PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Aris vs PAOK Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
2.8/10
🧊 Cold
Position#2
Record6-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game70.7
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 17· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Aris v PAOK
30 Jan 2027
ARI v PAK
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
ARI73
PAK78
01 Dec 2024
ARI88
PAK82
11 Feb 2024
ARI77
PAK63
22 Jan 2023
ARI77
PAK70
20 Apr 2022
ARI77
PAK76
20 Mar 2021
ARI71
PAK77
29 Sep 2019
ARI85
PAK82
23 Mar 2019
ARI58
PAK62
21 Mar 2018
ARI65
PAK66
04 Oct 2017
ARI70
PAK63
29 Apr 2017
ARI69
PAK65
22 Oct 2016
ARI62
PAK66
17 Jun 2015
ARI76
PAK77
09 Jun 2015
ARI92
PAK88
01 Feb 2015
ARI62
PAK57
19 Oct 2013
ARI75
PAK79
24 Nov 2012
ARI63
PAK72
14 Mar 2012
ARI81
PAK71
05 Jun 2011
ARI80
PAK91
29 May 2011
ARI73
PAK70
06 Nov 2010
ARI81
PAK68
06 Feb 2010
ARI69
PAK59
15 Nov 2008
ARI87
PAK76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#10
W
88-58
88
58
+30
84avg 82
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#18
W
88-68
88
68
+20
85avg 82
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
74-57
74
57
+17
65avg 82
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#28
W
110-79
110
79
+31
109avg 82
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
88-72
88
72
+16
87avg 82
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 82
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
101-91
101
91
+10
96avg 82
H01/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
A07/11
Basket League
Rigas Zelli
#21
W
105-81
105
81
+24
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-10
19-11
22-14
24-23
31-21
14-23
17-11
26-13
15-13
22-15
23-15
14-14
29-20
29-17
25-14
27-28
28-21
21-15
15-20
24-16
21-19
17-20
19-18
21-16
18-15
28-29
33-24
22-23
19-18
21-17
16-22
17-27
32-23
19-12
17-19
20-23
28-14
35-18
25-20
17-29
163.3Avg total
89.3Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.571.5156.0+13.083%
Season at home (3)87.768.7156.3+19.0100%
Season away (3)81.374.3155.7+7.067%
Last 10 (10)89.374.0163.3+15.390%
Last 5 (5)89.081.2170.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.594.8183.2-6.225%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.683.7168.2+0.944%
vs Weaker (17)88.573.6162.1+14.894%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Lefkadas
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
77avg 79
H10/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#22
L
86-95
86
95
-9
76avg 79
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
W
88-84
88
84
+4
88avg 79
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#16
W
87-78
87
78
+9
78avg 79
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#10
W
65-62
65
62
+3
53avg 79
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
77avg 79
A27/10
Eurocup
Iraklis
#8
W
63-53
63
53
+10
58avg 79
A31/10
Basket League
BC Roma
#19
W
113-111
113
111
+2
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Vikos
#13
W
93-67
93
67
+26
no box
H07/11
Basket League
Balkan
#32
W
79-56
79
56
+23
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
20-13
22-23
22-19
22-23
18-27
24-24
22-21
19-21
28-26
15-19
26-18
19-20
27-22
13-13
28-23
20-15
5-14
22-15
18-18
23-26
17-26
18-11
23-21
19-17
15-14
13-11
16-11
29-22
32-38
31-26
21-25
30-15
24-18
20-11
19-23
19-12
34-20
19-9
7-15
160.4Avg total
84.1Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.570.7151.2+9.8100%
Season at home (3)81.367.3148.7+14.0100%
Season away (3)79.774.0153.7+5.7100%
Last 10 (10)84.176.3160.4+7.880%
Last 5 (5)85.874.2160.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.989.1174.0-4.329%
vs Similar ◀ (7)85.778.0163.7+7.771%
vs Weaker (16)87.177.5164.6+9.694%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
ArisPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#10
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#18
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#28
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H01/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A04/11
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A07/11
Basket League
Rigas Zelli
#21
W
63-32
63
32
+31
H11/11
Eurocup
82.0Avg total
