Albury vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Apr 2017

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 98-97

35-25 22-24 17-21 24-27

Position#11

Record1-2

FormWLLLW

Points / game92.3

Allowed / game88.3

Albury 🏆

Geelong

Position#4

Record3-1

FormLWWLW

Points / game83.2

Allowed / game70.5

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Albury v Geelong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Albury winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Albury

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

76-92

-16

H16/07

SEABL

Canberra

96-91

A23/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

81-93

-12

A30/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

87-76

+11

H06/08

SEABL

Bendigo

105-108 OT

105

108

-3

H13/08

SEABL

Geelong

84-82

A20/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

66-97

-31

A26/08

SEABL

Mt Gambier

83-87

-4

H25/03

SEABL

Nunawading

87-96

-9

H01/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

107-82

107

+25

H08/04

SEABL

18-21

27-34

17-18

14-19

29-14

24-22

26-16

17-39

22-19

23-14

18-29

18-31

20-13

26-26

26-19

15-18

24-24

21-27

22-19

26-23

21-25

25-22

18-18

20-17

12-22

18-31

16-17

20-27

22-35

16-16

23-19

22-17

23-22

20-25

26-23

18-26

30-15

25-20

36-26

16-21

177.6Avg total

87.2Scored

90.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	92.3	88.3	180.7	+4.0	33%
Season at home (3)	92.3	88.3	180.7	+4.0	33%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	87.2	90.4	177.6	-3.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	88.8	174.2	-3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	81.9	93.0	174.9	-11.1	20%
vs Similar (8)	89.4	85.1	174.5	+4.2	75%
vs Weaker (7)	92.9	78.0	170.9	+14.9	57%

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

79-90

-11

A22/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

104-72

104

+32

A23/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

100-79

100

+21

H30/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

93-74

+19

H06/08

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

115-93

115

+22

H13/08

SEABL

Albury

82-84

-2

H20/08

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

97-68

+29

H25/03

SEABL

Ballarat

100-76

100

+24

H31/03

SEABL

Dandenong

62-75

-13

H07/04

SEABL

Bendigo

74-63

+11

A08/04

SEABL

13-15

18-22

20-31

28-22

22-12

24-21

27-25

31-14

22-16

30-20

26-24

22-19

29-20

19-14

26-18

19-22

34-28

32-20

27-23

22-22

25-21

22-25

18-18

17-20

18-15

36-19

23-19

20-15

23-20

32-17

18-16

27-23

13-23

10-21

20-14

19-17

20-18

19-18

17-18

18-9

168.0Avg total

90.6Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	83.2	70.5	153.8	+12.8	75%
Season at home (3)	86.3	73.0	159.3	+13.3	67%
Season away (1)	74.0	63.0	137.0	+11.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	90.6	77.4	168.0	+13.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	73.2	156.2	+9.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	83.0	91.3	174.3	-8.3	33%
vs Similar (6)	80.7	83.0	163.7	-2.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	89.1	78.0	167.1	+11.2	71%

This opponent (Albury) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlburyGeelong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.6	43.5	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	23.1	44.6	-1.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	22.1	42.3	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	21.0	43.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	23.8	45.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.4	24.8	44.2	-5.4	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	24.0	18.6	42.6	+5.4	75%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.6	22.6	43.1	-2.0	29%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	18.9	41.0	+3.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	19.9	42.9	+3.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	17.7	38.9	+3.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	18.8	40.7	+3.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	27.3	49.0	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.8	20.8	37.7	-4.0	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.7	17.1	40.8	+6.5	95%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	22.2	44.8	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.6	22.2	46.8	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	22.3	42.5	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	23.7	46.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	21.4	24.5	45.9	-3.1	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.0	21.5	44.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.4	18.1	42.6	+6.3	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	19.3	40.8	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.5	22.9	45.4	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	19.7	43.9	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.0	43.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.2	20.2	40.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.2	21.2	44.4	+2.0	62%	-

AlburyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

45-55

-10

H16/07

SEABL

Canberra

53-36

+17

A23/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

45-33

+12

A30/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

46-39

H06/08

SEABL

Bendigo

45-51

-6

H13/08

SEABL

Geelong

46-47

-1

A20/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

30-53

-23

A26/08

SEABL

Mt Gambier

38-51

-13

H25/03

SEABL

Nunawading

43-47

-4

H01/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

55-35

+20

H08/04

SEABL

89.3Avg total

44.6Scored

44.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	44.9	88.3	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.1	45.3	91.4	+0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	44.4	84.8	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	44.7	89.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	46.6	89.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	40.8	49.3	90.1	-8.5	13%	-
vs Similar (8)	47.0	40.1	87.1	+6.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (7)	45.0	40.7	85.7	+4.3	57%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

