PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alba Berlin vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-80
15-28 19-17 17-16 18-19
Position#18
Record3-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game91.4
Alba Berlin
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Position#8
Record8-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game82.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18· Uber Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Real Madrid
26 Dec 2024
ABE69
MAD80
19 Mar 2024
ABE79
MAD86
12 Jan 2023
ABE77
MAD84
20 Jan 2022
ABE74
MAD89
29 Jan 2021
ABE63
MAD72
15 Jan 2015
ABE61
MAD79
27 Dec 2012
ABE63
MAD77
05 Feb 2009
ABE84
MAD87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
L
84-98
84
98
-14
78avg 77
A21/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
85-103
85
103
-18
80avg 77
H28/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
60-74
60
74
-14
55avg 77
H01/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
84avg 77
A04/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
80-100
80
100
-20
61avg 77
A06/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
L
67-80
67
80
-13
62avg 77
A08/12
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
90-91
90
91
-1
89avg 77
H12/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
66-86
66
86
-20
59avg 77
H17/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
85avg 77
A20/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
W
109-83
109
83
+26
109avg 77
A22/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
33-32
13-24
16-19
16-32
20-20
20-25
29-26
13-17
4-23
23-14
20-20
26-18
22-20
20-23
10-17
18-34
19-21
25-24
18-21
16-21
20-14
17-27
14-18
28-30
18-21
18-23
26-17
10-24
20-21
16-24
20-17
19-26
22-18
21-25
23-21
22-19
30-16
34-18
23-30
170.9Avg total
81.6Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.991.4171.4-11.518%
Season at home (9)81.289.2170.4-8.022%
Season away (8)78.593.9172.4-15.412%
Last 10 (10)81.689.3170.9-7.720%
Last 5 (5)83.486.0169.4-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)79.089.9168.9-10.921%
vs Similar (4)75.877.8153.5-2.050%
vs Weaker (7)90.686.4177.0+4.129%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
95avg 83
A28/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
67avg 83
A01/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
78-80
78
80
-2
74avg 83
A03/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
64avg 83
H05/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 83
H08/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
83-92
83
92
-9
78avg 83
H12/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
106-69
106
69
+37
113avg 83
H15/12
ACB
Paris
#9
W
96-85
96
85
+11
94avg 83
A17/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
94-72
94
72
+22
96avg 83
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
84-85
84
85
-1
76avg 83
A22/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
12-21
20-14
20-22
23-21
22-19
12-19
19-21
26-30
17-21
23-8
12-21
20-12
11-25
16-23
23-22
18-13
21-21
21-18
30-25
19-24
19-30
22-18
23-20
19-8
24-21
27-19
36-21
26-17
26-31
18-19
26-18
29-22
24-13
24-12
17-25
9-17
21-23
29-16
25-29
168.6Avg total
87.4Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.782.6167.4+2.147%
Season at home (9)87.281.6168.8+5.767%
Season away (8)81.983.9165.8-2.025%
Last 10 (10)87.481.2168.6+6.250%
Last 5 (5)92.680.6173.2+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
vs Similar (14)83.782.9166.6+0.843%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.277.7165.9+10.567%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
Alba BerlinReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A21/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H28/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
17-40
17
40
-23
H01/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A04/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A06/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/12
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H12/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H17/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A20/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A22/12
BBL
84.8Avg total
39.8Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.444.083.3-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.243.081.2-4.840%-
Last 30 away (15)40.544.985.5-4.420%-
Last 10 (10)39.845.084.8-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.083.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.945.583.5-7.616%-
vs Similar (4)36.839.876.5-3.075%-
vs Weaker (7)44.742.186.9+2.643%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A28/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A01/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A03/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H05/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H12/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H15/12
ACB
Paris
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A17/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A22/12
ACB
81.4Avg total
40.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.182.6+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.139.183.2+5.071%-
Last 30 away (13)40.441.481.8-1.038%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.681.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.284.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.049.094.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (14)40.141.781.9-1.636%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.538.082.5+6.580%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.322.5
55.8%
54.5%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.0
30.6%
36.2%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.6
74.9%
78.0%14.6
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.3
54.7%
54.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.5
37.9%
36.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.816.3
78.4%
78.0%16.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLLLLLWLLL
Real Madrid
LWWWLWLLLW
#18
League position
#8
-10.2
Net rating
+7.7
104.4
Offensive rating
114.2
114.7
Defensive rating
106.6
52.2%
Effective FG%
55.6%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
20.9%
Turnover %
17.0%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.6%
3-point %
37.9%
71.2%
Assist %
65.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 114.2Defence114.7 · 106.6Shooting52.2% · 55.6%3-point %30.6% · 37.9%Ball care20.9% · 17.0%Off. rebounds31.1% · 29.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alba Berlin wins
10
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
21/11/24Real Madrid v Alba Berlin98-84
19/03/24Alba Berlin v Real Madrid79-86
23/11/23Real Madrid v Alba Berlin99-75
12/01/23Alba Berlin v Real Madrid77-84
17/11/22Real Madrid v Alba Berlin90-72
20/01/22Alba Berlin v Real Madrid74-89
14/12/21Real Madrid v Alba Berlin87-64
29/01/21Alba Berlin v Real Madrid63-72
22/12/20Real Madrid v Alba Berlin91-62
12/03/15Real Madrid v Alba Berlin93-62
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24AGottingen109-83
20/12/24AOlympiacos85-90
17/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas66-86
12/12/24HPartizan90-91
08/12/24ABamberg67-80
06/12/24AMonaco80-100
04/12/24AVirtus Bologna90-88 OT
01/12/24HLudwigsburg60-74
28/11/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv85-103
21/11/24AReal Madrid84-98
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24AValencia84-85
19/12/24HMonaco94-72
17/12/24AParis96-85
15/12/24HBreogan106-69
12/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas83-92
08/12/24HUnicaja90-77
05/12/24HFenerbahce70-82
03/12/24ALyon-Villeurbanne78-80
01/12/24AJoventut Badalona76-80
28/11/24ABarcelona97-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL18%
HomeLWLLL22%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %18%22%12%
Points / game79.981.278.5
Allowed / game91.489.293.9
Point differential-11.5-8.0-15.4
Avg total171.4170.4172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%11%12%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW47%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayLLWLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%67%25%
Points / game84.787.281.9
Allowed / game82.681.683.9
Point differential+2.1+5.7-2.0
Avg total167.4168.8165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1611569%86.883.6+3.2
2 Monaco1711665%86.381.3+5.0
3 Olympiacos1711665%85.381.2+4.1
4 Bayern1711665%88.187.3+0.8
5 Fenerbahce1610662%77.979.1-1.2
6 Panathinaikos1710759%86.382.4+3.9
7 Anadolu Efes1710759%85.081.6+3.4
8 Zalgiris Kaunas1710759%76.975.0+1.9
9 Crvena zvezda179853%83.481.9+1.5
10 Barcelona179853%86.084.9+1.1
11 Olimpia Milano179853%86.987.1-0.2
12 Real Madrid178947%84.782.6+2.1
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne178947%82.384.5-2.2
14 Partizan1771041%81.281.2-0.1
15 Baskonia1771041%78.281.5-3.3
16 Virtus Bologna1741324%80.985.1-4.2
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv1741324%83.988.1-4.2
18 Alba Berlin1731418%79.991.4-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1519171869
Real Madrid2817161980
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.