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Alba Berlin vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 92-100
17-36 29-25 27-19 19-20
Position#18
Record5-27
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game91.6
vs
Position#2
Record22-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game81.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 33· Uber Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Olympiacos
04 Apr 2025
ABE92
OLY100
29 Dec 2023
ABE67
OLY94
08 Feb 2023
ABE60
OLY93
10 Mar 2022
ABE90
OLY75
18 Mar 2021
ABE80
OLY84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#15
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 77
H03/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
L
85-99
85
99
-14
77avg 77
H07/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
L
90-101 OT
90
101
-11
83avg 77
A09/03
BBL
Baskonia
#14
W
97-90
97
90
+7
91avg 77
H13/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
108-73
108
73
+35
107avg 77
A16/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
81-91
81
91
-10
75avg 77
A21/03
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
L
80-84
80
84
-4
80avg 77
H23/03
BBL
Partizan
#12
L
71-85
71
85
-14
70avg 77
A25/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
64-108
64
108
-44
42avg 77
H28/03
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
L
86-90
86
90
-4
81avg 77
A31/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
21-18
23-25
24-18
20-18
19-23
25-25
21-33
16-17
33-20
13-21
24-28
26-24
24-22
25-23
22-21
28-23
30-18
23-15
27-17
19-23
16-23
29-20
17-25
19-27
23-17
15-18
23-22
14-13
20-27
22-21
15-24
15-27
18-35
11-25
20-21
21-19
23-28
20-21
22-22
174.6Avg total
84.8Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.891.6170.4-12.916%
Season at home (16)80.791.3172.0-10.619%
Season away (16)76.891.9168.8-15.112%
Last 10 (10)84.889.8174.6-5.030%
Last 5 (5)76.491.6168.0-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.491.9169.3-14.513%
vs Similar (4)93.088.5181.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (11)86.581.4167.8+5.155%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
92-70
92
70
+22
97avg 84
A28/02
Euroleague
Peristeri
#9
W
82-69
82
69
+13
85avg 84
A02/03
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
82-70
82
70
+12
86avg 84
H07/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
95-76
95
76
+19
90avg 84
H09/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
75avg 84
H14/03
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
104-88
104
88
+16
104avg 84
A17/03
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
73-81
73
81
-8
70avg 84
H20/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
95-64
95
64
+31
94avg 84
H23/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
70-81
70
81
-11
60avg 84
A25/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
77-80
77
80
-3
70avg 84
H27/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-14
20-15
14-25
24-16
20-22
20-23
20-14
22-10
27-18
19-14
18-19
18-19
20-15
23-23
25-20
27-18
20-9
18-18
24-23
14-24
24-19
31-21
21-26
28-22
8-20
19-23
28-15
18-23
22-9
26-16
20-20
27-19
16-14
23-23
13-21
18-23
15-23
22-12
23-23
17-22
159.9Avg total
84.6Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)86.181.2167.2+4.969%
Season at home (16)86.278.0164.2+8.275%
Season away (16)86.084.3170.3+1.762%
Last 10 (10)84.675.3159.9+9.370%
Last 5 (5)83.878.8162.6+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
vs Similar (9)81.781.4163.1+0.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)91.576.7168.2+14.795%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
Alba BerlinOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#15
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H03/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H07/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A09/03
BBL
Baskonia
#14
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H13/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A16/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A21/03
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H23/03
BBL
Partizan
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
33-62
33
62
-29
H28/03
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A31/03
BBL
86.1Avg total
42.3Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.184.4-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.544.485.8-2.938%-
Last 30 away (17)41.242.183.2-0.935%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.886.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.647.885.4-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.746.383.9-8.67%-
vs Similar (4)46.240.887.0+5.575%-
vs Weaker (11)44.539.584.0+4.964%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
54-29
54
29
+25
A28/02
Euroleague
Peristeri
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A02/03
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H07/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H09/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#3
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H14/03
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A17/03
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H20/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H23/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A25/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H27/03
Euroleague
77.8Avg total
42.7Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.437.780.1+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.336.578.8+5.980%-
Last 30 away (15)42.538.981.4+3.760%-
Last 10 (10)42.735.177.8+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.077.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.030.064.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (9)39.738.177.8+1.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.638.483.0+6.274%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.1
54.2%
54.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.1
34.3%
36.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.516.3
69.4%
78.0%16.3
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.020.8
61.2%
54.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.2
34.6%
36.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.615.4
74.8%
78.0%15.4
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLLLLWWLLW
Olympiacos
LLWLWWWWWW
#18
League position
#2
-6.5
Net rating
+14.0
108.4
Offensive rating
117.3
114.9
Defensive rating
103.3
53.1%
Effective FG%
57.1%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
19.6%
Turnover %
17.7%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.3%
3-point %
34.6%
68.8%
Assist %
70.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 117.3Defence114.9 · 103.3Shooting53.1% · 57.1%3-point %34.3% · 34.6%Ball care19.6% · 17.7%Off. rebounds32.4% · 31.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alba Berlin wins
8
Olympiacos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/25AHeidelberg86-90
28/03/25HVirtus Bologna64-108
25/03/25APartizan71-85
23/03/25HWurzburg80-84
21/03/25APanathinaikos81-91
16/03/25ABasketball Braunschweig108-73
13/03/25HBaskonia97-90
09/03/25AUlm90-101 OT
07/03/25HBarcelona85-99
03/03/25HBamberg86-77
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25HMonaco77-80
25/03/25ALyon-Villeurbanne70-81
23/03/25HPanionios95-64
20/03/25HCrvena zvezda73-81
17/03/25AMaroussi104-88
14/03/25HPanathinaikos76-74
09/03/25HKolossos Rhodes95-76
07/03/25HPartizan82-70
02/03/25APeristeri82-69
28/02/25AVirtus Bologna92-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL16%
HomeLLLWL19%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %16%19%12%
Points / game78.880.776.8
Allowed / game91.691.391.9
Point differential-12.9-10.6-15.1
Avg total170.4172.0168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL69%
HomeWWWLL75%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %69%75%62%
Points / game86.186.286.0
Allowed / game81.278.084.3
Point differential+4.9+8.2+1.7
Avg total167.2164.2170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%44%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)80% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos32221069%86.181.2+4.9
2 Fenerbahce33221167%83.081.3+1.7
3 Panathinaikos33211264%87.783.2+4.5
4 Monaco33201361%86.483.1+3.4
5 Barcelona33191458%88.084.3+3.7
6 Real Madrid33191458%84.982.5+2.4
7 Bayern33191458%87.587.7-0.2
8 Anadolu Efes32181456%86.482.0+4.5
9 Crvena zvezda32181456%81.779.7+2.0
10 Paris33181555%86.986.3+0.6
11 Olimpia Milano32161650%85.186.5-1.4
12 Partizan33161748%81.579.8+1.8
13 Zalgiris Kaunas33151845%77.478.7-1.3
14 Baskonia32131941%81.583.0-1.6
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne32131941%81.284.6-3.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv33112233%85.789.5-3.8
17 Virtus Bologna3282425%78.683.9-5.3
18 Alba Berlin3252716%78.891.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1729271992
Olympiacos36251920100
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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