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Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 120-118
22-44 34-30 34-22 30-22
Position#21
Record31-39
FormLWLLW
Points / game119.2
Allowed / game120.7
vs
Position#1
Record57-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game121.3
Allowed / game109.2
USANBA· State Farm Arena (Atlanta)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Boston Celtics
09 Apr 2027
ATL v BOS
upcoming
05 Feb 2027
ATL v BOS
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
ATL112
BOS102
17 Jan 2026
ATL106
BOS132
04 Nov 2024
ATL93
BOS123
28 Mar 2024
ATL123
BOS122
25 Mar 2024
ATL120
BOS118
27 Apr 2023
ATL120
BOS128
23 Apr 2023
ATL121
BOS129
21 Apr 2023
ATL130
BOS122
11 Mar 2023
ATL125
BOS134
16 Nov 2022
ATL101
BOS126
28 Jan 2022
ATL108
BOS92
17 Nov 2021
ATL110
BOS99
24 Feb 2021
ATL127
BOS112
03 Feb 2020
ATL115
BOS123
19 Jan 2019
ATL105
BOS113
23 Nov 2018
ATL96
BOS114
18 Nov 2017
ATL99
BOS110
06 Nov 2017
ATL107
BOS110
06 Apr 2017
ATL123
BOS116
13 Jan 2017
ATL101
BOS103
26 Apr 2016
ATL110
BOS83
19 Apr 2016
ATL89
BOS72
16 Apr 2016
ATL102
BOS101
09 Apr 2016
ATL118
BOS107
24 Nov 2015
ATL121
BOS97
02 Dec 2014
ATL109
BOS105
09 Apr 2014
ATL105
BOS97
23 Nov 2013
ATL87
BOS94
25 Jan 2013
ATL123
BOS111
05 Jan 2013
ATL81
BOS89
08 May 2012
ATL87
BOS86
01 May 2012
ATL80
BOS87
29 Apr 2012
ATL83
BOS74
20 Apr 2012
ATL97
BOS92
19 Mar 2012
ATL76
BOS79
01 Apr 2011
ATL88
BOS83
22 Nov 2010
ATL76
BOS99
29 Jan 2010
ATL100
BOS91
08 Jan 2010
ATL93
BOS85
27 Mar 2009
ATL93
BOS99
17 Dec 2008
ATL85
BOS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#5
W
116-100
116
100
+16
114avg 109
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
112-101
112
101
+11
108avg 109
H07/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
99-92
99
92
+7
89avg 109
A09/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
103-116
103
116
-13
93avg 109
H10/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
102-106
102
106
-4
86avg 109
A14/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
122-124
122
124
-2
114avg 109
A16/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
110-93
110
93
+17
112avg 109
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
105-136
105
136
-31
95avg 109
A19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
115-128
115
128
-13
102avg 109
A22/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
132-91
132
91
+41
138avg 109
H23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-15
28-35
22-28
33-22
31-28
33-21
23-40
25-12
20-31
26-15
34-26
19-20
20-26
22-27
23-27
38-36
24-17
28-30
23-35
27-24
28-34
34-27
34-37
26-26
31-29
30-15
27-18
22-31
28-38
31-35
27-38
19-25
37-30
23-35
33-31
22-32
30-28
36-20
33-26
33-17
220.3Avg total
111.6Scored
108.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)119.2120.7239.9-1.644%
Season at home (34)122.8121.7244.6+1.150%
Season away (36)115.7119.8235.5-4.139%
Last 10 (10)111.6108.7220.3+2.950%
Last 5 (5)116.8114.4231.2+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)121.0121.7242.7-0.746%
vs Similar (11)113.8117.4231.2-3.545%
vs Weaker (6)113.2109.8223.0+3.350%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
109-115
109
115
-6
98avg 113
A08/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
117-107
117
107
+10
110avg 113
A10/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
121-99
121
99
+22
115avg 113
A12/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
123-107
123
107
+16
116avg 113
A13/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
127-112
127
112
+15
120avg 113
H14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
130-104
130
104
+26
127avg 113
A17/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
119-94
119
94
+25
116avg 113
H18/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
122-119
122
119
+3
112avg 113
H20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
129-102
129
102
+27
122avg 113
A22/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
124-113
124
113
+11
121avg 113
A24/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-30
26-32
26-28
29-25
31-26
31-24
25-28
30-29
37-28
29-24
22-23
33-24
44-33
28-24
26-34
25-16
35-32
30-28
37-25
25-27
45-27
36-26
27-25
22-26
31-28
28-18
33-20
27-28
33-28
36-28
32-27
21-36
32-34
37-19
35-30
25-19
31-31
35-29
29-32
29-21
229.3Avg total
122.1Scored
107.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)121.3109.2230.5+12.081%
Season at home (35)123.3108.0231.3+15.391%
Season away (35)119.2110.5229.7+8.771%
Last 10 (10)122.1107.2229.3+14.990%
Last 5 (5)124.8106.4231.2+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)121.5107.4228.8+14.183%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
Atlanta HawksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#5
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H07/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A09/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H10/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A14/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A16/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A22/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
66-48
66
48
+18
H23/03
NBA
110.9Avg total
