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Ulm vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-84
27-18 19-20 8-28 22-18
Position#6
Record14-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game78.1
Ulm
Germany
vs
Alba Berlin 🏆
Germany
Position#1
Record16-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game74.1
GermanyBBLRound 22
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Ulm v Alba Berlin
13 Mar 2027
ULM v ABE
upcoming
22 Apr 2026
ULM77
ABE89
24 May 2025
ULM93
ABE84
17 May 2025
ULM94
ABE83
09 Mar 2025
ULM101
ABE90
07 Oct 2023
ULM100
ABE88
24 May 2023
ULM83
ABE81
17 May 2023
ULM77
ABE91
18 Dec 2022
ULM83
ABE110
21 Nov 2021
ULM66
ABE71
05 Jun 2021
ULM75
ABE77
03 Jun 2021
ULM72
ABE80
07 Mar 2021
ULM76
ABE84
11 Feb 2020
ULM106
ABE112
21 May 2019
ULM v ABE
upcoming
20 Oct 2018
ULM74
ABE92
30 Sep 2017
ULM68
ABE72
18 Mar 2017
ULM82
ABE76
02 Apr 2016
ULM78
ABE68
19 Apr 2015
ULM66
ABE80
17 May 2014
ULM89
ABE95
13 May 2014
ULM89
ABE90
08 Feb 2014
ULM87
ABE92
31 Mar 2013
ULM92
ABE73
24 Mar 2013
ULM67
ABE85
11 Apr 2012
ULM91
ABE72
06 Nov 2010
ULM77
ABE73
13 Feb 2010
ULM77
ABE86
02 Nov 2008
ULM69
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#11
W
98-74
98
74
+24
no box
A17/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
102-63
102
63
+39
104avg 82
H24/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
104-92
104
92
+12
102avg 82
A30/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
80-76
80
76
+4
70avg 82
H02/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
92-94
92
94
-2
88avg 82
A07/02
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
77-81
77
81
-4
65avg 82
H09/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
93-64
93
64
+29
94avg 82
H12/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
87-68
87
68
+19
88avg 82
A14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
102-73
102
73
+29
105avg 82
H27/02
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
89-76
89
76
+13
90avg 82
H03/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-14
20-27
22-19
27-14
23-8
25-17
29-21
25-17
34-26
17-26
34-23
19-17
18-27
21-15
15-12
26-22
30-31
24-15
17-21
21-27
23-21
15-19
16-18
23-23
22-18
24-16
30-17
17-13
23-20
21-20
21-11
22-17
31-13
29-16
15-29
27-15
24-18
25-20
19-16
21-22
168.5Avg total
92.4Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.178.1166.2+10.067%
Season at home (11)86.174.3160.4+11.873%
Season away (10)90.482.3172.7+8.160%
Last 10 (10)92.476.1168.5+16.380%
Last 5 (5)89.672.4162.0+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.181.7161.8-1.620%
vs Weaker (20)88.475.2163.7+13.285%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#5
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
no box
A05/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
83-65
83
65
+18
78avg 75
H07/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
101-77
101
77
+24
100avg 75
A09/02
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
76avg 75
H12/02
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
67-76
67
76
-9
56avg 75
A14/02
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
82avg 75
A19/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
74-65
74
65
+9
66avg 75
H26/02
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
100-62
100
62
+38
104avg 75
H28/02
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
71-87
71
87
-16
64avg 75
A02/03
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#18
W
100-81
100
81
+19
no box
A05/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-10
17-23
23-25
21-29
17-6
17-21
26-22
23-16
28-19
24-25
26-24
23-9
21-20
26-18
21-14
12-16
20-20
18-16
15-17
14-23
22-24
20-21
18-22
24-22
11-17
17-17
22-19
24-12
24-8
25-17
26-16
25-21
24-23
24-20
19-25
4-19
20-25
21-22
27-20
32-14
162.6Avg total
85.5Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.774.1159.8+11.689%
Season at home (11)88.772.5161.2+16.3100%
Season away (7)81.076.7157.7+4.371%
Last 10 (10)85.577.1162.6+8.460%
Last 5 (5)85.876.8162.6+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.084.2160.2-8.222%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.181.7160.9-2.643%
vs Weaker (14)89.073.0162.0+16.093%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
UlmAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#11
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A17/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H24/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A30/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A07/02
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H09/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H12/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
60-29
60
29
+31
H27/02
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H03/03
BBL
86.5Avg total
47.8Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.438.281.6+5.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.435.477.8+7.162%-