46.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.084.8+4.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.836.180.9+8.779%-
Last 30 away (16)44.843.488.2+1.438%-
Last 10 (10)46.935.182.0+11.890%-
Last 5 (5)47.637.084.6+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.844.085.8-2.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.443.787.1-0.256%-
vs Weaker (17)46.237.183.4+9.165%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lefkadas
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#22
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#16
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#10
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A27/10
Eurocup
Iraklis
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A31/10
Basket League
BC Roma
#19
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H03/11
Eurocup
Vikos
#13
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H07/11
Basket League
Balkan
#32
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A10/11
Eurocup
84.9Avg total
44.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.684.1+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.640.487.0+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)40.040.880.8-0.843%-
Last 10 (10)44.240.784.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)48.441.690.0+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.144.186.3-2.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.039.381.3+2.771%-
vs Weaker (16)44.839.684.4+5.162%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.7
51.1%
50.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.2
36.6%
34.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.719.5
78.9%
71.8%19.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.818.5
58.2%
50.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.5
31.7%
34.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.918.5
74.3%
71.8%18.5
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WWLWWWWWWW
PAOK
WWWWLWWWLW
#4
League position
#2
+16.5
Net rating
+5.7
96.8
Offensive rating
100.7
80.3
Defensive rating
94.9
52.7%
Effective FG%
53.3%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.42
36.6%
3-point %
31.7%
71.6%
Assist %
55.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 100.7Defence80.3 · 94.9Shooting52.7% · 53.3%3-point %36.6% · 31.7%Ball care15.6% · 15.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Aris   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Aris wins
5
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
15/04/26PAOK v Aris88-77
01/11/25Aris v PAOK73-78
01/03/25PAOK v Aris75-63
01/12/24Aris v PAOK88-82
15/02/24PAOK v Aris74-76
11/02/24Aris v PAOK77-63
18/11/23PAOK v Aris82-76
22/01/23Aris v PAOK77-70
15/10/22PAOK v Aris88-66
20/04/22Aris v PAOK77-76
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HRigas Zelli105-81
07/11/26ALefkadas88-77
04/11/26AHapoel Jerusalem73-84
01/11/26HPanathinaikos101-91
28/10/26HCedevita Olimpija78-73
24/10/26AMykonos88-72
20/10/26ARostock110-79
17/10/26HMaroussi74-57
14/10/26HTortona88-68
10/10/26HAEK Athens88-58
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ABalkan79-56
07/11/26HVikos93-67
03/11/26HBC Roma113-111
31/10/26AIraklis63-53
27/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.81-84
24/10/26HAEK Athens65-62
21/10/26HUlm87-78
17/10/26AKolossos Rhodes88-84
13/10/26ALietkabelis86-95
10/10/26HLefkadas86-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game84.587.781.3
Allowed / game71.568.774.3
Point differential+13.0+19.0+7.0
Avg total156.0156.3155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.581.379.7
Allowed / game70.767.374.0
Point differential+9.8+14.0+5.7
Avg total151.2148.7153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos660100%85.867.8+18.0
2 PAOK660100%80.570.7+9.8
3 Panathinaikos65183%89.074.5+14.5
4 Aris65183%84.571.5+13.0
5 AS Karditsas64267%74.571.5+3.0
6 Kolossos Rhodes63350%80.781.8-1.2
7 Peristeri63350%80.587.5-7.0
8 Iraklis62433%77.073.8+3.2
9 Lefkadas62433%78.581.7-3.2
10 AEK Athens62433%75.580.0-4.5
11 Maroussi61517%75.881.5-5.7
12 Mykonos61517%73.584.5-11.0
13 Vikos61517%74.787.3-12.7
14 Promitheas61517%70.286.5-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.