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Alftanes vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 87-108
23-26 18-23 24-34 22-25
Position#8
Record7-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game89.1
vs
Valur 🏆
Iceland
Position#4
Record11-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game89.1
IcelandPremier leagueRound 18· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alftanes v Valur
18 Feb 2027
ALFT v VALU
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
ALFT87
VALU108
17 Oct 2024
ALFT100
VALU103
23 Nov 2023
ALFT73
VALU67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
86-97
86
97
-11
71avg 86
A05/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
78-137
78
137
-59
58avg 86
H12/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
65avg 86
A15/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#3
L
104-108
104
108
-4
96avg 86
A19/12
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
110-75
110
75
+35
122avg 86
A03/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
97-75
97
75
+22
101avg 86
H09/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A16/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
89-83
89
83
+6
84avg 86
H22/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
96-101
96
101
-5
92avg 86
A29/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
80-87
80
87
-7
63avg 86
A12/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
19-18
24-20
20-33
26-33
27-40
14-25
11-39
21-26
25-19
15-26
13-23
35-23
13-28
28-34
28-23
18-13
27-18
27-23
38-21
28-22
15-23
24-15
30-15
19-24
24-19
20-18
15-22
22-28
19-12
27-25
21-18
21-28
24-29
35-17
16-27
24-27
18-17
20-21
18-22
183.2Avg total
89.2Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)90.889.1179.8+1.741%
Season at home (7)93.789.1182.9+4.671%
Season away (10)88.789.0177.7-0.320%
Last 10 (10)89.294.0183.2-4.830%
Last 5 (5)88.085.8173.8+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)89.699.6189.2-10.136%
vs Similar ◀ (8)92.694.4187.0-1.838%
vs Weaker (7)96.478.1174.6+18.371%
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
W
111-91
111
91
+20
106avg 83
H11/12
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#12
W
85-69
85
69
+16
73avg 83
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
85-82
85
82
+3
75avg 83
A18/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
108-99 OT
108
99
+9
101avg 83
A03/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
102-105
102
105
-3
106avg 83
H08/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
L
93-94
93
94
-1
82avg 83
H12/01
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
77-94
77
94
-17
no box
A15/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
80-71 OT
80
71
+9
70avg 83
H22/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 83
A29/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
102-85
102
85
+17
98avg 83
H12/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
25-20
32-24
24-23
25-26
22-18
20-16
18-9
19-19
22-27
27-16
17-20
31-14
17-30
13-22
28-23
21-35
19-26
26-18
36-26
27-23
21-25
25-23
20-23
16-31
18-19
16-18
27-26
18-19
12-16
23-13
12-17
16-23
15-19
18-19
18-17
21-17
24-28
26-17
31-23
177.8Avg total
91.0Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)90.889.1179.9+1.865%
Season at home (9)90.686.4177.0+4.167%
Season away (8)91.192.0183.1-0.962%
Last 10 (10)91.086.8177.8+4.260%
Last 5 (5)83.884.4168.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.191.6174.7-8.414%
vs Similar ◀ (12)90.785.8176.5+4.867%
vs Weaker (10)91.784.4176.1+7.390%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
AlftanesValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A05/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
53-73
53
73
-20
H12/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A15/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A19/12
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A03/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H09/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A16/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H22/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A29/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A12/02
Premier league
92.1Avg total
44.8Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.845.792.5+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.445.395.7+5.162%-
Last 30 away (17)44.145.990.1-1.829%-
Last 10 (10)44.847.392.1-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)42.845.888.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)47.349.496.6-2.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)46.247.593.8-1.225%-
vs Weaker (7)46.736.383.0+10.471%-
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H11/12
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#12
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A18/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A03/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H08/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H12/01
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A15/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H22/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A29/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/02
Premier league
87.8Avg total
41.9Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.643.987.5-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.544.589.1+0.040%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.385.9-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)41.945.987.8-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.081.6-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.649.688.1-11.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)46.342.488.8+3.950%-
vs Weaker (10)43.541.785.2+1.840%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.823.1
54.0%
54.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.5
31.6%
34.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.617.0
75.2%
74.2%17.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.324.5
51.8%
54.6%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.7
35.2%
34.0%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.811.8
70.2%
74.2%11.8
They take 77.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
LLWLWWLLLL
Valur
WLWLLLWWWW
#8
League position
#4
-7.6
Net rating
+7.8
102.6
Offensive rating
104.0
110.2
Defensive rating
96.2
51.4%
Effective FG%
52.2%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
15.4%
Turnover %
12.3%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.6%
3-point %
35.2%
61.7%
Assist %
60.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 104.0Defence110.2 · 96.2Shooting51.4% · 52.2%3-point %31.6% · 35.2%Ball care15.4% · 12.3%Off. rebounds27.8% · 28.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Alftanes   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alftanes wins
4
Valur wins
DateGameScore
14/11/25Valur v Alftanes92-80
16/01/25Valur v Alftanes87-81
17/10/24Alftanes v Valur100-103 OT
07/03/24Valur v Alftanes89-71
23/11/23Alftanes v Valur73-67
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26AKR Basket80-87
29/01/26ANjardvik96-101
22/01/26HAkranes IA89-83
16/01/26AGrindavik78-83
09/01/26HThorl97-75
03/01/26AArmann110-75
19/12/25AStjarnan104-108
15/12/25AStjarnan74-94
12/12/25HTindastoll78-137
05/12/25AIR Reykjavik86-97
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26HAkranes IA102-85
29/01/26AGrindavik67-78
22/01/26HThorl80-71 OT
15/01/26AArmann77-94
12/01/26HKeflavik93-94
08/01/26HStjarnan102-105
03/01/26ATindastoll108-99 OT
18/12/25AIR Reykjavik85-82
15/12/25HIR Reykjavik85-69
11/12/25HKeflavik111-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL41%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %41%71%20%
Points / game90.893.788.7
Allowed / game89.189.189.0
Point differential+1.7+4.6-0.3
Avg total179.8182.9177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)100% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valur
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW65%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%67%62%
Points / game90.890.691.1
Allowed / game89.186.492.0
Point differential+1.8+4.1-0.9
Avg total179.9177.0183.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %18%11%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik1816289%93.788.1+5.7
2 Tindastoll1813572%101.691.2+10.4
3 Stjarnan1813572%103.994.5+9.4
4 Valur1711665%90.889.1+1.8
5 KR Basket1811761%99.994.7+5.3
6 Keflavik1810856%94.691.3+3.3
7 Alftanes1771041%90.889.1+1.7
8 IR Reykjavik1871139%90.791.7-1.1
9 Njardvik1861233%96.098.2-2.2
10 Thorl1851328%89.796.6-6.9
11 Akranes IA1841422%87.599.9-12.4
12 Armann1841422%86.5101.3-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alftanes2318242287
Valur26233425108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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