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Aris vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 73-78
13-14 20-27 23-19 17-18
Position#5
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game86.2
vs
PAOK 🏆
Greece
Position#3
Record3-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game80.2
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 5· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Aris v PAOK
30 Jan 2027
ARI v PAK
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
ARI73
PAK78
01 Dec 2024
ARI88
PAK82
11 Feb 2024
ARI77
PAK63
22 Jan 2023
ARI77
PAK70
20 Apr 2022
ARI77
PAK76
20 Mar 2021
ARI71
PAK77
29 Sep 2019
ARI85
PAK82
23 Mar 2019
ARI58
PAK62
21 Mar 2018
ARI65
PAK66
04 Oct 2017
ARI70
PAK63
29 Apr 2017
ARI69
PAK65
22 Oct 2016
ARI62
PAK66
17 Jun 2015
ARI76
PAK77
09 Jun 2015
ARI92
PAK88
01 Feb 2015
ARI62
PAK57
19 Oct 2013
ARI75
PAK79
24 Nov 2012
ARI63
PAK72
14 Mar 2012
ARI81
PAK71
05 Jun 2011
ARI80
PAK91
29 May 2011
ARI73
PAK70
06 Nov 2010
ARI81
PAK68
06 Feb 2010
ARI69
PAK59
15 Nov 2008
ARI87
PAK76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
W
114-109 OT
114
109
+5
100avg 68
H17/05
Basket League
Venezia
#9
W
85-81
85
81
+4
80avg 68
A30/09
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#11
L
77-91
77
91
-14
58avg 68
A04/10
Basket League
Hamburg
#20
W
98-76
98
76
+22
95avg 68
H08/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
65-73
65
73
-8
54avg 68
H11/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
59-80
59
80
-21
49avg 68
A14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#12
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
95avg 68
A18/10
Basket League
Manresa
#10
L
79-86
79
86
-7
62avg 68
H21/10
Eurocup
Panionios
#13
W
90-73
90
73
+17
82avg 68
A25/10
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 68
A28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
26-16
23-26
33-34
20-27
29-22
21-16
15-16
20-21
22-18
27-30
8-22
20-14
25-14
25-17
28-31
22-20
18-18
18-20
7-15
18-20
17-24
16-19
8-17
18-19
19-27
16-20
30-17
18-27
25-17
21-22
15-20
20-13
18-21
25-20
27-19
21-23
27-27
20-31
8-22
172.6Avg total
84.6Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.886.2170.0-2.525%
Season at home (1)65.073.0138.0-8.00%
Season away (3)90.090.7180.7-0.733%
Last 10 (10)84.688.0172.6-3.440%
Last 5 (5)81.490.0171.4-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.388.9164.2-13.627%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.681.5163.1+0.150%
vs Weaker (5)86.684.2170.8+2.440%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Panionios
#8
W
94-78
94
78
+16
89avg 74
H07/05
Basket League
Studentski Centar
#48
W
79-67
79
67
+12
74avg 74
H19/09
Champions League
Bursaspor
#35
L
73-92
73
92
-19
62avg 74
A21/09
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
80avg 74
A05/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
84-82
84
82
+2
75avg 74
H11/10
Basket League
Trepca
#41
W
85-74
85
74
+11
76avg 74
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#9
W
75-73
75
73
+2
72avg 74
A18/10
Basket League
Anwil Wloclawek
#13
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
85avg 74
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
W
87-73
87
73
+14
78avg 74
H25/10
Basket League
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
69avg 74
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
23-20
28-14
21-21
19-15
26-16
18-14
16-22
9-30
17-24
20-20
27-18
10-20
21-31
27-21
25-21
25-13
16-25
23-22
20-22
27-20
18-13
18-22
22-19
15-24
23-25
21-17
16-7
20-19
25-24
24-26
17-17
21-14
25-24
25-19
16-16
18-18
23-25
18-22
20-23
164.6Avg total
83.3Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.280.2162.5+2.075%
Season at home (2)85.577.5163.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)79.083.0162.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)83.381.3164.6+2.070%
Last 5 (5)84.080.2164.2+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.685.9166.5-5.325%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.378.9158.2+0.450%
vs Weaker (4)78.275.8154.0+2.575%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
ArisPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H17/05
Basket League
Venezia
#9
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A30/09
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A04/10
Basket League
Hamburg
#20
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H08/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H11/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#12
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A18/10
Basket League
Manresa
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H21/10
Eurocup
Panionios
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A25/10
