Real Madrid vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	84.5	82.5	167.0	+1.9	50%
Season at home (13)	89.6	85.2	174.8	+4.4	69%
Season away (13)	79.3	79.8	159.2	-0.5	31%
Last 10 (10)	82.5	77.9	160.4	+4.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	77.4	160.0	+5.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	83.1	82.7	165.8	+0.4	43%
vs Weaker (15)	89.3	78.9	168.2	+10.3	87%

This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBarcelona

Date

Competition

Anadolu Efes

90-80

+10

92avg 82

H17/01

Euroleague

Bilbao

#15

97-84

+13

99avg 82

H19/01

ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#15

94-100

100

-6

92avg 82

A24/01

Euroleague

Murcia

#10

95-90 OT

85avg 82

A26/01

ACB

Baskonia

#14

86-88

-2

76avg 82

A30/01

Euroleague

Manresa

92-103

103

-11

87avg 82

H02/02

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#16

100-71

100

+29

94avg 82

H05/02

Euroleague

Olympiacos

88-90

-2

83avg 82

H07/02

Euroleague

Valencia

100-86

100

+14

95avg 82

A09/02

ACB

Tenerife

86-91

-5

no box

A13/02

Spanish Cup

22-24

26-17

17-18

25-21

17-25

25-17

32-19

23-23

21-23

21-25

27-28

25-24

22-19

17-11

13-20

26-28

25-23

21-21

18-21

22-23

20-20

24-26

17-32

31-25

28-26

14-10

32-24

26-11

18-22

29-23

18-21

23-24

25-19

27-18

30-28

18-21

33-23

21-24

19-19

13-25

181.1Avg total

92.8Scored

88.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	87.1	84.1	171.2	+3.0	54%
Season at home (13)	87.5	80.3	167.8	+7.2	62%
Season away (13)	86.7	87.9	174.6	-1.2	46%
Last 10 (10)	92.8	88.3	181.1	+4.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	93.2	88.2	181.4	+5.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	91.0	86.0	177.0	+5.0	67%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	86.4	85.8	172.1	+0.6	36%
vs Weaker (12)	90.8	86.8	177.6	+3.9	58%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridBarcelona

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	18.4	40.6	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	20.4	40.1	-0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.7	19.2	41.9	+3.5	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	21.2	42.9	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	22.4	45.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	22.0	46.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.0	19.7	42.7	+3.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.9	21.1	40.9	-1.2	29%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.4	21.1	41.5	-0.7	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.8	35.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.1	20.1	41.1	+1.0	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.3	18.7	41.0	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.2	41.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.3	17.3	38.7	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.1	20.4	41.5	+0.8	43%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.3	18.9	40.2	+2.4	75%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

#14

42-45

-3

H23/01

Euroleague

Leyma Coruna

#18

46-30

+16

H26/01

ACB

Monaco

39-36

A31/01

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

40-39

H02/02

ACB

Anadolu Efes

38-38

A04/02

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

28-40

-12

A06/02

Euroleague

Forca Lleida

#16

46-37

A09/02

ACB

Manresa

43-30

+13

H14/02

Spanish Cup

Gran Canaria

30-31

-1

A15/02

Spanish Cup

Unicaja

36-39

-3

A16/02

Spanish Cup

75.3Avg total

38.8Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	39.3	80.7	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.7	39.0	81.7	+3.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	39.6	79.8	+0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	36.5	75.3	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	35.4	72.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	38.6	40.1	78.7	-1.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (15)	43.7	39.3	83.0	+4.5	73%	-

This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Anadolu Efes

48-41

H17/01

Euroleague

Bilbao

#15

42-42

H19/01

ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#15

42-48

-6

A24/01

Euroleague

Murcia

#10

39-30

A26/01

ACB

Baskonia

#14

46-44

A30/01

Euroleague

Manresa

44-46

-2

H02/02

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#16

42-36

H05/02

Euroleague

Olympiacos

47-45

H07/02

Euroleague

Valencia

52-37

+15

A09/02

ACB

Tenerife

54-47

A13/02

Spanish Cup

87.2Avg total

45.6Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	40.6	82.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.2	39.4	81.6	+2.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.9	41.6	83.6	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	41.6	87.2	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	42.2	90.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	44.3	37.0	81.3	+7.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	41.0	41.4	82.4	-0.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (12)	41.8	40.0	81.8	+1.8	58%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	17.8	37.5	+2.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.9	18.6	40.5	+3.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	22.1	44.1	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	21.5	43.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	22.7	44.9	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	23.0	45.3	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	24.8	48.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.7	26.0	49.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.6	19.9	39.6	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (12)	24.4	24.0	48.4	+0.4	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	21.7	45.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.9	22.4	47.3	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	21.1	43.2	+0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	20.5	43.6	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	20.8	46.2	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	22.8	22.5	45.3	+0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.6	21.1	44.7	+2.5	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.6	20.7	45.3	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	23.1	44.8	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	22.5	45.7	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.0	23.0	46.0	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	23.6	21.7	45.3	+1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.2	21.8	45.0	+1.3	42%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	40.5	84.9	+3.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.3	42.4	89.6	+4.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.8	38.9	80.7	+2.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	41.4	85.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	42.0	88.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	42.8	41.5	84.3	+1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (15)	45.5	39.7	85.2	+5.9	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.9	44.1	89.1	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.1	42.2	88.4	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.9	45.8	89.7	-1.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	45.5	91.0	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	46.0	91.4	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	46.7	49.0	95.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	43.2	41.6	84.9	+1.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (12)	47.6	45.8	93.4	+1.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	20.7	55.3%	54.5%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.2	35.4%	36.2%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	22.2	17.8	80.2%	78.0%	17.8

