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Alba Berlin vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 67-94
25-19 18-21 8-27 16-27
Position#18
Record3-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#4
Record8-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game74.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17· Uber Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Olympiacos
04 Apr 2025
ABE92
OLY100
29 Dec 2023
ABE67
OLY94
08 Feb 2023
ABE60
OLY93
10 Mar 2022
ABE90
OLY75
18 Mar 2021
ABE80
OLY84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-99
75
99
-24
60avg 80
A23/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 80
A26/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
81-102
81
102
-21
72avg 80
A30/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
64-62
64
62
+2
46avg 80
H05/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
89-97
89
97
-8
83avg 80
H07/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#6
W
85-70
85
70
+15
84avg 80
A09/12
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
71-85
71
85
-14
71avg 80
A14/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 80
A17/12
BBL
Barcelona
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
66avg 80
H19/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
82-91
82
91
-9
69avg 80
H22/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
16-17
18-23
24-32
21-19
13-28
29-21
16-19
14-29
28-29
24-23
15-21
13-20
12-8
14-17
25-17
15-22
25-15
25-27
24-33
29-9
16-27
20-16
20-18
22-25
20-26
11-20
18-14
19-25
21-22
26-27
24-11
19-22
19-19
18-11
18-18
26-24
21-27
12-21
23-19
163.8Avg total
79.0Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.585.8162.2-9.219%
Season at home (8)79.183.1162.2-4.038%
Season away (8)73.988.4162.2-14.50%
Last 10 (10)79.084.8163.8-5.840%
Last 5 (5)80.480.2160.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.585.8162.2-9.219%
vs Similar (2)93.090.0183.0+3.050%
vs Weaker (12)90.881.2172.1+9.667%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
87-74
87
74
+13
86avg 82
H27/11
Basket League
Monaco
#3
L
77-85
77
85
-8
71avg 82
A30/11
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
96-54
96
54
+42
107avg 82
A02/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
57avg 82
H05/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
77-69
77
69
+8
71avg 82
H08/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
83-54
83
54
+29
83avg 82
A11/12
Basket League
Valencia
#14
L
56-63
56
63
-7
46avg 82
H15/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
67-69
67
69
-2
66avg 82
A19/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
85-73
85
73
+12
89avg 82
A22/12
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
84-65
84
65
+19
65avg 82
H24/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
16-19
20-19
24-22
17-22
22-16
20-20
18-27
26-19
24-6
25-11
21-18
19-23
17-14
21-24
14-16
24-8
17-21
13-15
23-25
22-13
22-15
21-13
18-13
15-14
11-21
12-12
18-16
19-17
21-11
15-19
12-22
25-18
24-19
22-20
14-16
33-17
18-11
15-18
18-19
146.6Avg total
78.3Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.474.4150.8+2.050%
Season at home (9)77.374.1151.4+3.256%
Season away (7)75.174.7149.9+0.443%
Last 10 (10)78.368.3146.6+10.060%
Last 5 (5)75.064.8139.8+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)73.173.0146.1+0.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)83.067.3150.2+15.785%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
Alba BerlinOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A23/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A26/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A30/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H05/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H07/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/12
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A14/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A17/12
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H22/12
Euroleague
82.6Avg total
38.6Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.744.286.9-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.143.486.4-0.336%-
Last 30 away (16)42.345.087.3-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)38.644.082.6-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)42.445.287.6-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.844.583.2-5.812%-
vs Similar (2)53.046.599.5+6.5100%-
vs Weaker (12)46.243.589.7+2.758%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H27/11
Basket League
Monaco
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A30/11
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
50-25
50
25
+25
A02/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H05/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H08/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A11/12
Basket League
Valencia
#14
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H15/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A19/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A22/12
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H24/12
Basket League
73.7Avg total
41.9Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.333.975.2+7.377%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.433.773.1+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)43.134.177.3+9.080%-
Last 10 (10)41.931.873.7+10.180%-
Last 5 (5)42.031.273.2+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)36.835.572.3+1.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.533.176.7+10.485%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.4
50.7%
53.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.1
35.5%
36.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.412.7
73.0%
77.4%12.7
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.817.9
54.6%
53.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.6
35.6%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.013.2
73.3%
77.4%13.2
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWWLWLWLLL
Olympiacos
WWLLWWLWLW
#18
League position
#4
-8.3
Net rating
+15.1
104.6
Offensive rating
113.7
112.9
Defensive rating
98.7
51.7%
Effective FG%
54.0%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
21.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.5%
3-point %
35.6%
57.5%
Assist %
72.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 113.7Defence112.9 · 98.7Shooting51.7% · 54.0%3-point %35.5% · 35.6%Ball care21.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds34.0% · 33.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alba Berlin wins
5
Olympiacos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23HFenerbahce82-91
19/12/23HBarcelona74-70
17/12/23AOldenburg90-85
14/12/23ACrvena zvezda71-85
09/12/23ASyntainics MBC85-70
07/12/23HAnadolu Efes89-97
05/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas64-62
30/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv81-102
26/11/23ALudwigsburg79-87
23/11/23AReal Madrid75-99
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23HApollon Patras84-65
22/12/23ALyon-Villeurbanne85-73
19/12/23AVirtus Bologna67-69
15/12/23HValencia56-63
11/12/23AAS Karditsas83-54
08/12/23HBayern77-69
05/12/23HReal Madrid71-77
02/12/23ALavrio96-54
30/11/23AMonaco77-85
27/11/23HPeristeri87-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL19%
HomeLWLWL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %19%38%0%
Points / game76.579.173.9
Allowed / game85.883.188.4
Point differential-9.2-4.0-14.5
Avg total162.2162.2162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %50%56%43%
Points / game76.477.375.1
Allowed / game74.474.174.7
Point differential+2.0+3.2+0.4
Avg total150.8151.4149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%22%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %12%11%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1716194%87.574.5+12.9
2 Virtus Bologna1712571%82.480.4+2.1
3 Barcelona1611569%83.278.3+4.9
4 Panathinaikos1710759%82.179.5+2.6
5 Fenerbahce1710759%82.181.2+0.9
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv1710759%86.586.7-0.2
7 Monaco169756%80.779.8+0.9
8 Partizan179853%85.284.2+1.0
9 Valencia179853%74.674.5+0.2
10 Baskonia179853%82.182.6-0.5
11 Olympiacos168850%76.474.4+2.0
12 Bayern178947%79.681.5-1.9
13 Olimpia Milano1771041%79.177.2+1.9
14 Anadolu Efes1771041%81.287.1-5.8
15 Crvena zvezda1761135%80.880.6+0.2
16 Zalgiris Kaunas1751229%78.581.2-2.6
17 Alba Berlin1631319%76.585.8-9.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1721512%78.487.8-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin251881667
Olympiacos1921272794
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