173.776.4
Point differential+7.3+7.3+7.2
Avg total157.5154.7160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%43%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL44%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayLWLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game85.283.686.8
Allowed / game82.677.088.2
Point differential+2.6+6.6-1.5
Avg total167.8160.6175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern1511473%82.475.1+7.3
2 Ulm1611569%85.079.6+5.4
3 Basketball Braunschweig1711665%81.978.8+3.1
4 Vechta1610662%83.882.3+1.5
5 Chemnitz1710759%78.879.0-0.2
6 Heidelberg169756%77.879.6-1.9
7 Ludwigsburg179853%75.171.8+3.3
8 Wurzburg179853%81.178.6+2.5
9 Rostock179853%81.580.7+0.8
10 Oldenburg189950%89.688.6+1.0
11 Syntainics MBC189950%84.183.7+0.4
12 Hamburg178947%79.880.3-0.5
13 Bonn1881044%83.883.6+0.2
14 Alba Berlin167944%85.282.6+2.6
15 Bamberg1771041%81.082.7-1.7
16 Frankfurt1641225%75.883.2-7.4
17 Gottingen161156%79.996.2-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bayern172124181999
Alba Berlin17241524686
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