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Alftanes vs Hottur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 63-54
14-14 12-11 20-10 17-19
Position#6
Record12-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#8
Record11-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game85.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 22· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alftanes v Hottur
08 Oct 2026
ALFT111
HOTT77
19 Dec 2024
ALFT89
HOTT92
04 Apr 2024
ALFT63
HOTT54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hottur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Breidablik
#11
W
106-100 OT
106
100
+6
no box
H18/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
W
90-79
90
79
+11
91avg 75
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
L
51-89
51
89
-38
33avg 75
A25/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
94-104
94
104
-10
85avg 75
H01/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
104-67
104
67
+37
107avg 75
A08/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
109-114 OT
109
114
-5
no box
H16/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
59avg 75
A07/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
86-77
86
77
+9
76avg 75
H14/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
60avg 75
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#10
W
98-91
98
91
+7
100avg 75
A28/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-22
16-23
18-22
19-22
24-23
18-22
20-17
28-17
9-22
13-14
10-28
19-25
28-26
25-24
17-30
24-24
23-22
33-13
18-12
30-20
28-21
26-23
17-20
16-23
27-25
15-21
14-21
15-22
19-30
27-21
12-10
28-16
17-23
22-28
24-14
9-25
23-24
27-18
21-26
27-23
178.1Avg total
88.1Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.082.9167.9+2.057%
Season at home (10)88.583.6172.1+4.970%
Season away (11)81.782.3164.0-0.545%
Last 10 (10)88.190.0178.1-1.950%
Last 5 (5)87.292.2179.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.282.4159.6-5.240%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.185.2167.3-3.242%
vs Weaker (6)95.879.2175.0+16.7100%
This opponent (Hottur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Breidablik
#11
W
86-78
86
78
+8
78avg 76
A11/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
85-88
85
88
-3
78avg 76
H18/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#1
L
93-123
93
123
-30
85avg 76
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#4
W
92-89
92
89
+3
84avg 76
A25/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 76
H01/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
83-92
83
92
-9
72avg 76
H15/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
82-92
82
92
-10
70avg 76
A07/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
71-110
71
110
-39
59avg 76
A11/03
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
93-68
93
68
+25
83avg 76
H14/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
87-82
87
82
+5
71avg 76
H28/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
27-15
19-14
18-37
24-21
28-35
11-13
22-19
21-29
15-25
31-37
26-32
33-23
24-22
13-22
22-22
22-20
26-13
22-20
23-27
26-23
23-23
16-24
18-22
18-24
32-22
14-25
18-21
16-35
23-27
17-22
15-26
19-17
26-19
28-18
20-14
13-18
17-20
29-26
28-18
176.7Avg total
86.5Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.085.0169.1-1.052%
Season at home (11)84.178.6162.7+5.564%
Season away (10)84.092.1176.1-8.140%
Last 10 (10)86.590.2176.7-3.750%
Last 5 (5)83.288.8172.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.794.5176.2-12.718%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.881.8166.6+3.055%
vs Weaker (7)90.183.6173.7+6.671%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
AlftanesHottur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breidablik
#11
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H18/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A25/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H01/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A08/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H16/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A07/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H14/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#10
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A28/03
Premier league
90.1Avg total
45.6Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)43.242.886.0+0.452%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.244.189.3+1.262%-
Last 30 away (12)41.041.382.3-0.342%-
Last 10 (10)45.644.590.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.246.893.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.643.886.4-1.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.243.784.8-2.533%-
vs Weaker (6)48.838.387.2+10.5100%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breidablik
#11
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A11/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H18/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#1
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#4
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A25/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H01/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H15/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A07/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A11/03
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H14/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H28/03
Premier league
89.8Avg total
45.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.843.585.3-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.241.481.6-1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)43.545.689.1-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)45.544.389.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.645.688.2-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.348.891.1-6.536%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.742.584.3-0.845%-
vs Weaker (7)41.437.478.9+4.057%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.518.4
46.6%
51.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.0
38.9%
34.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.412.0
69.0%
74.4%12.0
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.216.6
47.2%
51.2%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.2
35.8%
34.2%36.6
🏀 Free throws19.715.9
80.7%
74.4%15.9
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
WLWLLWLLWW
Hottur
WWLLLWWLLW
#6
League position
#8
-2.4
Net rating
-4.3
104.4
Offensive rating
105.7
106.8
Defensive rating
110.0
51.5%
Effective FG%
50.4%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
15.4%
Turnover %
18.1%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.9%
3-point %
35.8%
65.0%
Assist %
52.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 105.7Defence106.8 · 110.0Shooting51.5% · 50.4%3-point %38.9% · 35.8%Ball care15.4% · 18.1%Off. rebounds23.3% · 28.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Alftanes   ■ Hottur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alftanes wins
1
Hottur wins
DateGameScore
14/12/23Hottur v Alftanes78-73
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24AHaukar98-91
19/03/24HTindastoll72-90
14/03/24HStjarnan86-77
07/03/24AValur71-89
16/02/24HKeflavik109-114 OT
08/02/24AHamar104-67
01/02/24HThorl94-104
25/01/24ANjardvik51-89
21/01/24AGrindavik90-79
18/01/24HBreidablik106-100 OT
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24HTindastoll87-82
14/03/24HHaukar93-68
11/03/24AKeflavik71-110
07/03/24AStjarnan82-92
15/02/24HValur83-92
01/02/24HHamar93-80
25/01/24AThorl92-89
21/01/24HKeflavik93-123
18/01/24HNjardvik85-88
11/01/24ABreidablik86-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWWLLW70%
AwayLLWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%70%45%
Points / game85.088.581.7
Allowed / game82.983.682.3
Point differential+2.0+4.9-0.5
Avg total167.9172.1164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%20%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %14%20%9%
Hottur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW52%
HomeLWLWW64%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%64%40%
Points / game84.084.184.0
Allowed / game85.078.692.1
Point differential-1.0+5.5-8.1
Avg total169.1162.7176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur2117481%92.083.1+8.9
2 Keflavik2115671%98.091.0+7.0
3 Njardvik2115671%95.088.1+6.8
4 Grindavik2114767%93.387.0+6.4
5 Thorl2114767%92.089.9+2.1
6 Alftanes2112957%85.082.9+2.0
7 Hottur21111052%84.085.0-1.0
8 Tindastoll21101148%85.684.7+1.0
9 Stjarnan21101148%86.485.7+0.7
10 Haukar2151624%87.391.1-3.8
11 Breidablik2121910%86.0101.0-15.0
12 Hamar211205%83.898.8-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alftanes1412201763
Hottur1411101954
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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