57.3Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.557.5116.1+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.956.9115.8+1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)58.258.1116.3+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)57.353.6110.9+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)61.658.2119.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)59.959.6119.5+0.331%-
vs Similar (11)57.956.6114.5+1.364%-
vs Weaker (6)56.754.7111.3+2.033%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A08/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A10/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
66-52
66
52
+14
A12/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
72-57
72
57
+15
A13/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
81-53
81
53
+28
A17/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H18/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A22/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A24/03
NBA
121.2Avg total
66.3Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)64.455.4119.9+9.080%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.955.1118.0+7.973%-
Last 30 away (15)65.955.8121.7+10.187%-
Last 10 (10)66.354.9121.2+11.490%-
Last 5 (5)68.853.6122.4+15.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)64.455.4119.9+9.080%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 111.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.026.9
51.7%
54.4%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.214.5
39.0%
36.3%43.5
🏀 Free throws18.614.3
76.9%
78.2%14.3
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 122.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers56.1 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.025.6
55.7%
54.4%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.818.7
41.7%
36.3%56.1
🏀 Free throws19.014.8
77.9%
78.2%14.8
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
WLLWLLLWWW
Boston Celtics
WWWWWWWWWL
#21
League position
#1
+3.0
Net rating
+15.5
115.8
Offensive rating
126.7
112.8
Defensive rating
111.2
54.5%
Effective FG%
59.1%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
11.4%
Turnover %
9.7%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.21
39.0%
3-point %
41.7%
68.6%
Assist %
64.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 126.7Defence112.8 · 111.2Shooting54.5% · 59.1%3-point %39.0% · 41.7%Ball care11.4% · 9.7%Off. rebounds26.1% · 27.3%Free throws0.21 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Atlanta Hawks wins
8
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HCharlotte Hornets132-91
22/03/24APhoenix Suns115-128
19/03/24ALos Angeles Lakers105-136
18/03/24ALos Angeles Clippers110-93
16/03/24AUtah Jazz122-124
14/03/24APortland Trail Blazers102-106
10/03/24HNew Orleans Pelicans103-116
09/03/24AMemphis Grizzlies99-92
07/03/24HCleveland Cavaliers112-101
06/03/24ANew York Knicks116-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24AChicago Bulls124-113
22/03/24ADetroit Pistons129-102
20/03/24HMilwaukee Bucks122-119
18/03/24HDetroit Pistons119-94
17/03/24AWashington Wizards130-104
14/03/24HPhoenix Suns127-112
13/03/24AUtah Jazz123-107
12/03/24APortland Trail Blazers121-99
10/03/24APhoenix Suns117-107
08/03/24ADenver Nuggets109-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeWWWLW50%
AwayLLWLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703436
Win %44%50%39%
Points / game119.2122.8115.7
Allowed / game120.7121.7119.8
Point differential-1.6+1.1-4.1
Avg total239.9244.6235.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%21%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)40% (10)57% (7)
Overtime %6%9%3%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703535
Win %81%91%71%
Points / game121.3123.3119.2
Allowed / game109.2108.0110.5
Point differential+12.0+15.3+8.7
Avg total230.5231.3229.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+51%54%49%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)83% (6)40% (10)
Overtime %7%6%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics70571381%121.3109.2+12.0
2 Denver Nuggets71502170%114.6110.1+4.5
3 Oklahoma City Thunder70492170%120.3112.9+7.4
4 Minnesota Timberwolves71492269%113.2106.5+6.6
5 Milwaukee Bucks69452465%120.2116.6+3.6
6 Los Angeles Clippers70442663%116.5112.7+3.8
7 New Orleans Pelicans69432662%116.0110.0+6.0
8 Cleveland Cavaliers72442861%112.7109.3+3.4
9 New York Knicks69422761%111.6107.2+4.4
10 Phoenix Suns70422860%117.5114.4+3.1
11 Sacramento Kings69412859%117.8116.2+1.6
12 Orlando Magic71422959%110.8108.8+2.1
13 Dallas Mavericks70412959%118.6117.0+1.6
14 Philadelphia 76ers71393255%114.5112.1+2.3
15 Miami Heat71393255%109.6108.9+0.7
16 Indiana Pacers70383254%123.1121.1+2.0
17 Los Angeles Lakers69373254%117.6118.3-0.6
18 Golden State Warriors70363451%118.3116.8+1.5
19 Houston Rockets70353550%114.3112.7+1.6
20 Chicago Bulls71343748%112.1113.9-1.8
21 Atlanta Hawks70313944%119.2120.7-1.6
22 Utah Jazz71294241%116.8120.9-4.1
23 Brooklyn Nets71264537%111.1113.8-2.7
24 Memphis Grizzlies71244734%105.9112.6-6.6
25 Toronto Raptors71234832%113.1118.1-5.0
26 Portland Trail Blazers71195227%107.8115.9-8.1
27 Charlotte Hornets71175424%106.2116.8-10.7
28 San Antonio Spurs71155621%112.0119.5-7.6
29 Washington Wizards71135818%113.7123.7-9.9
30 Detroit Pistons71125917%111.3120.1-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks22343430120
Boston Celtics44302222118
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