PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Arkansas vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 73-63
36-26 37-37
Position#112
Record20-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game67.4
vs
Position#114
Record20-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game67.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#86
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A08/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A16/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
97-65
97
65
+32
H22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A25/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A01/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H04/03
NCAA
Auburn
#106
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A10/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-40
47-33
25-34
39-36
33-24
23-38
37-31
47-34
43-23
54-42
37-28
46-58
25-34
32-41
36-40
43-48
37-33
39-40
38-25
23-42
146.9Avg total
74.5Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)74.467.4141.8+7.061%
Season at home (20)77.663.8141.4+13.880%
Season away (13)69.572.9142.5-3.431%
Last 10 (10)74.572.4146.9+2.140%
Last 5 (5)71.277.8149.0-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.781.7151.3-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)73.769.2142.9+4.656%
vs Weaker (9)77.763.6141.2+14.178%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#134
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A04/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H11/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
81-93
81
93
-12
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A18/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H24/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
H03/03
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A05/03
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-35
43-46
30-34
39-26
40-53
41-40
38-35
30-36
35-29
43-40
19-37
47-25
29-41
31-31
33-31
37-39
26-47
45-29
30-31
46-48
148.9Avg total
73.9Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)74.767.0141.6+7.762%
Season at home (18)77.463.0140.4+14.483%
Season away (14)71.172.1143.2-0.936%
Last 10 (10)73.975.0148.9-1.140%
Last 5 (5)72.875.2148.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)79.070.0149.0+9.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (17)70.475.3145.7-4.929%
vs Weaker (12)78.357.3135.7+21.0100%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +4.2+4.2
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +4.2+4.2
ArkansasIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#86
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A16/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A25/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A01/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H04/03
NCAA
Auburn
#106
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A10/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A11/03
NCAA
66.4Avg total
35.2Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.230.865.0+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.230.866.0+4.559%-
Last 30 away (13)32.830.863.7+2.069%-
Last 10 (10)35.231.266.4+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)34.632.066.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.731.763.3+0.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)33.431.965.4+1.556%-
vs Weaker (9)36.628.264.8+8.389%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#134
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A04/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H21/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
19-37
19
37
-18
H24/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H03/03
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A05/03
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H09/03
NCAA
68.9Avg total
31.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.033.467.4+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.131.167.2+5.062%-
Last 30 away (14)31.636.167.6-4.550%-
Last 10 (10)31.637.368.9-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)27.437.464.8-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.037.065.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)31.938.069.9-6.135%-
vs Weaker (12)37.526.764.2+10.892%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas wins
0
Illinois wins
No previous meetings.
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23ATexas A&M61-67
10/03/23AAuburn76-73
04/03/23HKentucky79-88
01/03/23ATennessee57-75
25/02/23AAlabama83-86
22/02/23HGeorgia97-65
18/02/23HFlorida84-65
16/02/23ATexas A&M56-62
11/02/23HMississippi St.64-70
08/02/23AKentucky88-73
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/23HPenn State76-79
05/03/23APurdue71-76
03/03/23HMichigan91-87 OT
26/02/23AOhio State60-72
24/02/23HNorthwestern66-62
21/02/23HMinnesota78-69
18/02/23AIndiana68-71
15/02/23APenn State81-93
11/02/23HRutgers69-60
04/02/23AIowa79-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL61%
HomeWLWWL80%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332013
Win %61%80%31%
Points / game74.477.669.5
Allowed / game67.463.872.9
Point differential+7.0+13.8-3.4
Avg total141.8141.4142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%70%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (1)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Illinois
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL62%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %62%83%36%
Points / game74.777.471.1
Allowed / game67.063.072.1
Point differential+7.7+14.4-0.9
Avg total141.6140.4143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama3530586%82.668.7+13.9
2 Texas3426876%77.967.4+10.4
3 Texas A&M3425974%73.266.2+7.0
4 Missouri3425974%79.474.3+5.1
5 Tennessee33231070%71.858.0+13.8
6 Kentucky32211166%75.168.0+7.0
7 Auburn32201262%72.767.1+5.7
8 Arkansas33201361%74.467.4+7.0
9 Mississippi St.34201459%65.161.5+3.6
10 Vanderbilt34201459%72.572.1+0.4
11 Florida32161650%71.968.7+3.3
12 Georgia32161650%68.571.5-3.0
13 Oklahoma32151747%67.767.5+0.1
14 LSU33141942%67.670.7-3.1
15 Ole Miss33122136%67.569.1-1.6
16 South Carolina32112134%64.372.6-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA3429585%73.960.3+13.6
2 Purdue3429585%73.162.7+10.4
3 USC32221069%72.867.2+5.5
4 Indiana33221167%75.068.5+6.6
5 Northwestern32211166%67.762.5+5.2
6 Maryland34221265%70.363.2+7.1
7 Penn State35221363%72.368.4+3.9
8 Illinois32201262%74.767.0+7.7
9 Michigan State31191261%70.267.4+2.8
10 Iowa32191359%80.274.4+5.8
11 Rutgers33191458%67.960.3+7.5
12 Oregon33191458%70.767.1+3.6
13 Wisconsin31171455%64.963.8+1.1
14 Michigan32171553%73.169.4+3.7
15 Washington32161650%69.270.3-1.2
16 Nebraska32161650%68.069.9-1.9
17 Ohio State35161946%72.569.0+3.5
18 Minnesota3192229%62.971.0-8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas363773
Illinois263763
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.