PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Keflavik vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 88-84
19-28 25-16 25-25 19-15
Position#3
Record16-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game91.1
vs
Position#6
Record14-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game81.2
IcelandPremier leaguePremier League - Quarter-finals· Blue-hollin
Other2023-24
Meetings · Keflavik v Alftanes
21 Jan 2027
KEFL v ALFT
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
KEFL101
ALFT90
02 Jan 2025
KEFL87
ALFT89
19 Apr 2024
KEFL88
ALFT84
11 Apr 2024
KEFL99
ALFT92
17 Nov 2023
KEFL97
ALFT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
W
114-109 OT
114
109
+5
no box
A16/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
74-87
74
87
-13
54avg 90
H08/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
110-71
110
71
+39
111avg 90
H11/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
108-89
108
89
+19
101avg 90
A14/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
113-94
113
94
+19
115avg 90
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#2
W
92-79
92
79
+13
86avg 90
A23/03
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
W
127-114
127
114
+13
124avg 90
H28/03
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
100-106
100
106
-6
101avg 90
A04/04
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
99-92
99
92
+7
92avg 90
H11/04
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
56-77
56
77
-21
36avg 90
A15/04
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
23-26
20-17
23-16
11-32
21-16
20-16
22-23
35-16
27-23
22-17
26-15
32-25
24-13
25-21
27-30
27-24
23-17
34-26
29-27
21-22
21-22
31-23
19-12
28-29
29-25
30-33
40-27
27-20
26-29
16-22
31-35
24-20
27-17
26-23
22-32
6-17
23-20
18-18
9-22
191.1Avg total
99.3Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)96.491.1187.5+5.367%
Season at home (12)98.488.8187.2+9.683%
Season away (12)94.493.4187.8+1.050%
Last 10 (10)99.391.8191.1+7.570%
Last 5 (5)94.893.6188.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.091.5178.5-4.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)96.392.6188.9+3.657%
vs Weaker (11)102.387.7190.0+14.591%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Thorl
#4
L
94-104
94
104
-10
85avg 75
H01/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
104-67
104
67
+37
107avg 75
A08/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
109-114 OT
109
114
-5
no box
H16/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
59avg 75
A07/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
86-77
86
77
+9
76avg 75
H14/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
60avg 75
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#10
W
98-91
98
91
+7
100avg 75
A28/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
63-54
63
54
+9
55avg 75
H04/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
92-99
92
99
-7
91avg 75
A11/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
77-56
77
56
+21
74avg 75
H15/04
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
25-24
17-30
24-24
23-22
33-13
18-12
30-20
28-21
26-23
17-20
16-23
27-25
15-21
14-21
15-22
19-30
27-21
12-10
28-16
17-23
22-28
24-14
9-25
23-24
27-18
21-26
27-23
14-14
12-11
20-10
17-19
20-24
17-27
23-26
32-22
17-6
20-23
18-18
22-9
170.7Avg total
86.6Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.081.2165.2+2.858%
Season at home (12)85.478.8164.2+6.675%
Season away (12)82.683.7166.2-1.142%
Last 10 (10)86.684.1170.7+2.550%
Last 5 (5)80.478.0158.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.282.4159.6-5.240%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.182.1163.3-1.047%
vs Weaker (6)95.879.2175.0+16.7100%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
KeflavikAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A16/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H08/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H11/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A14/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A23/03
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H28/03
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A04/04
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H11/04
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A15/04
Premier league
91.7Avg total
47.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.345.193.4+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.545.194.6+4.464%-
Last 30 away (16)47.245.192.3+2.244%-
Last 10 (10)47.644.191.7+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.444.290.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.247.889.0-6.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)47.645.292.8+2.457%-
vs Weaker (11)51.044.395.3+6.755%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H01/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A08/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H16/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A07/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H14/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#10
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A28/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H04/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A11/04
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H15/04
Premier league
86.4Avg total
44.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)42.141.984.1+0.254%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.441.885.2+1.667%-
Last 30 away (13)40.742.182.8-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)44.042.486.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.677.4-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.643.886.4-1.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.641.981.5-2.340%-
vs Weaker (6)48.838.387.2+10.5100%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 97.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.4
57.6%
51.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.013.2
35.7%
34.2%39.6
🏀 Free throws22.217.1
77.0%
74.4%17.1
They take 72.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.1
46.5%
51.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.6
34.9%
34.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.512.0
68.6%
74.4%12.0
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
LWLWWWWWLW
Alftanes
WLWWLWLLWL
#3
League position
#6
+9.9
Net rating
-1.0
116.3
Offensive rating
100.8
106.4
Defensive rating
101.8
55.5%
Effective FG%
49.1%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
12.0%
Turnover %
15.6%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.7%
3-point %
34.9%
64.0%
Assist %
66.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 100.8Defence106.4 · 101.8Shooting55.5% · 49.1%3-point %35.7% · 34.9%Ball care12.0% · 15.6%Off. rebounds21.6% · 23.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Keflavik   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Keflavik wins
1
Alftanes wins
DateGameScore
15/04/24Alftanes v Keflavik77-56
11/04/24Keflavik v Alftanes99-92
16/02/24Alftanes v Keflavik109-114 OT
17/11/23Keflavik v Alftanes97-78
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/24AAlftanes56-77
11/04/24HAlftanes99-92
04/04/24AThorl100-106
28/03/24HNjardvik127-114
23/03/24ATindastoll92-79
19/03/24HStjarnan113-94
14/03/24ABreidablik108-89
11/03/24HHottur110-71
08/03/24HGrindavik74-87
16/02/24AAlftanes114-109 OT
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/24HKeflavik77-56
11/04/24AKeflavik92-99
04/04/24HHottur63-54
28/03/24AHaukar98-91
19/03/24HTindastoll72-90
14/03/24HStjarnan86-77
07/03/24AValur71-89
16/02/24HKeflavik109-114 OT
08/02/24AHamar104-67
01/02/24HThorl94-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game96.498.494.4
Allowed / game91.188.893.4
Point differential+5.3+9.6+1.0
Avg total187.5187.2187.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Alftanes
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayLWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%75%42%
Points / game84.085.482.6
Allowed / game81.278.883.7
Point differential+2.8+6.6-1.1
Avg total165.2164.2166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %12%17%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur2520580%92.483.4+9.0
2 Grindavik2518772%94.987.6+7.2
3 Thorl2517868%92.691.0+1.7
4 Keflavik2416867%96.491.1+5.3
5 Njardvik2516964%95.489.7+5.7
6 Alftanes24141058%84.081.2+2.8
7 Stjarnan22111150%86.885.5+1.4
8 Hottur25121348%82.184.6-2.5
9 Tindastoll25111444%87.186.9+0.2
10 Haukar2251723%87.992.0-4.1
11 Breidablik222209%85.7100.8-15.1
12 Hamar221215%84.299.5-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik1925251988
Alftanes2816251584
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.