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Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 125-134
38-37 23-34 28-30 36-33
Position#16
Record34-33
FormWLLWW
Points / game117.2
Allowed / game117.0
vs
Position#3
Record46-21
FormWLLLW
Points / game117.6
Allowed / game112.2
USANBA
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Boston Celtics
09 Apr 2027
ATL v BOS
upcoming
05 Feb 2027
ATL v BOS
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
ATL112
BOS102
17 Jan 2026
ATL106
BOS132
04 Nov 2024
ATL93
BOS123
28 Mar 2024
ATL123
BOS122
25 Mar 2024
ATL120
BOS118
27 Apr 2023
ATL120
BOS128
23 Apr 2023
ATL121
BOS129
21 Apr 2023
ATL130
BOS122
11 Mar 2023
ATL125
BOS134
16 Nov 2022
ATL101
BOS126
28 Jan 2022
ATL108
BOS92
17 Nov 2021
ATL110
BOS99
24 Feb 2021
ATL127
BOS112
03 Feb 2020
ATL115
BOS123
19 Jan 2019
ATL105
BOS113
23 Nov 2018
ATL96
BOS114
18 Nov 2017
ATL99
BOS110
06 Nov 2017
ATL107
BOS110
06 Apr 2017
ATL123
BOS116
13 Jan 2017
ATL101
BOS103
26 Apr 2016
ATL110
BOS83
19 Apr 2016
ATL89
BOS72
16 Apr 2016
ATL102
BOS101
09 Apr 2016
ATL118
BOS107
24 Nov 2015
ATL121
BOS97
02 Dec 2014
ATL109
BOS105
09 Apr 2014
ATL105
BOS97
23 Nov 2013
ATL87
BOS94
25 Jan 2013
ATL123
BOS111
05 Jan 2013
ATL81
BOS89
08 May 2012
ATL87
BOS86
01 May 2012
ATL80
BOS87
29 Apr 2012
ATL83
BOS74
20 Apr 2012
ATL97
BOS92
19 Mar 2012
ATL76
BOS79
01 Apr 2011
ATL88
BOS83
22 Nov 2010
ATL76
BOS99
29 Jan 2010
ATL100
BOS91
08 Jan 2010
ATL93
BOS85
27 Mar 2009
ATL93
BOS99
17 Dec 2008
ATL85
BOS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
138-144
138
144
-6
123avg 107
A14/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
101-122
101
122
-21
85avg 107
H16/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
136-119
136
119
+17
136avg 107
H25/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
129-127
129
127
+2
119avg 107
H26/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
116-119
116
119
-3
103avg 107
H01/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
129-111
129
111
+18
127avg 107
H04/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
109-117
109
117
-8
101avg 107
A05/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
128-130
128
130
-2
120avg 107
A07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
122-120
122
120
+2
114avg 107
A09/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
114-107
114
107
+7
103avg 107
A11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-36
41-38
28-35
42-35
21-37
23-29
32-25
25-31
32-23
49-34
27-26
28-36
37-29
27-28
33-37
32-33
27-27
29-25
34-33
26-34
31-19
28-30
38-27
32-35
26-29
23-37
26-21
34-30
43-30
25-33
28-29
32-38
34-28
24-33
32-33
32-26
24-29
32-21
29-25
29-32
243.8Avg total
122.2Scored
121.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)117.2117.0234.1+0.251%
Season at home (31)117.1115.0232.1+2.158%
Season away (36)117.2118.7235.9-1.544%
Last 10 (10)122.2121.6243.8+0.650%
Last 5 (5)120.4117.0237.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)122.0123.5245.5-1.550%
vs Similar (23)117.7116.4234.1+1.361%
vs Weaker (5)127.0122.4249.4+4.640%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
125-131 OT
125
131
-6
114avg 111
A15/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
127-109
127
109
+18
124avg 111
H16/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
142-138 OT
142
138
+4
139avg 111
A24/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
110-107
110
107
+3
101avg 111
A26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
94-109
94
109
-15
81avg 111
A28/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
117-113
117
113
+4
116avg 111
H02/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
105-115
105
115
-10
102avg 111
H04/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
129-131 OT
129
131
-2
115avg 111
H06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
114-118 OT
114
118
-4
101avg 111
A07/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
115-93
115
93
+22
108avg 111
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-27
28-37
32-26
21-26
31-26
35-25
31-38
30-20
34-31
34-27
32-39
25-28
28-30
22-26
30-22
30-29
15-27
31-33
29-28
19-21
26-28
29-24
41-26
21-35
37-15
27-40
20-34
21-26
34-31
27-23
26-34
26-25
33-26
35-30
24-22
17-31
35-28
25-17
34-27
21-21
234.2Avg total
117.8Scored
116.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)117.6112.2229.8+5.469%
Season at home (35)120.7111.9232.6+8.774%
Season away (32)114.2112.4226.7+1.862%
Last 10 (10)117.8116.4234.2+1.450%
Last 5 (5)116.0114.0230.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)114.6115.2229.8-0.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)117.1110.6227.7+6.676%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
Atlanta HawksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A14/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
44-66
44
66
-22
H16/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
81-57
81
57
+24
H25/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H26/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H01/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H04/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
49-66
49
66
-17
A05/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A09/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A11/03
NBA
119.8Avg total
60.3Scored
59.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.459.4119.7+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (12)60.256.9117.2+3.367%-
