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Alftanes vs Hottur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 111-77
26-26 31-17 24-15 30-19
Position#2
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Alftanes 🏆
Iceland
vs
Hottur
Iceland
Position#8
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
IcelandPremier leagueRound 1· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alftanes v Hottur
08 Oct 2026
ALFT111
HOTT77
19 Dec 2024
ALFT89
HOTT92
04 Apr 2024
ALFT63
HOTT54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hottur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Thorl
#11
W
97-75
97
75
+22
101avg 83
H09/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A16/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
89-83
89
83
+6
84avg 83
H22/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
96-101
96
101
-5
92avg 83
A29/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
80-87
80
87
-7
63avg 83
A12/02
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
87-108
87
108
-21
75avg 83
H20/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
96-106
96
106
-10
76avg 83
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
89-93
89
93
-4
83avg 83
H12/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
104-115
104
115
-11
96avg 83
A21/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
124-115
124
115
+9
119avg 83
H26/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
15-23
24-15
30-15
19-24
24-19
20-18
15-22
22-28
19-12
27-25
21-18
21-28
24-29
35-17
16-27
24-27
18-17
20-21
18-22
23-26
18-23
24-34
22-25
20-17
16-28
33-39
27-22
23-31
29-23
24-25
13-14
31-25
31-29
23-30
19-31
29-30
30-33
30-35
35-17
190.6Avg total
94.0Scored
96.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)94.096.6190.6-2.630%
Last 5 (5)100.0107.4207.4-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)93.0102.4195.4-9.431%
vs Similar (10)90.596.6187.1-6.120%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)96.774.7171.3+22.083%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#10
L
98-112
98
112
-14
no box
A09/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
63-64
63
64
-1
no box
H16/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
101-110
101
110
-9
no box
A23/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
85-97
85
97
-12
no box
H30/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
58-92
58
92
-34
no box
A07/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H13/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
75-97
75
97
-22
no box
A01/03
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
103-95
103
95
+8
no box
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
A14/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
H27/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
24-37
23-33
22-19
20-22
20-14
9-11
14-17
23-30
18-15
31-31
29-34
26-23
22-28
17-29
20-17
19-17
15-33
15-26
9-16
17-18
30-28
19-19
17-21
19-15
19-26
23-19
14-37
30-28
32-30
13-26
28-11
18-22
16-17
26-30
23-15
26-24
22-20
19-24
32-27
178.0Avg total
84.8Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.893.2178.0-8.420%
Last 5 (5)88.691.4180.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)83.593.7177.2-10.125%
vs Similar (7)83.382.9166.1+0.443%
vs Weaker (2)97.084.5181.5+12.550%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
AlftanesHottur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#11
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H09/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A16/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H22/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A29/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A12/02
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H20/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H12/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A21/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H26/03
Premier league
95.8Avg total
46.4Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.246.493.6+0.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.547.396.8+2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)44.945.590.5-0.633%-
Last 10 (10)46.449.495.8-3.020%-
Last 5 (5)50.053.0103.0-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)49.450.599.9-1.238%-
vs Similar (10)44.548.593.0-4.010%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)47.234.381.5+12.883%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#10
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A09/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H16/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A23/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H30/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A07/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A01/03
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A14/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H27/03
Premier league
91.5Avg total
44.5Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.585.4-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.843.286.0-0.556%-
Last 30 away (14)38.845.984.7-7.17%-
Last 10 (10)44.547.091.5-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)45.845.691.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)41.247.088.2-5.825%-
vs Similar (7)39.741.080.7-1.329%-
vs Weaker (2)43.537.080.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 96.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.824.9
58.2%
56.2%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.9
34.5%
33.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.717.1
78.8%
73.9%17.1
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.4
50.7%
56.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.19.7
30.2%
33.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.115.9
79.1%
73.9%15.9
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
WLLLLLLWLW
Hottur
WLWLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#8
+1.3
Net rating
-10.6
102.7
Offensive rating
102.9
101.4
Defensive rating
113.5
55.6%
Effective FG%
48.2%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.5%
3-point %
30.2%
58.9%
Assist %
51.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 102.9Defence101.4 · 113.5Shooting55.6% · 48.2%3-point %34.5% · 30.2%Ball care14.5% · 15.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Alftanes   ■ Hottur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alftanes wins
3
Hottur wins
DateGameScore
27/03/25Hottur v Alftanes99-95
19/12/24Alftanes v Hottur89-92
04/04/24Alftanes v Hottur63-54
14/12/23Hottur v Alftanes78-73
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26HStjarnan124-115
21/03/26ATindastoll104-115
12/03/26HIR Reykjavik89-93
06/03/26HKeflavik96-106
20/02/26HValur87-108
12/02/26AKR Basket80-87
29/01/26ANjardvik96-101
22/01/26HAkranes IA89-83
16/01/26AGrindavik78-83
09/01/26HThorl97-75
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25HAlftanes99-95
14/03/25AIR Reykjavik83-84
06/03/25HThorl103-95
01/03/25AKR Basket75-97
13/02/25HStjarnan83-86
07/02/25AValur58-92
30/01/25HTindastoll85-97
23/01/25ANjardvik101-110
16/01/25HGrindavik63-64
09/01/25AKeflavik98-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Hottur
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alftanes26312430111
Hottur2617151977
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