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Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 131-125 (OT)
27-35 37-28 26-32 26-21 15-9
Position#1
Record39-17
FormWWWWW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game111.6
vs
Position#3
Record41-16
FormLWWWW
Points / game117.6
Allowed / game111.4
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Boston Celtics
08 Nov 2026
MIL v BOS
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
MIL101
BOS133
02 Mar 2026
MIL81
BOS108
11 Dec 2025
MIL116
BOS101
10 Nov 2024
MIL107
BOS113
09 Apr 2024
MIL104
BOS91
11 Jan 2024
MIL135
BOS102
30 Mar 2023
MIL99
BOS140
14 Feb 2023
MIL131
BOS125
13 May 2022
MIL95
BOS108
09 May 2022
MIL108
BOS116
07 May 2022
MIL103
BOS101
07 Apr 2022
MIL127
BOS121
25 Dec 2021
MIL117
BOS113
26 Mar 2021
MIL114
BOS122
24 Mar 2021
MIL121
BOS119
31 Jul 2020
MIL119
BOS112
12 Mar 2020
MIL v BOS
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
MIL128
BOS123
08 May 2019
MIL116
BOS91
30 Apr 2019
MIL123
BOS102
28 Apr 2019
MIL90
BOS112
21 Feb 2019
MIL98
BOS97
26 Apr 2018
MIL97
BOS86
22 Apr 2018
MIL104
BOS102
20 Apr 2018
MIL116
BOS92
03 Apr 2018
MIL106
BOS102
26 Oct 2017
MIL89
BOS96
28 Jan 2017
MIL108
BOS112
09 Feb 2016
MIL112
BOS111
10 Nov 2015
MIL83
BOS99
15 Apr 2015
MIL100
BOS105
07 Feb 2015
MIL96
BOS93
10 Feb 2014
MIL86
BOS102
30 Nov 2013
MIL92
BOS85
01 Dec 2012
MIL91
BOS88
10 Nov 2012
MIL92
BOS96
22 Mar 2012
MIL91
BOS100
06 Mar 2011
MIL83
BOS89
10 Apr 2010
MIL90
BOS105
09 Mar 2010
MIL86
BOS84
15 Mar 2009
MIL86
BOS77
15 Nov 2008
MIL97
BOS102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
150-130
150
130
+20
152avg 107
A24/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
107-99
107
99
+8
100avg 107
H26/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
141-131
141
131
+10
136avg 107
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
135-110
135
110
+25
133avg 107
H30/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
124-115
124
115
+9
112avg 107
H01/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
106-105
106
105
+1
93avg 107
H03/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
123-115
123
115
+8
117avg 107
H05/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
127-108
127
108
+19
130avg 107
A07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
115-106
115
106
+9
104avg 107
A10/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
119-106
119
106
+13
116avg 107
A11/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
49-24
34-31
32-37
35-38
26-27
32-26
23-20
26-26
45-30
40-26
29-43
27-32
37-19
25-25
44-44
29-22
34-27
30-37
33-26
27-25
15-24
34-32
29-31
28-18
34-26
28-36
32-30
29-23
30-22
28-26
37-23
32-37
26-31
24-27
38-23
27-25
22-27
32-24
27-25
38-30
237.2Avg total
124.7Scored
112.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)114.6111.6226.2+3.070%
Season at home (28)118.4111.0229.4+7.582%
Season away (28)110.8112.2222.9-1.457%
Last 10 (10)124.7112.5237.2+12.2100%
Last 5 (5)118.0108.0226.0+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)113.3113.6226.9-0.262%
vs Weaker (9)124.9118.8243.7+6.178%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
L
98-113
98
113
-15
88avg 111
A24/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
95-98
95
98
-3
90avg 111
A25/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
117-120 OT
117
120
-3
104avg 111
H27/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
125-121 OT
125
121
+4
115avg 111
H29/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
139-96
139
96
+43
143avg 111
H02/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
94-106
94
106
-12
85avg 111
H04/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
111-99
111
99
+12
110avg 111
A07/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
106-99
106
99
+7
107avg 111
H09/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
127-116
127
116
+11
126avg 111
H11/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
119-109
119
109
+10
117avg 111
H12/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
31-25
25-33
19-25
30-32
28-18
24-25
13-23
34-26
26-32
25-33
25-19
28-27
20-27
33-27
24-24
46-16
33-29
31-27
29-24
20-24
24-33
29-17
21-32
26-25
34-28
30-19
21-27
30-27
29-28
27-24
20-20
32-24
39-29
26-28
30-35
26-28
35-20
21-33
37-28
220.8Avg total
113.1Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)117.6111.4229.0+6.172%
Season at home (30)121.0111.9232.9+9.177%
Season away (27)113.7110.9224.7+2.867%
Last 10 (10)113.1107.7220.8+5.460%
Last 5 (5)111.4105.8217.2+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)118.4113.8232.2+4.660%
vs Weaker (25)114.5109.9224.4+4.668%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
Milwaukee BucksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
83-55
83
55
+28
A24/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H26/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
85-56
85
56
+29
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H30/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
D
64-64
64
64
+0
H01/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H03/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H05/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A10/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A11/02
NBA
117.2Avg total
62.5Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.657.0113.7-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.160.8119.8-1.738%-