Last 30 away (18)60.461.0121.4-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)60.359.5119.8+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)58.057.8115.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)66.563.5130.0+3.050%-
vs Similar (23)59.359.0118.4+0.352%-
vs Weaker (5)62.659.2121.8+3.460%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A15/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H16/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A24/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A28/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H02/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H04/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A07/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H09/03
NBA
115.2Avg total
60.1Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.955.1115.0+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.352.7113.0+7.780%-
Last 30 away (15)59.457.6117.0+1.853%-
Last 10 (10)60.155.1115.2+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)61.652.4114.0+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)58.155.9114.0+2.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)60.654.8115.4+5.867%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 122.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.334.1
54.7%
54.5%68.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.7
40.1%
35.8%35.1
🏀 Free throws22.618.9
83.6%
78.1%18.9
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 117.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.027.2
55.5%
54.5%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.016.1
37.4%
35.8%48.3
🏀 Free throws19.615.1
77.0%
78.1%15.1
They take 92.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
WWLLWLWWLL
Boston Celtics
WLLLWLWWWL
#16
League position
#3
+0.6
Net rating
+1.4
119.3
Offensive rating
113.6
118.7
Defensive rating
112.3
56.4%
Effective FG%
55.8%
58.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
11.9%
Turnover %
12.7%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
40.1%
3-point %
37.4%
54.8%
Assist %
60.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.3 · 113.6Defence118.7 · 112.3Shooting56.4% · 55.8%3-point %40.1% · 37.4%Ball care11.9% · 12.7%Off. rebounds25.6% · 22.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Atlanta Hawks wins
6
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23AWashington Wizards114-107
09/03/23AWashington Wizards122-120
07/03/23AMiami Heat128-130
05/03/23AMiami Heat109-117
04/03/23HPortland Trail Blazers129-111
01/03/23HWashington Wizards116-119
26/02/23HBrooklyn Nets129-127
25/02/23HCleveland Cavaliers136-119
16/02/23HNew York Knicks101-122
14/02/23ACharlotte Hornets138-144
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/23HPortland Trail Blazers115-93
07/03/23ACleveland Cavaliers114-118 OT
06/03/23HNew York Knicks129-131 OT
04/03/23HBrooklyn Nets105-115
02/03/23HCleveland Cavaliers117-113
28/02/23ANew York Knicks94-109
26/02/23APhiladelphia 76ers110-107
24/02/23AIndiana Pacers142-138 OT
16/02/23HDetroit Pistons127-109
15/02/23AMilwaukee Bucks125-131 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW51%
HomeLWWLW58%
AwayLLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673136
Win %51%58%44%
Points / game117.2117.1117.2
Allowed / game117.0115.0118.7
Point differential+0.2+2.1-1.5
Avg total234.1232.1235.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%26%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (20)56% (9)55% (11)
Overtime %6%10%3%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW69%
HomeWWLLW74%
AwayLWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673532
Win %69%74%62%
Points / game117.6120.7114.2
Allowed / game112.2111.9112.4
Point differential+5.4+8.7+1.8
Avg total229.8232.6226.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%46%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)50% (10)67% (9)
Overtime %16%17%16%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks66481873%115.9111.7+4.2
2 Boston Celtics67462169%117.6112.2+5.4
3 Denver Nuggets67462169%116.9112.9+4.0
4 Philadelphia 76ers66442267%115.1111.0+4.1
5 Cleveland Cavaliers69422761%112.0106.6+5.3
6 Memphis Grizzlies65392660%115.8112.0+3.9
7 Sacramento Kings65392660%121.1118.3+2.8
8 Brooklyn Nets67382957%113.7112.9+0.9
9 New York Knicks69393057%115.0112.4+2.6
10 Phoenix Suns66372956%113.3110.9+2.4
11 Los Angeles Clippers69363352%112.5112.5+0.0
12 Miami Heat69363352%108.6109.4-0.8
13 Dallas Mavericks67343351%114.0113.2+0.7
14 Golden State Warriors67343351%118.0117.6+0.4
15 Atlanta Hawks67343351%117.2117.0+0.2
16 Minnesota Timberwolves68343450%115.4115.7-0.3
17 Los Angeles Lakers67333449%116.7117.3-0.6
18 Utah Jazz68333549%117.3117.2+0.0
19 New Orleans Pelicans66323448%114.1113.4+0.6
20 Toronto Raptors68323647%112.4112.2+0.2
21 Oklahoma City Thunder66313547%118.2117.0+1.2
22 Washington Wizards67313646%113.2113.4-0.2
23 Portland Trail Blazers67313646%114.6115.7-1.0
24 Indiana Pacers68313746%115.8117.9-2.1
25 Chicago Bulls66303645%113.1112.5+0.6
26 Orlando Magic68284041%111.6114.3-2.7
27 Charlotte Hornets69224732%111.8117.5-5.7
28 San Antonio Spurs66174926%112.3122.3-10.0
29 Houston Rockets66155123%110.3118.5-8.2
30 Detroit Pistons68155322%111.3118.9-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks38232836125
Boston Celtics37343033134
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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