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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-73
24-24 26-14 15-14 21-21
Position#7
Record9-17
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game91.7
vs
Position#9
Record8-19
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game88.1
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby
Other2024-25
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Herlev Wolfpack
07 Mar 2026
HOLB100
HERL85
05 Feb 2026
HOLB106
HERL94
16 Apr 2025
HOLB86
HERL73
14 Nov 2024
HOLB92
HERL102
26 Mar 2024
HOLB78
HERL74
02 Nov 2023
HOLB61
HERL73
14 Dec 2022
HOLB61
HERL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
49-107
49
107
-58
17avg 67
H28/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
71-99
71
99
-28
47avg 67
H01/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
54avg 67
A07/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
104-82
104
82
+22
96avg 67
H13/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
98-77
98
77
+21
94avg 67
H03/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
85-95
85
95
-10
66avg 67
A08/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
100-76
100
76
+24
90avg 67
A15/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
90-83
90
83
+7
71avg 67
A23/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
84avg 67
A31/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
104-93
104
93
+11
96avg 67
H06/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-22
15-30
16-27
10-28
25-27
8-23
21-30
17-19
14-24
22-20
8-22
29-14
20-20
27-26
27-23
30-13
21-20
32-23
24-9
21-25
23-21
22-31
18-20
22-23
26-19
28-18
22-23
24-16
27-23
17-25
24-14
22-21
25-28
21-28
21-10
22-23
23-24
24-28
32-16
25-25
176.4Avg total
87.2Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.291.7174.9-8.635%
Season at home (12)85.892.7178.5-6.850%
Season away (14)80.990.9171.8-10.121%
Last 10 (10)87.289.2176.4-2.050%
Last 5 (5)95.489.4184.8+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.495.9173.4-18.512%
vs Similar ◀ (10)92.088.0180.0+4.050%
vs Weaker (3)78.080.3158.3-2.367%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
95-101
95
101
-6
91avg 71
A01/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
75avg 71
H07/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
75-93
75
93
-18
68avg 71
A13/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
81-79
81
79
+2
77avg 71
H05/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
80-100
80
100
-20
75avg 71
A08/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
63avg 71
H12/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
76-100
76
100
-24
62avg 71
H15/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
86-71
86
71
+15
90avg 71
A26/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
72-70
72
70
+2
66avg 71
H05/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
76-93
76
93
-17
57avg 71
A12/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
27-24
16-33
26-16
24-14
20-22
22-8
14-29
21-30
23-16
15-20
16-27
22-30
22-17
23-19
14-13
19-28
27-20
22-16
12-36
9-27
24-21
21-23
21-12
19-26
18-28
23-22
16-24
28-18
26-16
18-18
14-19
23-15
19-14
13-28
17-13
17-16
19-26
17-20
23-31
165.9Avg total
79.6Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.988.1167.0-9.330%
Season at home (14)77.685.9163.5-8.236%
Season away (13)80.290.6170.8-10.423%
Last 10 (10)79.686.3165.9-6.740%
Last 5 (5)77.083.4160.4-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.991.3166.2-16.46%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.384.8167.2-2.554%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -4.7-4.7
Holbaek-StenhusHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
23-52
23
52
-29
H28/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H01/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A07/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H03/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A08/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A15/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A23/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A31/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H06/04
Basketligaen
90.8Avg total
42.8Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.947.087.9-6.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.448.590.8-6.138%-
Last 30 away (17)39.845.985.7-6.135%-
Last 10 (10)42.848.090.8-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)47.249.096.2-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.948.986.8-11.019%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)46.846.493.2+0.460%-
vs Weaker (3)39.036.775.7+2.367%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A01/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H07/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A13/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A08/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H12/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H15/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A26/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H05/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A12/04
Basketligaen
86.9Avg total
43.3Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.185.5-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.842.482.2-2.631%-
Last 30 away (14)43.246.089.2-2.829%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.686.9-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.481.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.344.783.0-6.419%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.242.887.0+1.538%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.521.0
48.3%
51.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.77.9
26.6%
32.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws28.420.9
73.6%
70.2%20.9
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.622.9
50.2%
51.9%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.35.9
29.1%
32.6%17.7
🏀 Free throws21.515.2
70.7%
70.2%15.2
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
WLWWLWWLLL
Herlev Wolfpack
LWWLLLWLWL
#7
League position
#9
-2.0
Net rating
-8.2
102.2
Offensive rating
94.9
104.2
Defensive rating
103.1
44.9%
Effective FG%
48.2%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
17.4%
Turnover %
21.2%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
26.6%
3-point %
29.1%
38.8%
Assist %
58.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 94.9Defence104.2 · 103.1Shooting44.9% · 48.2%3-point %26.6% · 29.1%Ball care17.4% · 21.2%Off. rebounds33.4% · 25.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Herlev Wolfpack
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HAmager104-93
31/03/25AVaerlose98-100 OT
23/03/25ABears Academy90-83
15/03/25AHerlev Wolfpack100-76
08/03/25AAmager85-95
03/03/25HVaerlose98-77
13/02/25HVaerlose104-82
07/02/25AHerlev Wolfpack73-80
01/02/25HRanders71-99
28/01/25HTeam FOG Naestved49-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25AAmager76-93
05/04/25HVaerlose72-70
26/03/25ABears Academy86-71
15/03/25HHolbaek-Stenhus76-100
12/03/25HAmager75-83
08/03/25AVaerlose80-100
05/03/25HBears Academy81-79
13/02/25AAmager75-93
07/02/25HHolbaek-Stenhus80-73
01/02/25ABakken Bears95-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW35%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLLWWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %35%50%21%
Points / game83.285.880.9
Allowed / game91.792.790.9
Point differential-8.6-6.8-10.1
Avg total174.9178.5171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%25%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL30%
HomeWWLLW36%
AwayLLLWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %30%36%23%
Points / game78.977.680.2
Allowed / game88.185.990.6
Point differential-9.3-8.2-10.4
Avg total167.0163.5170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%14%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg2823582%88.975.1+13.8
2 Bakken Bears2820871%92.580.6+11.9
3 Horsens2820871%86.080.2+5.8
4 Randers2819968%91.281.2+10.0
5 Team FOG Naestved2819968%95.089.5+5.5
6 Amager27121544%87.690.3-2.7
7 Holbaek-Stenhus2691735%83.291.7-8.6
8 Copenhagen2891932%82.487.5-5.0
9 Herlev Wolfpack2781930%78.988.1-9.3
10 Vaerlose2781930%79.388.9-9.6
11 Bears Academy2742315%75.789.5-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus2426152186
Herlev Wolfpack2414142173
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