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Astana vs Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 69-72
6-12 24-23 20-18 19-19
Position#1
Record23-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Almaty 🏆
Kazakhstan
Position#3
Record13-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game80.4
KazakhstanNational League· Saryarka Velodrome
Other2025-26
Meetings · Astana v Almaty
08 Mar 2026
AST69
ALMA72
07 Mar 2026
AST77
ALMA86
23 Dec 2025
AST90
ALMA74
22 Dec 2025
AST82
ALMA72
27 Jan 2021
AST98
ALMA61
26 Jan 2021
AST109
ALMA41
22 Nov 2018
AST96
ALMA48
21 Nov 2018
AST88
ALMA44
28 Jan 2016
AST83
ALMA61
27 Jan 2016
AST81
ALMA75
10 Apr 2015
AST81
ALMA56
27 Mar 2015
AST99
ALMA47
26 Mar 2015
AST128
ALMA59
22 Oct 2014
AST99
ALMA65
28 Mar 2014
AST111
ALMA50
27 Mar 2014
AST107
ALMA71
12 Feb 2014
AST101
ALMA61
11 Feb 2014
AST91
ALMA48
12 Dec 2013
AST116
ALMA39
11 Dec 2013
AST125
ALMA52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Almaty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstanaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstana
Date
Competition
Almaty
#3
W
90-74
90
74
+16
78avg 87
H23/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
79-50
79
50
+29
87avg 87
A20/01
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
97-68
97
68
+29
106avg 87
A21/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
119-64
119
64
+55
119avg 87
A26/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
88-73
88
73
+15
77avg 87
A27/01
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
85-69
85
69
+16
86avg 87
H25/02
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
79-72
79
72
+7
76avg 87
H26/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
75-53
75
53
+22
81avg 87
A02/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
68-73
68
73
-5
66avg 87
A03/03
National League
Almaty
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
74avg 87
H07/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
16-18
20-15
30-21
22-11
17-11
24-17
16-11
19-18
27-13
25-21
26-16
30-17
29-20
29-12
31-15
27-20
20-18
18-19
23-16
23-16
20-17
19-15
23-21
20-15
22-10
16-24
21-23
21-17
25-12
19-14
10-10
12-22
22-14
10-20
24-17
23-24
21-20
18-19
15-23
153.9Avg total
85.7Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)89.065.8154.8+23.192%
Season at home (11)86.570.0156.5+16.591%
Season away (14)90.962.6153.5+28.493%
Last 10 (10)85.768.2153.9+17.580%
Last 5 (5)76.870.6147.4+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.298.2169.4-27.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)89.065.8154.8+23.192%
This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
105-56
105
56
+49
104avg 77
H11/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
78-91
78
91
-13
73avg 77
A29/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 77
A30/01
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
80avg 77
A03/02
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
66avg 77
A04/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
79-95
79
95
-16
71avg 77
H21/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
71-83
71
83
-12
58avg 77
H22/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
84-72
84
72
+12
74avg 77
A27/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
56avg 77
A28/02
National League
Astana
#1
W
86-77
86
77
+9
70avg 77
A07/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-18
27-12
20-15
22-11
15-27
23-25
23-18
17-21
17-23
20-25
17-24
21-23
25-25
22-26
16-16
16-23
27-24
21-13
18-18
9-23
18-28
18-30
17-16
26-21
17-24
14-28
15-14
25-17
20-17
19-24
21-18
24-13
21-18
17-24
20-23
15-14
24-23
20-21
19-18
23-15
162.1Avg total
80.5Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.280.4164.6+3.848%
Season at home (12)84.179.4163.5+4.742%
Season away (15)84.381.1165.4+3.153%
Last 10 (10)80.581.6162.1-1.130%
Last 5 (5)78.681.2159.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.587.5166.0-9.025%
vs Similar (14)80.084.6164.6-4.636%
vs Weaker (8)99.467.4166.8+32.088%
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +6.6+6.6Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +6.6+6.6Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
AstanaAlmaty
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H23/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A20/01
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A21/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
59-37
59
37
+22
A26/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A27/01
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H25/02
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H26/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A02/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A03/03
National League
