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Troy vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 71-82
41-34 30-48
Position#98
Record17-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#186
Record11-14
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game78.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Troy v Arkansas State
30 Jan 2027
TROY v ARKA
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
TROY99
ARKA74
10 Mar 2025
TROY94
ARKA81
11 Jan 2025
TROY78
ARKA84
15 Feb 2024
TROY71
ARKA82
02 Mar 2023
TROY63
ARKA59
07 Jan 2023
TROY66
ARKA54
10 Feb 2022
TROY79
ARKA77
25 Jan 2020
TROY62
ARKA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H11/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H13/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A20/01
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H25/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
84-63
84
63
+21
A02/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A03/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H08/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-30
42-43
35-21
47-35
25-30
46-44
34-33
29-31
39-34
39-31
40-34
43-45
44-29
40-34
36-33
42-41
40-24
42-42
37-29
41-39
146.0Avg total
77.8Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.069.4149.5+10.668%
Season at home (14)86.166.1152.3+20.093%
Season away (11)72.373.6145.9-1.436%
Last 10 (10)77.868.2146.0+9.680%
Last 5 (5)81.070.0151.0+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.081.5156.5-6.50%
vs Similar (3)68.777.3146.0-8.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)81.069.5150.5+11.575%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#214
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H12/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H13/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A18/01
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A26/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
95-80
95
80
+15
H03/02
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
100-87
100
87
+13
H10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-39
47-43
37-42
40-42
33-31
33-38
43-36
36-36
28-41
47-40
41-26
33-48
36-37
42-34
57-37
38-43
22-35
51-42
51-39
49-48
159.8Avg total
81.0Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.678.9158.5+0.744%
Season at home (11)87.778.9166.6+8.873%
Season away (14)73.278.9152.1-5.621%
Last 10 (10)81.078.8159.8+2.250%
Last 5 (5)85.680.0165.6+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)74.280.2154.4-6.020%
vs Similar (16)76.477.7154.1-1.244%
vs Weaker (9)83.875.1158.9+8.767%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +0.2+0.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +0.2+0.2
TroyArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H11/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H13/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A20/01
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H25/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A02/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A03/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H08/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A10/02
NCAA
66.4Avg total
36.7Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.332.269.5+5.162%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.230.171.3+11.188%-
Last 30 away (13)32.534.867.2-2.331%-
Last 10 (10)36.729.766.4+7.090%-
Last 5 (5)39.429.869.2+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.539.071.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (2)25.534.560.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)38.632.070.7+6.671%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#214
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H12/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H13/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A18/01
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A26/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A28/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H03/02
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H10/02
NCAA
74.9Avg total
38.6Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.136.574.6+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.937.880.7+5.258%-
Last 30 away (18)34.935.770.6-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.374.9+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.434.876.2+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)32.838.871.6-6.040%-
vs Similar (16)36.238.474.7-2.238%-
vs Weaker (9)44.331.876.1+12.689%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Troy wins
2
Arkansas State wins
DateGameScore
02/03/23Troy v Arkansas State63-59
17/02/23Arkansas State v Troy62-67
07/01/23Troy v Arkansas State66-54
11/02/22Troy v Arkansas State79-77
25/01/20Troy v Arkansas State62-78
11/01/20Arkansas State v Troy76-68 OT
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24AKent State78-68
08/02/24HMarshall82-66
03/02/24AGeorgia State78-74
02/02/24AGeorgia Southern84-63
27/01/24HSouth Alabama83-79
25/01/24HTexas State78-65
20/01/24ASouthern Miss63-64
19/01/24ASouth Alabama71-74
13/01/24HSouthern Miss82-56
11/01/24HLouisiana Lafayette79-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HOhio100-87
08/02/24HJames Madison73-77
03/02/24HLouisiana Monroe95-80
01/02/24HSouthern Miss78-71
28/01/24ALouisiana Monroe82-85 OT
26/01/24ALouisiana Lafayette75-81
20/01/24ATexas State79-72
18/01/24ASouthern Miss66-69
13/01/24HLouisiana Lafayette77-84
12/01/24HTexas State85-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLLWWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %68%93%36%
Points / game80.086.172.3
Allowed / game69.466.173.6
Point differential+10.6+20.0-1.4
Avg total149.5152.3145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%64%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %8%7%9%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW44%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayLLWLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %44%73%21%
Points / game79.687.773.2
Allowed / game78.978.978.9
Point differential+0.7+8.8-5.6
Avg total158.5166.6152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%55%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)33% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison2623388%84.768.6+16.1
2 Appalachian State2621581%78.466.5+11.8
3 Troy2517868%80.069.4+10.6
4 Louisiana Lafayette2617965%77.370.3+6.9
5 Southern Miss25141156%70.570.1+0.4
6 South Alabama26131350%73.475.8-2.4
7 Marshall26121446%75.076.3-1.3
8 Georgia State25111444%77.574.6+2.8
9 Arkansas State25111444%79.678.9+0.7
10 Texas State26111542%67.869.8-2.0
11 Louisiana Monroe2391439%71.074.7-3.7
12 Coastal Carolina2471729%75.079.7-4.7
13 Old Dominion2662023%70.776.2-5.5
14 Georgia Southern2652119%71.079.5-8.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy413071
Arkansas State344882
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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