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Alba Berlin vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 90-105
21-30 14-25 32-24 23-26
Position#18
Record3-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game90.8
vs
Monaco 🏆
Position#4
Record12-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game80.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 19· Uber Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Monaco
02 Jan 2025
ABE90
MCO105
14 Mar 2024
ABE82
MCO90
01 Feb 2023
ABE84
MCO102
22 Dec 2021
ABE92
MCO84
03 Jan 2019
ABE83
MCO74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
84avg 77
A04/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
80-100
80
100
-20
61avg 77
A06/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
L
67-80
67
80
-13
62avg 77
A08/12
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
90-91
90
91
-1
89avg 77
H12/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
66-86
66
86
-20
59avg 77
H17/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
85avg 77
A20/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
W
109-83
109
83
+26
109avg 77
A22/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
69-80
69
80
-11
55avg 77
H26/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
76-94
76
94
-18
66avg 77
A28/12
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
85-96
85
96
-11
71avg 77
H31/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
22-20
20-23
10-17
18-34
19-21
25-24
18-21
16-21
20-14
17-27
14-18
28-30
18-21
18-23
26-17
10-24
20-21
16-24
20-17
19-26
22-18
21-25
23-21
22-19
30-16
34-18
23-30
15-28
19-17
17-16
18-19
21-22
29-21
12-21
14-30
15-22
32-21
17-24
21-29
170.5Avg total
81.7Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.390.8170.1-11.417%
Season at home (10)80.088.3168.3-8.320%
Season away (8)78.593.9172.4-15.412%
Last 10 (10)81.788.8170.5-7.120%
Last 5 (5)84.888.6173.4-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.589.4167.9-10.920%
vs Similar (3)73.774.3148.0-0.767%
vs Weaker (7)87.189.7176.9-2.614%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#6
W
109-94
109
94
+15
132avg 87
A01/12
LNB
Olympiacos
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
75avg 87
H04/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
100-80
100
80
+20
80avg 87
H06/12
Euroleague
Paris
#1
L
104-111 OT
104
111
-7
112avg 87
A08/12
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
99-69
99
69
+30
99avg 87
A12/12
Euroleague
Le Portel
#15
W
78-56
78
56
+22
94avg 87
H14/12
LNB
Bayern
#7
W
93-74
93
74
+19
92avg 87
H17/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
72-94
72
94
-22
60avg 87
A19/12
Euroleague
Limoges
#14
W
96-84
96
84
+12
109avg 87
A21/12
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
94-75
94
75
+19
97avg 87
H26/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
32-27
27-22
28-15
19-22
26-25
17-18
18-24
34-18
21-19
24-25
21-18
21-16
28-22
24-23
19-31
17-19
26-19
29-16
27-15
24-15
19-12
14-21
21-8
18-24
28-16
31-20
16-14
22-29
13-24
12-24
25-17
28-21
28-23
15-17
25-23
22-13
27-21
20-20
25-21
175.1Avg total
92.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.780.9167.7+5.867%
Season at home (10)91.983.9175.8+8.070%
Season away (8)80.277.2157.5+3.062%
Last 10 (10)92.582.6175.1+9.970%
Last 5 (5)86.676.6163.2+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)85.486.3171.6-0.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.774.5162.2+13.294%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +3.9+3.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +3.9+3.9
Alba BerlinMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A04/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A06/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/12
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H12/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H17/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A20/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A22/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H26/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A28/12
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H31/12
BBL
85.5Avg total
42.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.144.083.1-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.343.380.7-6.033%-
Last 30 away (15)40.944.685.5-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.485.5-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.842.086.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.845.583.2-7.815%-
vs Similar (3)33.738.372.0-4.767%-
vs Weaker (7)45.442.087.4+3.457%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#6
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A01/12
LNB
Olympiacos
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H04/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H06/12
Euroleague
Paris
#1
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A08/12
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A12/12
Euroleague
Le Portel
#15
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H14/12
LNB
Bayern
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H17/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A19/12
Euroleague
Limoges
#14
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A21/12
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H26/12
Euroleague
89.0Avg total
47.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.440.583.9+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.239.282.5+4.050%-
Last 30 away (14)43.641.985.4+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)47.541.589.0+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.839.685.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)43.944.688.4-0.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.036.979.9+6.156%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.223.3
56.6%
54.5%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.0
27.3%
36.2%18.0
🏀 Free throws21.916.1
73.5%
78.0%16.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.3
56.9%
54.5%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.8
39.4%
36.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.117.5
79.2%
78.0%17.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLLWLLLLLW
Monaco
WWLWWWLWLW
#18
League position
#4
-9.5
Net rating
+13.0
105.4
Offensive rating
123.1
114.9
Defensive rating
110.0
51.1%
Effective FG%
57.7%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
27.3%
3-point %
39.4%
67.6%
Assist %
69.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 123.1Defence114.9 · 110.0Shooting51.1% · 57.7%3-point %27.3% · 39.4%Ball care19.0% · 15.1%Off. rebounds30.3% · 32.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alba Berlin wins
6
Monaco wins
DateGameScore
06/12/24Monaco v Alba Berlin100-80
14/03/24Alba Berlin v Monaco82-90
20/10/23Monaco v Alba Berlin86-75
01/02/23Alba Berlin v Monaco84-102
16/12/22Monaco v Alba Berlin92-89
08/04/22Monaco v Alba Berlin91-74
22/12/21Alba Berlin v Monaco92-84
29/01/19Monaco v Alba Berlin61-75
03/01/19Alba Berlin v Monaco83-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/24HRostock85-96
28/12/24ASyntainics MBC76-94
26/12/24HReal Madrid69-80
22/12/24AGottingen109-83
20/12/24AOlympiacos85-90
17/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas66-86
12/12/24HPartizan90-91
08/12/24ABamberg67-80
06/12/24AMonaco80-100
04/12/24AVirtus Bologna90-88 OT
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/24HAnadolu Efes94-75
21/12/24ALimoges96-84
19/12/24AReal Madrid72-94
17/12/24HBayern93-74
14/12/24HLe Portel78-56
12/12/24AFenerbahce99-69
08/12/24AParis104-111 OT
06/12/24HAlba Berlin100-80
04/12/24HOlympiacos80-89
01/12/24AJL Bourg109-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %17%20%12%
Points / game79.380.078.5
Allowed / game90.888.393.9
Point differential-11.4-8.3-15.4
Avg total170.1168.3172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %11%10%12%
Monaco
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %67%70%62%
Points / game86.791.980.2
Allowed / game80.983.977.2
Point differential+5.8+8.0+3.0
Avg total167.7175.8157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos1913668%85.681.5+4.1
2 Monaco1812667%86.780.9+5.8
3 Paris1711665%86.584.2+2.2
4 Panathinaikos1811761%85.981.6+4.3
5 Bayern1811761%87.186.9+0.2
6 Fenerbahce1710759%78.179.7-1.6
7 Anadolu Efes1810856%84.482.3+2.1
8 Crvena zvezda1810856%83.181.4+1.7
9 Zalgiris Kaunas1910953%77.476.9+0.5
10 Real Madrid189950%84.481.9+2.6
11 Barcelona189950%85.384.6+0.8
12 Olimpia Milano189950%86.786.9-0.3
13 Partizan1881044%81.781.2+0.4
14 Baskonia1881044%79.181.4-2.4
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne1881044%81.684.4-2.9
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1851328%84.587.6-3.1
17 Virtus Bologna1851328%81.184.2-3.2
18 Alba Berlin1831517%79.390.8-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2114322390
Monaco30252426105
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