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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Amager Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 69-47
22-14 17-10 16-12 14-11
Position#10
Record2-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game93.1
vs
Position#11
Record1-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game100.1
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby (Holbaek)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Amager
11 Mar 2026
HOLB75
AMAG83
11 Dec 2025
HOLB77
AMAG83
06 Apr 2025
HOLB104
AMAG93
04 Oct 2024
HOLB106
AMAG98
10 Mar 2024
HOLB91
AMAG80
07 Jan 2024
HOLB69
AMAG47
17 Apr 2023
HOLB79
AMAG89
08 Jan 2023
HOLB71
AMAG65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Amager winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
61-107
61
107
-46
41avg 53
A24/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
61-73
61
73
-12
47avg 53
H02/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
65-63
65
63
+2
59avg 53
A09/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#5
L
42-59
42
59
-17
no box
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#7
L
70-78
70
78
-8
61avg 53
H16/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
52-109
52
109
-57
32avg 53
H29/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
87-115
87
115
-28
70avg 53
H08/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
67-101
67
101
-34
55avg 53
A17/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
77-115
77
115
-38
50avg 53
A30/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
61-76
61
76
-15
53avg 53
H03/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
7-26
22-27
20-30
24-13
13-20
11-18
13-22
21-10
9-15
20-22
15-16
13-14
9-15
8-17
12-13
11-26
23-17
22-20
14-15
12-20
15-29
10-34
15-26
17-36
25-25
16-20
29-34
17-31
13-31
17-22
20-17
20-25
15-26
27-35
15-29
8-20
19-23
12-12
22-21
153.9Avg total
64.3Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)67.993.1161.1-25.214%
Season at home (7)67.190.6157.7-23.40%
Season away (7)68.795.7164.4-27.029%
Last 10 (10)64.389.6153.9-25.310%
Last 5 (5)68.8103.2172.0-34.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)68.090.1158.1-22.011%
vs Similar ◀ (2)72.578.0150.5-5.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Amager) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AmagerDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAmager
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
74-102
74
102
-28
58avg 61
A21/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
51-114
51
114
-63
41avg 61
A05/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
53-99
53
99
-46
37avg 61
H10/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
59-84
59
84
-25
no box
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#5
L
73-125
73
125
-52
55avg 61
A18/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
87-113
87
113
-26
79avg 61
A29/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
67-103
67
103
-36
57avg 61
A09/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
98-96
98
96
+2
92avg 61
H16/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
66-103
66
103
-37
54avg 61
H21/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
89-91
89
91
-2
75avg 61
A28/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
16-24
16-25
28-25
9-28
10-28
13-20
19-38
17-23
9-28
13-25
14-23
4-22
19-28
19-18
17-16
16-18
17-34
19-32
21-41
19-29
27-29
22-24
19-31
18-26
20-23
17-28
12-26
21-18
24-29
30-25
23-24
16-24
20-29
8-18
22-32
23-24
25-22
17-23
24-22
174.7Avg total
71.7Scored
103.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.9100.1173.0-27.17%
Season at home (6)75.895.7171.5-19.817%
Season away (8)70.8103.4174.1-32.60%
Last 10 (10)71.7103.0174.7-31.310%
Last 5 (5)81.4101.2182.6-19.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)78.495.8174.2-17.421%
vs Similar ◀ (2)86.089.0175.0-3.00%
vs Weaker (3)78.776.0154.7+2.767%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -6.4-6.4Q1: -8.3-8.3Q2Q2: -7.9-7.9Q2: -8.7-8.7Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -7.9-7.9
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -6.4-6.4Q1: -8.3-8.3Q2Q2: -7.9-7.9Q2: -8.7-8.7Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -7.9-7.9
Holbaek-StenhusAmager
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
19-50
19
50
-31
A24/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H02/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A09/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#5
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H16/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H29/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
42-61
42
61
-19
H08/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
30-62
30
62
-32
A17/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A30/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H03/01