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A28/10
Eurocup
83.3Avg total
42.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.780.0-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.140.479.5-1.436%-
Last 30 away (16)39.441.080.4-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.141.283.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.683.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.747.087.7-6.39%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.637.174.8+0.557%-
vs Weaker (5)40.437.077.4+3.480%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panionios
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H07/05
Basket League
Studentski Centar
#48
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H19/09
Champions League
Bursaspor
#35
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A21/09
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A05/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H11/10
Basket League
Trepca
#41
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#9
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A18/10
Basket League
Anwil Wloclawek
#13
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H25/10
Basket League
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
82.6Avg total
40.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.278.6-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.437.477.8+3.171%-
Last 30 away (16)36.642.779.2-6.125%-
Last 10 (10)40.342.382.6-2.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.284.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.242.879.0-6.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.339.278.6+0.158%-
vs Weaker (4)39.539.879.2-0.250%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.7
53.8%
54.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
34.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.016.6
72.2%
74.4%16.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.8
51.4%
54.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.0
36.9%
34.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.714.9
72.0%
74.4%14.9
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LWLLLLWLWW
PAOK
LWWWWWLLWW
#5
League position
#3
-4.5
Net rating
+2.7
107.9
Offensive rating
110.5
112.5
Defensive rating
107.8
53.1%
Effective FG%
53.1%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.2%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.7%
3-point %
36.9%
53.4%
Assist %
60.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 110.5Defence112.5 · 107.8Shooting53.1% · 53.1%3-point %34.7% · 36.9%Ball care18.4% · 17.2%Off. rebounds28.1% · 32.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Aris   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Aris wins
5
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25PAOK v Aris75-63
01/12/24Aris v PAOK88-82
15/02/24PAOK v Aris74-76
11/02/24Aris v PAOK77-63
18/11/23PAOK v Aris82-76
22/01/23Aris v PAOK77-70
15/10/22PAOK v Aris88-66
20/04/22Aris v PAOK77-76
11/12/21PAOK v Aris96-64
20/03/21Aris v PAOK71-77
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/25AHapoel Jerusalem76-103
25/10/25APanionios90-73
21/10/25HManresa79-86
18/10/25AMaroussi103-108 OT
14/10/25ACedevita Olimpija59-80
11/10/25HKolossos Rhodes65-73
08/10/25HHamburg98-76
04/10/25AAS Karditsas77-91
30/09/25AVenezia85-81
17/05/25HMaroussi114-109 OT
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25ABasketball Braunschweig79-88
25/10/25HPeristeri87-73
22/10/25AAnwil Wloclawek94-93 OT
18/10/25APromitheas75-73
15/10/25HTrepca85-74
11/10/25HIraklis84-82
05/10/25APanathinaikos83-93
21/09/25ABursaspor73-92
19/09/25HStudentski Centar79-67
07/05/25HPanionios94-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeL0%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game83.865.090.0
Allowed / game86.273.090.7
Point differential-2.5-8.0-0.7
Avg total170.0138.0180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%33%
PAOK
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game82.285.579.0
Allowed / game80.277.583.0
Point differential+2.0+8.0-4.0
Avg total162.5163.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos440100%90.574.5+16.0
2 AEK Athens54180%81.072.0+9.0
3 Panathinaikos43175%90.077.5+12.5
4 Peristeri43175%82.074.2+7.8
5 PAOK43175%82.280.2+2.0
6 AS Karditsas32167%76.075.7+0.3
7 Kolossos Rhodes52340%75.278.6-3.4
8 Maroussi31233%92.398.7-6.3
9 Mykonos31233%76.084.3-8.3
10 Aris41325%83.886.2-2.5
11 Iraklis41325%76.581.2-4.8
12 Promitheas41325%78.886.0-7.2
13 Panionios5050%69.885.8-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1320231773
PAOK1427191878
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