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Kretinga vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 65-81
24-20 21-26 13-11 7-24
Position#9
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game89.2
vs
Position#5
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game85.3
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kretinga v Jurbarkas
29 Oct 2026
KRET79
JURB86
12 Mar 2026
KRET77
JURB88
16 Oct 2025
KRET65
JURB81
05 Jan 2025
KRET57
JURB72
28 Apr 2024
KRET84
JURB89
20 Apr 2024
KRET76
JURB84
04 Jan 2024
KRET89
JURB82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
105-72
105
72
+33
109avg 76
H20/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
98-88
98
88
+10
102avg 76
A22/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
92-74
92
74
+18
92avg 76
A27/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
79-90
79
90
-11
72avg 76
H01/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
93-94
93
94
-1
90avg 76
A06/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
88-102
88
102
-14
80avg 76
H08/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
63avg 76
H02/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
71-98
71
98
-27
60avg 76
A04/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
106-71
106
71
+35
108avg 76
H09/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
88-99
88
99
-11
79avg 76
A11/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
27-13
24-18
34-23
21-17
27-32
20-17
30-22
26-14
27-18
21-19
18-23
17-19
31-21
22-29
9-21
25-19
22-26
26-23
20-26
23-20
21-27
19-26
25-29
16-23
20-22
17-23
25-21
19-18
13-17
17-29
22-34
26-19
22-12
29-22
29-18
23-25
24-29
27-17
14-28
177.5Avg total
89.8Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.889.2175.0-3.525%
Season at home (2)92.080.0172.0+12.050%
Season away (2)79.598.5178.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)89.887.7177.5+2.140%
Last 5 (5)86.291.8178.0-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.589.7167.2-12.215%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.082.8164.8-0.833%
vs Weaker (5)95.073.2168.2+21.8100%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
75avg 75
A22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
62-73
62
73
-11
59avg 75
A27/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
82-74
82
74
+8
76avg 75
H01/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
76-79
76
79
-3
66avg 75
H13/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
62avg 75
A16/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
73-65
73
65
+8
71avg 75
H19/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
62-92
62
92
-30
51avg 75
A21/03
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
93-94
93
94
-1
83avg 75
A02/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
73avg 75
H04/10
NKL
Silute
#12
L
69-89
69
89
-20
50avg 75
A11/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
19-15
21-20
27-18
12-23
14-13
22-19
14-18
15-11
22-18
24-17
21-28
20-17
21-24
16-15
19-23
18-18
14-14
16-15
10-11
21-14
12-16
15-20
25-15
11-24
19-28
22-25
10-15
20-14
13-25
30-34
30-21
22-19
21-15
23-19
14-20
16-27
12-24
19-16
22-22
154.1Avg total
75.2Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.785.3166.0-4.733%
Season at home (1)80.073.0153.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)81.091.5172.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)75.278.9154.1-3.740%
Last 5 (5)75.482.6158.0-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.085.0166.0-4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (21)79.781.6161.2-1.943%
vs Weaker (7)78.069.6147.6+8.486%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
KretingaJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H20/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A22/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A27/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H01/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A06/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H08/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H02/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A04/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H09/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A11/10
NKL
85.9Avg total
45.0Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.983.7+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.639.282.8+4.475%-
Last 30 away (14)41.942.884.7-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)45.040.985.9+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.483.8-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.344.685.9-3.346%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.438.481.8+5.067%-
vs Weaker (5)45.237.082.2+8.280%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A27/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H01/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H13/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A16/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H19/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A21/03
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A02/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H04/10
NKL
Silute
#12
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A11/10
NKL
71.4Avg total
33.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.276.5+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.435.576.9+5.964%-
Last 30 away (16)35.640.576.1-4.925%-
Last 10 (10)33.537.971.4-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)33.441.274.6-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.537.070.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)39.239.078.3+0.243%-
vs Weaker (7)36.935.972.7+1.043%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.523.9
57.6%
54.5%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.7
34.9%
32.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.412.1
69.5%
69.3%12.1
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.7
49.6%
54.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.47.4
27.0%
32.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.914.4
65.8%
69.3%14.4
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LWLLLLLWWW
Jurbarkas
LWLLWLLWLW
#9
League position
#5
+2.5
Net rating
-5.5
116.2
Offensive rating
98.7
113.7
Defensive rating
104.2
55.5%
Effective FG%
45.8%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
19.7%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.9%
3-point %
27.0%
68.8%
Assist %
58.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 98.7Defence113.7 · 104.2Shooting55.5% · 45.8%3-point %34.9% · 27.0%Ball care15.2% · 19.7%Off. rebounds31.9% · 35.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Kretinga   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kretinga wins
6
Jurbarkas wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25Kretinga v Jurbarkas57-72
05/10/24Jurbarkas v Kretinga87-86
28/04/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas84-89
25/04/24Jurbarkas v Kretinga93-76
20/04/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas76-84
17/04/24Jurbarkas v Kretinga78-87
04/01/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas89-82
09/11/23Jurbarkas v Kretinga94-80
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25AKedainiu SC88-99
09/10/25HAlytaus Alytus106-71
04/10/25ANeptunas 271-98
02/10/25HVytis VDU78-89
08/03/25HVytis VDU88-102
06/03/25AVytis VDU93-94
01/03/25HNeptunas 279-90
27/02/25ARytas 292-74
22/02/25ADelikatesas Joniskis98-88
20/02/25HAlytaus Alytus105-72
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25ASilute69-89
04/10/25HMazeikiai80-73
02/10/25AKedainiu SC93-94
21/03/25AVilkaviskis62-92
19/03/25HVilkaviskis73-65
16/03/25AVilkaviskis75-77 OT
13/03/25HVilkaviskis76-79
01/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas 282-74
27/02/25ATelsiai62-73
22/02/25ABC Olimpas Palanga80-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game85.892.079.5
Allowed / game89.280.098.5
Point differential-3.5+12.0-19.0
Avg total175.0172.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jurbarkas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game80.780.081.0
Allowed / game85.373.091.5
Point differential-4.7+7.0-10.5
Avg total166.0153.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vilkaviskis54180%84.675.6+9.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas 254180%84.679.8+4.8
3 Telsiai43175%88.882.2+6.5
4 Kedainiu SC43175%95.289.8+5.5
5 Suduva-Mantinga32167%79.777.7+2.0
6 Omega-Tauras53260%91.483.4+8.0
7 Rytas 253260%82.281.4+0.8
8 Silute53260%83.485.4-2.0
9 Neptunas 242250%87.878.5+9.2
10 Vytis VDU42250%80.579.0+1.5
11 Plunges Olimpas52340%87.685.8+1.8
12 Mazeikiai52340%79.884.8-5.0
13 Jurbarkas31233%80.785.3-4.7
14 Kretinga41325%85.889.2-3.5
15 Alytaus Alytus51420%75.084.4-9.4
16 BC Olimpas Palanga51420%76.686.8-10.2
17 Ukmerges Stekas3030%69.388.7-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga242113765
Jurbarkas2026112481
← all games of the day
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