Basketligaen
74.9Avg total
30.3Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.744.176.8-11.417%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.443.476.8-10.121%-
Last 30 away (16)32.244.776.9-12.512%-
Last 10 (10)30.344.674.9-14.320%-
Last 5 (5)32.253.285.4-21.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)32.745.478.1-12.711%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)38.533.572.0+5.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Amager) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AmagerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A21/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
19-56
19
56
-37
A05/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H10/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#5
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A18/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A29/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A09/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H16/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H21/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A28/12
Basketligaen
85.8Avg total
34.4Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.546.584.9-8.023%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.746.487.1-5.729%-
Last 30 away (16)36.546.583.0-10.019%-
Last 10 (10)34.451.485.8-17.010%-
Last 5 (5)42.650.693.2-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)38.547.786.2-9.221%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)39.037.576.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (3)42.741.384.0+1.333%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 66.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.318.1
39.1%
51.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.1
27.2%
31.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws15.49.1
59.1%
67.0%9.1
They take 72.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Amagertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Amager: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.921.1
48.1%
51.8%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.0
28.7%
31.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws21.512.9
60.0%
67.0%12.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLLLLLLWLL
Amager
LLWLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#11
-31.1
Net rating
-33.7
81.2
Offensive rating
84.6
112.2
Defensive rating
118.2
39.7%
Effective FG%
46.5%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
22.9%
Turnover %
24.6%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.2%
3-point %
28.7%
54.8%
Assist %
61.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence81.2 · 84.6Defence112.2 · 118.2Shooting39.7% · 46.5%3-point %27.2% · 28.7%Ball care22.9% · 24.6%Off. rebounds32.3% · 23.1%Free throws0.21 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 10%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Amager
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
3
Amager wins
DateGameScore
13/10/23Amager v Holbaek-Stenhus83-84
17/04/23Holbaek-Stenhus v Amager79-89
18/03/23Amager v Holbaek-Stenhus82-78
08/01/23Holbaek-Stenhus v Amager71-65
28/10/22Amager v Holbaek-Stenhus90-88 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24HHorsens61-76
30/12/23ASvendborg77-115
17/12/23ABakken Bears67-101
08/12/23HRanders87-115
29/11/23HBakken Bears52-109
16/11/23HVaerlose70-78
12/11/23ABears Academy42-59
09/11/23ABears Academy65-63
02/11/23HHerlev Wolfpack61-73
24/10/23ATeam FOG Naestved61-107
Amagerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23AVaerlose89-91
21/12/23HTeam FOG Naestved66-103
16/12/23HHerlev Wolfpack98-96
09/12/23ABears Academy67-103
29/11/23ATeam FOG Naestved87-113
18/11/23ASvendborg73-125
12/11/23ACopenhagen59-84
10/11/23HCopenhagen53-99
05/11/23AHorsens51-114
21/10/23ABakken Bears74-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %14%0%29%
Points / game67.967.168.7
Allowed / game93.190.695.7
Point differential-25.2-23.4-27.0
Avg total161.1157.7164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Amager
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL7%
HomeLLLWL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %7%17%0%
Points / game72.975.870.8
Allowed / game100.195.7103.4
Point differential-27.1-19.8-32.6
Avg total173.0171.5174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1514193%102.375.9+26.4
2 Team FOG Naestved1512380%97.779.9+17.8
3 Horsens1512380%89.471.8+17.6
4 Svendborg1512380%89.379.3+10.0
5 Randers149564%95.484.8+10.6
6 Vaerlose136746%81.886.7-4.8
7 Copenhagen156940%83.381.1+2.2
8 Bears Academy1431121%74.086.1-12.1
9 Herlev Wolfpack1421214%71.492.4-21.0
10 Holbaek-Stenhus1421214%67.993.1-25.2
11 Amager141137%72.9100.1-27.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus2217161469
Amager1410121147
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