They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	24.8	60.3%	54.5%	49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.9	9.2	38.5%	36.2%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	18.3	14.4	78.7%	78.0%	14.4

They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.1	19.5	48.6%	54.5%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	10.4	36.9%	36.2%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	18.1	13.5	74.6%	78.0%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	21.2	57.5%	54.5%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	10.9	36.8%	36.2%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	13.9	10.4	74.8%	78.0%	10.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	20.0	55.8%	54.5%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	9.7	35.5%	36.2%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	21.0	16.4	77.9%	78.0%	16.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	22.5	55.6%	54.5%	44.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	9.6	38.3%	36.2%	28.9
🏀 Free throws	17.7	13.8	77.6%	78.0%	13.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	19.6	49.5%	54.5%	39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	9.0	32.5%	36.2%	27.1
🏀 Free throws	17.3	13.7	79.0%	78.0%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	20.3	55.7%	54.5%	40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.7	10.5	36.6%	36.2%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	17.7	13.8	78.0%	78.0%	13.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Real Madrid

LWWWLLWLWW

Barcelona

LWLWLLWLWW

League position

+4.1

Net rating

+8.2

115.6

Offensive rating

123.5

111.5

Defensive rating

115.3

54.4%

Effective FG%

59.4%

51.4%

Opp. effective FG%

56.5%

16.4%

Turnover %

14.9%

30.7%

Off. rebound %

31.8%

0.35

Free-throw rate

0.28

35.4%

3-point %

38.5%

59.5%

Assist %

55.0%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Real Madrid ■ Barcelona

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Barcelona wins

Date	Game	Score
29/12/24	Real Madrid v Barcelona	73-71
28/11/24	Barcelona v Real Madrid	90-97 OT
21/09/24	Real Madrid v Barcelona	89-83
02/06/24	Barcelona v Real Madrid	92-95
31/05/24	Real Madrid v Barcelona	104-98
29/05/24	Real Madrid v Barcelona	97-78
07/04/24	Barcelona v Real Madrid	85-79
18/02/24	Real Madrid v Barcelona	96-85
03/01/24	Barcelona v Real Madrid	83-78
26/10/23	Real Madrid v Barcelona	65-64

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/25	A	Unicaja	79-93
15/02/25	A	Gran Canaria	80-63
14/02/25	H	Manresa	92-69
09/02/25	A	Forca Lleida	95-84
06/02/25	A	Fenerbahce	67-78
04/02/25	A	Anadolu Efes	73-79
02/02/25	H	Joventut Badalona	86-73
31/01/25	A	Monaco	73-77
26/01/25	H	Leyma Coruna	90-74
23/01/25	H	Baskonia	90-89

Barcelonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/02/25	A	Tenerife	86-91
09/02/25	A	Valencia	100-86
07/02/25	H	Olympiacos	88-90
05/02/25	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	100-71
02/02/25	H	Manresa	92-103
30/01/25	A	Baskonia	86-88
26/01/25	A	Murcia	95-90 OT
24/01/25	A	Lyon-Villeurbanne	94-100
19/01/25	H	Bilbao	97-84
17/01/25	H	Anadolu Efes	90-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

Euroleague 2024

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	50%
Home	WWWLW	69%
Away	WWLLL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	50%	69%	31%
Points / game	84.5	89.6	79.3
Allowed / game	82.5	85.2	79.8
Point differential	+1.9	+4.4	-0.5
Avg total	167.0	174.8	159.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	38%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	100% (3)	0% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Barcelona

Euroleague 2024

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	54%
Home	LWWWL	62%
Away	LWWLL	46%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	54%	62%	46%
Points / game	87.1	87.5	86.7
Allowed / game	84.1	80.3	87.9
Point differential	+3.0	+7.2	-1.2
Avg total	171.2	167.8	174.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	46%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	0% (2)	40% (5)
Overtime %	8%	8%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olympiacos	26	19	7	73%	87.9	82.3	+5.5
2	Fenerbahce	25	17	8	68%	81.8	79.9	+1.9
3	Panathinaikos	26	16	10	62%	87.0	83.0	+4.0
4	Paris	26	16	10	62%	85.7	84.7	+1.0
5	Monaco	27	16	11	59%	86.3	82.9	+3.4
6	Crvena zvezda	27	16	11	59%	81.9	80.2	+1.7
7	Bayern	27	16	11	59%	86.1	86.5	-0.4
8	Olimpia Milano	27	15	12	56%	85.6	85.3	+0.3
9	Partizan	26	14	12	54%	83.3	79.4	+3.9
10	Barcelona	26	14	12	54%	87.1	84.1	+3.0
11	Real Madrid	26	13	13	50%	84.5	82.5	+1.9
12	Zalgiris Kaunas	27	13	14	48%	77.9	78.5	-0.6
13	Anadolu Efes	26	12	14	46%	84.7	83.1	+1.6
14	Baskonia	26	11	15	42%	81.3	82.5	-1.3
15	Lyon-Villeurbanne	26	11	15	42%	80.3	84.1	-3.8
16	Virtus Bologna	26	7	19	27%	80.2	84.4	-4.3
17	Maccabi Tel Aviv	26	6	20	23%	84.3	90.3	-6.0
18	Alba Berlin	26	4	22	15%	78.8	90.8	-12.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	23	17	30	26	96
Barcelona	25	18	24	24	91

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Real Madrid vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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