Last 30 away (14)44.441.585.9+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)47.838.786.5+9.170%-
Last 5 (5)47.436.283.6+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.339.781.0+1.650%-
vs Weaker (20)44.437.581.9+6.965%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#5
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A05/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H07/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A09/02
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H12/02
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A14/02
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A19/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H26/02
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H28/02
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A02/03
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#18
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A05/03
Euroleague
79.4Avg total
42.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.779.7+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.436.977.4+3.571%-
Last 30 away (13)41.741.082.7+0.754%-
Last 10 (10)42.237.279.4+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.880.4+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.740.880.4-1.156%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.038.674.6-2.629%-
vs Weaker (14)44.337.481.7+6.986%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 91.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.217.5
57.9%
54.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.611.4
42.9%
37.1%34.2
🏀 Free throws25.822.6
87.6%
78.0%22.6
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.216.9
48.0%
54.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.112.4
38.6%
37.1%37.2
🏀 Free throws14.812.5
84.5%
78.0%12.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWWLLWWWW
Alba Berlin
WLWWLLWWWL
#6
League position
#1
+22.9
Net rating
+13.0
125.8
Offensive rating
111.2
102.9
Defensive rating
98.1
60.9%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.2%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.22
42.9%
3-point %
38.6%
62.3%
Assist %
67.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence125.8 · 111.2Defence102.9 · 98.1Shooting60.9% · 52.7%3-point %42.9% · 38.6%Ball care16.8% · 17.2%Off. rebounds29.0% · 32.7%Free throws0.45 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Ulm   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ulm wins
8
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
19/12/20Alba Berlin v Ulm93-83
11/02/20Ulm v Alba Berlin106-112 OT
03/11/19Alba Berlin v Ulm109-89
18/05/19Alba Berlin v Ulm107-78
02/04/19Alba Berlin v Ulm92-81
20/10/18Ulm v Alba Berlin74-92
01/05/18Alba Berlin v Ulm102-73
30/09/17Ulm v Alba Berlin68-72
18/03/17Ulm v Alba Berlin82-76
03/10/16Alba Berlin v Ulm94-98
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/21HHamburg89-76
27/02/21HSyntainics MBC102-73
14/02/21AFrankfurt87-68
12/02/21HGottingen93-64
09/02/21HBayern77-81
07/02/21ABasketball Braunschweig92-94
02/02/21HFrankfurt80-76
30/01/21ASyntainics MBC104-92
24/01/21HChemnitz102-63
17/01/21AGottingen98-74
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/21AKhimki M.100-81
02/03/21AZenit Petersburg71-87
28/02/21HCrailsheim Merlins100-62
26/02/21HPanathinaikos74-65
19/02/21AFenerbahce84-89
14/02/21ABamberg67-76
12/02/21HBayreuth80-68
09/02/21ACrailsheim Merlins101-77
07/02/21HChemnitz83-65
05/02/21ABayern95-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%73%60%
Points / game88.186.190.4
Allowed / game78.174.382.3
Point differential+10.0+11.8+8.1
Avg total166.2160.4172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%45%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)60% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %89%100%71%
Points / game85.788.781.0
Allowed / game74.172.576.7
Point differential+11.6+16.3+4.3
Avg total159.8161.2157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%100%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg2019195%88.877.7+11.1
2 Alba Berlin1816289%85.774.1+11.6
3 Bayern2016480%87.877.4+10.4
4 Oldenburg2116576%92.884.4+8.3
5 Crailsheim Merlins2216673%88.084.2+3.8
6 Ulm2114767%88.178.1+10.0
7 Hamburg1910953%83.879.4+4.4
8 Bamberg21101148%82.580.7+1.9
9 Frankfurt2291341%77.781.8-4.1
10 Bonn2081240%82.384.0-1.7
11 Basketball Braunschweig1871139%85.890.5-4.7
12 Chemnitz1871139%81.488.4-7.1
13 s.Oliver Wurzburg1971237%80.686.2-5.6
14 Bayreuth2281436%83.186.0-2.9
15 Gottingen2171433%82.391.5-9.1
16 Syntainics MBC2061430%85.290.2-5.0
17 Giessen2241818%84.595.7-11.2
18 Vechta2231914%78.887.3-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm271982276
Alba Berlin1820281884
← all games of the day
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