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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 104-82
20-20 27-26 27-23 30-13
Position#7
Record4-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game93.6
Holbaek-Stenhus 🏆
Denmark
vs
Vaerlose
Denmark
Position#10
Record5-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game88.9
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby
Other2024-25
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Vaerlose
21 Jan 2027
HOLB v VAER
upcoming
23 Apr 2026
HOLB83
VAER89
23 Sep 2025
HOLB81
VAER88
03 Mar 2025
HOLB98
VAER77
13 Feb 2025
HOLB104
VAER82
16 Nov 2023
HOLB70
VAER78
11 Mar 2023
HOLB62
VAER84
27 Nov 2022
HOLB75
VAER85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#10
W
90-88
90
88
+2
74avg 62
A07/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
75-96
75
96
-21
52avg 62
H19/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
82-103
82
103
-21
63avg 62
A30/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
86-81
86
81
+5
75avg 62
H04/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
72avg 62
A10/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
69-104
69
104
-35
48avg 62
A14/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
77-87
77
87
-10
68avg 62
A19/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
49-107
49
107
-58
17avg 62
H28/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
71-99
71
99
-28
47avg 62
H01/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
54avg 62
A07/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
25-26
22-26
22-18
22-21
12-26
23-25
18-24
16-26
25-27
21-26
20-24
13-15
29-18
22-16
22-32
17-16
25-27
15-19
23-18
12-23
13-31
24-29
20-21
13-17
22-27
20-28
22-15
8-22
15-30
16-27
10-28
25-27
8-23
21-30
17-19
14-24
22-20
8-22
29-14
169.2Avg total
75.7Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.193.6171.7-15.621%
Season at home (9)80.495.6176.0-15.133%
Season away (10)75.991.9167.8-16.010%
Last 10 (10)75.793.5169.2-17.820%
Last 5 (5)67.895.4163.2-27.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.996.7171.7-21.86%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.088.7175.7-1.744%
vs Weaker (2)72.079.0151.0-7.050%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
88-90
88
90
-2
83avg 70
H07/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
71avg 70
H10/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
69avg 70
A21/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
105-80
105
80
+25
98avg 70
A27/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
62avg 70
H05/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
73-98
73
98
-25
60avg 70
H12/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
93-125
93
125
-32
82avg 70
A16/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 70
H30/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
61-86
61
86
-25
49avg 70
A01/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
69-89
69
89
-20
61avg 70
H08/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
26-25
26-22
18-22
17-17
24-22
24-17
14-18
13-11
27-25
14-11
26-23
30-24
21-21
22-18
32-17
18-29
17-22
19-20
16-15
19-28
23-24
23-26
8-20
23-35
22-32
25-29
23-29
20-21
24-23
22-14
18-19
19-23
13-23
11-23
18-17
16-23
16-25
19-25
18-16
167.7Avg total
80.2Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.788.9165.6-12.226%
Season at home (10)76.285.3161.5-9.130%
Season away (9)77.392.9170.2-15.622%
Last 10 (10)80.287.5167.7-7.340%
Last 5 (5)76.095.0171.0-19.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)75.492.1167.5-16.717%
vs Similar ◀ (5)87.081.6168.6+5.460%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
Holbaek-StenhusVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A07/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H19/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A30/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H04/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
25-54
25
54
-29
A14/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
23-52
23
52
-29
H28/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H01/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A07/02
Basketligaen
82.1Avg total
35.7Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.146.384.4-8.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.447.787.1-8.429%-
Last 30 away (16)37.145.182.1-8.031%-
Last 10 (10)35.746.482.1-10.720%-
Last 5 (5)30.448.879.2-18.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.448.484.8-12.117%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.144.686.7-2.444%-
vs Weaker (2)36.531.067.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H07/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H10/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A21/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A27/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H05/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H12/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
45-67
45
67
-22
A16/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H30/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A01/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H08/02
Basketligaen
88.0Avg total
40.6Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.844.083.7-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.644.384.9-3.720%-
Last 30 away (15)38.943.682.5-4.740%-
Last 10 (10)40.647.488.0-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.051.490.4-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)38.445.183.5-6.721%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)43.640.083.6+3.660%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.516.3
40.2%
51.9%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.08.3
25.2%
32.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.617.2
76.1%
70.2%17.2
They take 73.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.9
50.3%
51.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.6
29.9%
32.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.716.2
65.6%
70.2%16.2
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLLLLLWLLW
Vaerlose
LLWLLLWWWL
#7
League position
#10
-21.8
Net rating
-8.4
89.5
Offensive rating
100.2
111.3
Defensive rating
108.6
39.1%
Effective FG%
47.9%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
18.0%
Turnover %
19.5%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
25.2%
3-point %
29.9%
36.2%
Assist %
67.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence89.5 · 100.2Defence111.3 · 108.6Shooting39.1% · 47.9%3-point %25.2% · 29.9%Ball care18.0% · 19.5%Off. rebounds30.2% · 30.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
7
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24Vaerlose v Holbaek-Stenhus88-90
17/11/24Vaerlose v Holbaek-Stenhus100-86
15/02/24Vaerlose v Holbaek-Stenhus99-80
16/11/23Holbaek-Stenhus v Vaerlose70-78
12/04/23Vaerlose v Holbaek-Stenhus104-60
11/03/23Holbaek-Stenhus v Vaerlose62-84
16/02/23Vaerlose v Holbaek-Stenhus90-68
27/11/22Holbaek-Stenhus v Vaerlose75-85
Holbaek-Stenhuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25AHerlev Wolfpack73-80
01/02/25HRanders71-99
28/01/25HTeam FOG Naestved49-107
19/01/25AHorsens77-87
14/01/25ABakken Bears69-104
10/01/25ACopenhagen85-90 OT
04/01/25HBears Academy86-81
30/12/24AAmager82-103
19/12/24HSvendborg75-96
07/12/24AVaerlose90-88
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HHorsens69-89
01/02/25ACopenhagen61-86
30/01/25HAmager84-77
16/01/25ATeam FOG Naestved93-125
12/01/25HBakken Bears73-98
05/01/25HSvendborg70-86
27/12/24AHerlev Wolfpack105-80
21/12/24ABears Academy80-70
10/12/24HCopenhagen79-74
07/12/24HHolbaek-Stenhus88-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %21%33%10%
Points / game78.180.475.9
Allowed / game93.695.691.9
Point differential-15.6-15.1-16.0
Avg total171.7176.0167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL26%
HomeWLLWL30%
AwayLWWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %26%30%22%
Points / game76.776.277.3
Allowed / game88.985.392.9
Point differential-12.2-9.1-15.6
Avg total165.6161.5170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg1917289%88.273.1+15.2
2 Team FOG Naestved1917289%99.287.4+11.8
3 Horsens1915479%88.578.8+9.7
4 Bakken Bears1914574%95.481.8+13.6
5 Randers2014670%93.281.0+12.3
6 Copenhagen1961332%82.085.9-3.9
7 Amager1951426%85.894.0-8.2
8 Herlev Wolfpack1951426%79.489.0-9.6
9 Vaerlose1951426%76.788.9-12.2
10 Holbaek-Stenhus1941521%78.193.6-15.6
11 Bears Academy1931616%75.489.3-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus20272730104
Vaerlose2026231382
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