31-37

-6

A22/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

46-33

+13

A23/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

52-36

+16

H30/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

48-34

+14

H06/08

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

66-48

+18

H13/08

SEABL

Albury

47-46

H20/08

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

54-34

+20

H25/03

SEABL

Ballarat

55-37

+18

H31/03

SEABL

Dandenong

23-44

-21

H07/04

SEABL

Bendigo

39-36

A08/04

SEABL

84.6Avg total

46.1Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	39.9	84.0	+4.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.4	39.2	83.7	+5.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.6	40.6	84.3	+3.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.1	38.5	84.6	+7.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	39.4	83.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.7	48.3	87.0	-9.7	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.0	41.0	78.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	46.9	38.4	85.2	+8.5	90%	-

This opponent (Albury) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.1	43.7	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	21.7	44.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	22.6	42.7	-2.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	20.4	43.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.6	44.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.8	22.5	43.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.1	23.9	45.0	-2.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.7	19.4	43.1	+4.3	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.3	41.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	18.8	40.3	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	22.0	42.7	-1.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.3	17.7	41.0	+5.7	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.2	20.9	42.0	+0.3	52%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	23.8	42.4	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.5	20.2	39.7	-0.7	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.2	21.1	42.4	+0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.1	17.9	42.0	+6.3	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	21.4	43.1	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	18.3	40.6	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.0	25.3	46.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.7	22.5	46.2	+1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.1	18.7	39.8	+2.4	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	42.0	84.7	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	40.9	84.2	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.9	43.3	85.2	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	44.2	85.6	-2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	42.2	85.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	40.3	42.7	83.0	-2.3	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.4	45.0	87.4	-2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	47.9	37.3	85.1	+10.6	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	40.4	83.2	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.3	40.1	83.4	+3.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	40.7	82.9	+1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	38.9	83.4	+5.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	33.8	73.2	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	44.3	43.0	87.3	+1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.7	42.0	85.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	42.3	39.6	81.9	+2.7	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Albury wins

Geelong wins

Date	Game	Score
20/08/16	Geelong v Albury	82-84
21/05/16	Geelong v Albury	94-73
07/05/16	Albury v Geelong	94-97
05/09/15	Albury v Geelong	84-78
22/08/15	Albury v Geelong	88-83
13/06/15	Albury v Geelong	85-74
25/04/15	Geelong v Albury	96-87

Alburylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/17	H	Southern Sabres	107-82
01/04/17	H	Nunawading	87-96
25/03/17	H	Mt Gambier	83-87
26/08/16	A	Hobart Chargers	66-97
20/08/16	A	Geelong	84-82
13/08/16	H	Bendigo	105-108 OT
06/08/16	H	Brisbane Spartans	87-76
30/07/16	A	Brisbane Spartans	81-93
23/07/16	A	Canberra	96-91
16/07/16	H	Hobart Chargers	76-92

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/17	A	Bendigo	74-63
07/04/17	H	Dandenong	62-75
31/03/17	H	Ballarat	100-76
25/03/17	H	BA CoE	97-68
20/08/16	H	Albury	82-84
13/08/16	H	Melbourne Tigers	115-93
06/08/16	H	NW Tasmania	93-74
30/07/16	H	BA CoE	100-79
23/07/16	A	NW Tasmania	104-72
22/07/16	A	Hobart Chargers	79-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Albury

SEABL 2017

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLW	33%
Home	LLW	33%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	3	-
Win %	33%	33%	-
Points / game	92.3	92.3	-
Allowed / game	88.3	88.3	-
Point differential	+4.0	+4.0	-
Avg total	180.7	180.7	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	33%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

Geelong

SEABL 2017

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLW	75%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	3	1
Win %	75%	67%	100%
Points / game	83.2	86.3	74.0
Allowed / game	70.5	73.0	63.0
Point differential	+12.8	+13.3	+11.0
Avg total	153.8	159.3	137.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	75%	67%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Hobart Chargers	4	4	0	100%	99.8	65.8	+34.0
2	Mt Gambier	3	3	0	100%	91.0	79.0	+12.0
3	Nunawading	4	4	0	100%	90.0	78.2	+11.8
4	Geelong	4	3	1	75%	83.2	70.5	+12.8
5	Dandenong	4	3	1	75%	73.8	74.2	-0.5
6	Ballarat	3	2	1	67%	81.3	85.7	-4.3
7	Bendigo	4	2	2	50%	74.0	68.5	+5.5
8	Kilsyth	6	3	3	50%	75.3	74.2	+1.2
9	Melbourne Tigers	4	2	2	50%	80.2	89.8	-9.5
10	Albury	3	1	2	33%	92.3	88.3	+4.0
11	BA CoE	3	1	2	33%	71.0	87.0	-16.0
12	NW Tasmania	4	1	3	25%	70.5	86.0	-15.5
13	Southern Sabres	5	1	4	20%	75.2	85.0	-9.8
14	Canberra	4	0	4	0%	81.2	92.2	-11.0
15	Frankston	5	0	5	0%	78.6	89.6	-11.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Albury	35	22	17	24	98
Geelong	25	24	21	27	97

← all games of the day

Albury vs Geelong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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