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Monaco vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 93-74
18-24 28-16 31-20 16-14
Position#4
Record10-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game80.9
Monaco 🏆
vs
Bayern
Position#7
Record10-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game87.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16· Salle Gaston Medecin
European cup2024
Meetings · Monaco v Bayern
19 Dec 2025
MCO103
BAY77
17 Dec 2024
MCO93
BAY74
11 Apr 2024
MCO89
BAY85
25 Nov 2022
MCO80
BAY79
12 Nov 2021
MCO94
BAY71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#14
W
87-75
87
75
+12
87avg 86
A14/11
Euroleague
Le Mans
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
81avg 86
H17/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
103-92
103
92
+11
96avg 86
H21/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
91-88
91
88
+3
90avg 86
A29/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#6
W
109-94
109
94
+15
132avg 86
A01/12
LNB
Olympiacos
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
75avg 86
H04/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
100-80
100
80
+20
80avg 86
H06/12
Euroleague
Paris
#1
L
104-111 OT
104
111
-7
112avg 86
A08/12
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
99-69
99
69
+30
99avg 86
A12/12
Euroleague
Le Portel
#15
W
78-56
78
56
+22
94avg 86
H14/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-7
23-17
14-31
26-20
17-24
18-21
18-15
21-26
20-25
18-15
37-24
28-28
28-26
22-22
15-19
26-21
22-30
32-27
27-22
28-15
19-22
26-25
17-18
18-24
34-18
21-19
24-25
21-18
21-16
28-22
24-23
19-31
17-19
26-19
29-16
27-15
24-15
19-12
14-21
21-8
176.5Avg total
92.5Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.880.9167.7+5.967%
Season at home (8)91.586.2177.8+5.262%
Season away (7)81.474.9156.3+6.671%
Last 10 (10)92.584.0176.5+8.570%
Last 5 (5)92.281.0173.2+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)86.883.4170.2+3.447%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.373.5158.8+11.987%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
115-88
115
88
+27
113avg 80
H14/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
99avg 80
H17/11
BBL
Barcelona
#6
W
100-78
100
78
+22
94avg 80
H22/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
77-101
77
101
-24
68avg 80
A29/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
77-78
77
78
-1
74avg 80
H01/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
90-101
90
101
-11
86avg 80
A03/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
94-80
94
80
+14
89avg 80
H05/12
Euroleague
Vechta
#11
W
103-67
103
67
+36
100avg 80
H09/12
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
98-93
98
93
+5
96avg 80
H12/12
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
W
80-70
80
70
+10
73avg 80
A15/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
34-17
34-14
19-30
22-20
28-17
24-17
19-19
28-21
20-17
29-20
23-20
19-25
23-25
10-29
25-22
14-21
21-24
24-16
18-17
22-27
26-29
25-18
17-27
23-23
21-21
25-17
25-19
31-16
25-19
20-17
27-15
22-30
21-20
24-22
31-21
14-19
24-21
28-15
14-15
175.6Avg total
92.7Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.787.5177.2+2.167%
Season at home (8)96.886.1182.9+10.6100%
Season away (7)81.689.1170.7-7.629%
Last 10 (10)92.782.9175.6+9.870%
Last 5 (5)93.082.2175.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)82.290.5172.8-8.225%
vs Similar (13)86.683.6170.2+3.077%
vs Weaker (12)85.274.5159.7+10.775%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
MonacoBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#14
W
47-24
47
24
+23
A14/11
Euroleague
Le Mans
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H17/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H21/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A29/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#6
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A01/12
LNB
Olympiacos
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H04/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H06/12
Euroleague
Paris
#1
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A08/12
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A12/12
Euroleague
Le Portel
#15
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H14/12
LNB
86.0Avg total
45.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.039.782.7+3.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.239.581.7+2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)43.839.983.7+3.953%-
Last 10 (10)45.940.186.0+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)47.037.484.4+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)45.043.188.1+1.947%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.036.377.3+4.747%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H14/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H17/11
BBL
Barcelona
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H22/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A29/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H01/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A03/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H05/12
Euroleague
Vechta
#11
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H09/12
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H12/12
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A15/12
BBL
90.5Avg total
46.6Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.981.9+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.540.283.7+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)38.541.780.1-3.227%-
Last 10 (10)46.643.990.5+2.740%-
Last 5 (5)45.845.090.8+0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.045.281.2-9.20%-
vs Similar (13)41.841.283.0+0.554%-
vs Weaker (12)41.838.880.5+3.050%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.922.1
55.4%
54.5%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.0
37.7%
36.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.720.3
82.2%
78.0%20.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.8
58.6%
54.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.313.7
41.1%
36.2%41.1
🏀 Free throws13.811.4
82.6%
78.0%11.4
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
WWLWLWWWLW
Bayern
WWWWLLLWWW
#4
League position
#7
+11.1
Net rating
+14.4
122.6
Offensive rating
122.9
111.5
Defensive rating
108.5
55.8%
Effective FG%
60.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
14.3%
Turnover %
18.1%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.21
37.7%
3-point %
41.1%
69.8%
Assist %
62.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence122.6 · 122.9Defence111.5 · 108.5Shooting55.8% · 60.1%3-point %37.7% · 41.1%Ball care14.3% · 18.1%Off. rebounds32.4% · 35.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Monaco   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Monaco wins
0
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
11/04/24Monaco v Bayern89-85
22/12/23Bayern v Monaco80-91
31/03/23Bayern v Monaco81-84
25/11/22Monaco v Bayern80-79
13/01/22Bayern v Monaco78-83
12/11/21Monaco v Bayern94-71
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HLe Portel78-56
12/12/24AFenerbahce99-69
08/12/24AParis104-111 OT
06/12/24HAlba Berlin100-80
04/12/24HOlympiacos80-89
01/12/24AJL Bourg109-94
29/11/24APanathinaikos91-88
21/11/24HLyon-Villeurbanne103-92
17/11/24HLe Mans74-86
14/11/24ABaskonia87-75
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24ARostock80-70
12/12/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-93
09/12/24HVechta103-67
05/12/24HBaskonia94-80
03/12/24AAnadolu Efes90-101
01/12/24HVechta77-78
29/11/24ACrvena zvezda77-101
22/11/24HBarcelona100-78
17/11/24HBonn93-73
14/11/24HAlba Berlin115-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLLWLW62%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%62%71%
Points / game86.891.581.4
Allowed / game80.986.274.9
Point differential+5.9+5.2+6.6
Avg total167.7177.8156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%100%29%
Points / game89.796.881.6
Allowed / game87.586.189.1
Point differential+2.1+10.6-7.6
Avg total177.2182.9170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1511473%86.982.8+4.1
2 Monaco1510567%86.880.9+5.9
3 Bayern1510567%89.787.5+2.1
4 Fenerbahce1510567%78.978.3+0.5
5 Olympiacos159660%84.981.2+3.7
6 Olimpia Milano159660%88.386.6+1.7
7 Zalgiris Kaunas159660%76.775.4+1.3
8 Crvena zvezda158753%84.782.0+2.7
9 Anadolu Efes158753%84.782.9+1.7
10 Panathinaikos158753%84.083.8+0.2
11 Barcelona158753%86.186.3-0.3
12 Partizan157847%81.680.9+0.7
13 Real Madrid156940%83.383.2+0.1
14 Baskonia156940%77.779.7-2.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne156940%82.685.7-3.1
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1541127%84.588.1-3.6
17 Virtus Bologna1531220%80.985.3-4.4
18 Alba Berlin1531220%80.591.9-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco1828311693
Bayern2416201474
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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