Almaty
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H07/03
National League
77.3Avg total
44.0Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.635.680.2+9.070%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.636.980.5+6.864%-
Last 30 away (16)45.434.680.0+10.975%-
Last 10 (10)44.033.377.3+10.780%-
Last 5 (5)41.833.475.2+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.650.287.8-12.60%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)46.032.778.7+13.384%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
63-30
63
30
+33
H11/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A29/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/01
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A03/02
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A04/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
H21/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H22/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A27/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/02
National League
Astana
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A07/03
National League
87.6Avg total
42.1Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.384.2+1.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.440.482.9+2.050%-
Last 30 away (16)43.442.085.4+1.438%-
Last 10 (10)42.145.587.6-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.647.485.0-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.045.984.9-6.925%-
vs Similar (14)39.543.883.3-4.336%-
vs Weaker (8)52.932.285.1+20.675%-
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.220.7
58.8%
50.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.4
31.8%
30.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.915.9
72.6%
69.6%15.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Almatytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Almaty: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.223.2
51.4%
50.5%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.7
29.5%
30.4%26.0
🏀 Free throws21.013.8
65.6%
69.6%13.8
They take 74.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astana
LLWWWWWWWW
Almaty
WLWLLLLLLW
#1
League position
#3
+18.1
Net rating
+5.4
115.5
Offensive rating
107.2
97.4
Defensive rating
101.9
53.7%
Effective FG%
48.6%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
1.6%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.8%
3-point %
29.5%
75.4%
Assist %
58.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 107.2Defence97.4 · 101.9Shooting53.7% · 48.6%3-point %31.8% · 29.5%Ball care1.6% · 0.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Astana   ■ Almaty
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Astana wins
1
Almaty wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Astana v Almaty77-86
23/12/25Astana v Almaty90-74
22/12/25Astana v Almaty82-72
09/11/25Almaty v Astana73-106
08/11/25Almaty v Astana53-92
27/01/21Astana v Almaty98-61
26/01/21Astana v Almaty109-41
09/12/20Almaty v Astana66-90
08/12/20Almaty v Astana67-107
14/03/19Almaty v Astana60-95
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HAlmaty77-86
03/03/26AKaspiy Aktau68-73
02/03/26AKaspiy Aktau75-53
26/02/26HAtyrau79-72
25/02/26HAtyrau85-69
27/01/26ATobol Kostanay88-73
26/01/26ATobol Kostanay119-64
21/01/26AAtyrau97-68
20/01/26AAtyrau79-50
23/12/25HAlmaty90-74
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26AAstana86-77
28/02/26ATobol Kostanay73-79
27/02/26ATobol Kostanay84-72
22/02/26HKaspiy Aktau71-83
21/02/26HKaspiy Aktau79-95
04/02/26AAtyrau75-78
03/02/26AAtyrau79-90
30/01/26AKaspiy Aktau75-95
29/01/26AKaspiy Aktau78-91
11/01/26HTobol Kostanay105-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana
National League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL92%
HomeWWWWL91%
AwayWWWWL93%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %92%91%93%
Points / game89.086.590.9
Allowed / game65.870.062.6
Point differential+23.1+16.5+28.4
Avg total154.8156.5153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%82%93%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Almaty
National League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW48%
HomeLWWLL42%
AwayLLWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %48%42%53%
Points / game84.284.184.3
Allowed / game80.479.481.1
Point differential+3.8+4.7+3.1
Avg total164.6163.5165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astana2523292%89.065.8+23.1
2 Kaspiy Aktau26141254%80.376.0+4.3
3 Almaty27131448%84.280.4+3.8
4 Atyrau26121446%79.382.4-3.1
5 Tobol Kostanay2632312%67.895.2-27.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astana624201969
Almaty1223181972
← all games of the day
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