Last 30 away (17)54.854.2108.9+0.641%-
Last 10 (10)62.554.7117.2+7.860%-
Last 5 (5)54.655.0109.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)53.255.4108.6-2.233%-
vs Weaker (9)64.760.8125.4+3.956%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A24/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A25/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H27/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H29/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
79-45
79
45
+34
H02/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H04/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A07/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H09/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H11/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H12/02
NBA
112.2Avg total
59.4Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.755.6113.3+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.054.8111.8+2.259%-
Last 30 away (13)58.656.8115.4+1.854%-
Last 10 (10)59.452.8112.2+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)59.053.2112.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)59.256.8116.0+2.480%-
vs Weaker (25)57.455.4112.8+2.052%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 124.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.230.8
60.2%
54.5%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.715.4
36.9%
35.8%46.2
🏀 Free throws24.016.9
70.4%
78.1%16.9
They take 92.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers52.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.8
53.2%
54.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.417.4
40.1%
35.8%52.2
🏀 Free throws21.517.3
80.5%
78.1%17.3
They take 84.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWWWWWWW
Boston Celtics
WWWWLWWLLL
#1
League position
#3
+11.5
Net rating
+5.4
117.4
Offensive rating
113.8
105.9
Defensive rating
108.4
58.0%
Effective FG%
56.8%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
12.8%
Turnover %
13.5%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
19.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.9%
3-point %
40.1%
53.9%
Assist %
62.0%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 113.8Defence105.9 · 108.4Shooting58.0% · 56.8%3-point %36.9% · 40.1%Ball care12.8% · 13.5%Off. rebounds25.1% · 19.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
5
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23ALos Angeles Clippers119-106
10/02/23ALos Angeles Lakers115-106
07/02/23APortland Trail Blazers127-108
05/02/23HMiami Heat123-115
03/02/23HLos Angeles Clippers106-105
01/02/23HCharlotte Hornets124-115
30/01/23HNew Orleans Pelicans135-110
28/01/23AIndiana Pacers141-131
26/01/23HDenver Nuggets107-99
24/01/23ADetroit Pistons150-130
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23HMemphis Grizzlies119-109
11/02/23HCharlotte Hornets127-116
09/02/23HPhiladelphia 76ers106-99
07/02/23ADetroit Pistons111-99
04/02/23HPhoenix Suns94-106
02/02/23HBrooklyn Nets139-96
29/01/23HLos Angeles Lakers125-121 OT
27/01/23HNew York Knicks117-120 OT
25/01/23AMiami Heat95-98
24/01/23AOrlando Magic98-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %70%82%57%
Points / game114.6118.4110.8
Allowed / game111.6111.0112.2
Point differential+3.0+7.5-1.4
Avg total226.2229.4222.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%46%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)50% (4)83% (6)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW72%
HomeWLWWW77%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games573027
Win %72%77%67%
Points / game117.6121.0113.7
Allowed / game111.4111.9110.9
Point differential+6.1+9.1+2.8
Avg total229.0232.9224.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%47%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)50% (8)67% (6)
Overtime %12%17%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics57411672%117.6111.4+6.1
2 Milwaukee Bucks56391770%114.6111.6+3.0
3 Denver Nuggets58401869%117.1112.8+4.3
4 Philadelphia 76ers56371966%114.3110.4+3.9
5 Cleveland Cavaliers60382263%111.8105.9+5.8
6 Memphis Grizzlies56342261%116.1112.2+3.9
7 Brooklyn Nets57332458%114.0112.4+1.6
8 Sacramento Kings56322457%119.6117.1+2.5
9 Miami Heat58322655%108.4108.2+0.2
10 New York Knicks59322754%114.4112.5+1.9
11 Phoenix Suns58312753%112.7111.3+1.4
12 Dallas Mavericks59312853%113.1112.4+0.6
13 Los Angeles Clippers59312853%111.0111.0+0.0
14 New Orleans Pelicans58302852%115.1113.4+1.7
15 Minnesota Timberwolves60312952%115.9115.8+0.1
16 Golden State Warriors57292851%118.5118.3+0.3
17 Atlanta Hawks58292950%116.7116.7+0.0
18 Utah Jazz59293049%117.7117.2+0.4
19 Portland Trail Blazers57282949%115.1114.8+0.3
20 Oklahoma City Thunder56272948%117.6116.6+1.0
21 Toronto Raptors58273147%113.2112.4+0.7
22 Washington Wizards56263046%113.4113.7-0.3
23 Chicago Bulls57263146%113.3113.3-0.0
24 Los Angeles Lakers58263245%117.0118.4-1.5
25 Indiana Pacers59253442%114.5117.2-2.7
26 Orlando Magic58243441%110.9113.5-2.6
27 Charlotte Hornets59164327%112.4119.1-6.7
28 Detroit Pistons58154326%112.3119.7-7.4
29 San Antonio Spurs58144424%112.5122.7-10.2
30 Houston Rockets57134423%110.0117.9-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Milwaukee Bucks2737262615131
Boston Celtics352832219125
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