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Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 09 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record6-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game118.1
Allowed / game114.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#4
Record7-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game114.8
Allowed / game105.1
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Boston Celtics
09 Apr 2027
ATL v BOS
upcoming
05 Feb 2027
ATL v BOS
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
ATL112
BOS102
17 Jan 2026
ATL106
BOS132
04 Nov 2024
ATL93
BOS123
28 Mar 2024
ATL123
BOS122
25 Mar 2024
ATL120
BOS118
27 Apr 2023
ATL120
BOS128
23 Apr 2023
ATL121
BOS129
21 Apr 2023
ATL130
BOS122
11 Mar 2023
ATL125
BOS134
16 Nov 2022
ATL101
BOS126
28 Jan 2022
ATL108
BOS92
17 Nov 2021
ATL110
BOS99
24 Feb 2021
ATL127
BOS112
03 Feb 2020
ATL115
BOS123
19 Jan 2019
ATL105
BOS113
23 Nov 2018
ATL96
BOS114
18 Nov 2017
ATL99
BOS110
06 Nov 2017
ATL107
BOS110
06 Apr 2017
ATL123
BOS116
13 Jan 2017
ATL101
BOS103
26 Apr 2016
ATL110
BOS83
19 Apr 2016
ATL89
BOS72
16 Apr 2016
ATL102
BOS101
09 Apr 2016
ATL118
BOS107
24 Nov 2015
ATL121
BOS97
02 Dec 2014
ATL109
BOS105
09 Apr 2014
ATL105
BOS97
23 Nov 2013
ATL87
BOS94
25 Jan 2013
ATL123
BOS111
05 Jan 2013
ATL81
BOS89
08 May 2012
ATL87
BOS86
01 May 2012
ATL80
BOS87
29 Apr 2012
ATL83
BOS74
20 Apr 2012
ATL97
BOS92
19 Mar 2012
ATL76
BOS79
01 Apr 2011
ATL88
BOS83
22 Nov 2010
ATL76
BOS99
29 Jan 2010
ATL100
BOS91
08 Jan 2010
ATL93
BOS85
27 Mar 2009
ATL93
BOS99
17 Dec 2008
ATL85
BOS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
W
132-125
132
125
+7
125avg 100
A21/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
128-81
128
81
+47
125avg 100
A23/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
114-121
114
121
-7
107avg 100
H25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
110-120
110
120
-10
92avg 100
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#21
L
117-129
117
129
-12
111avg 100
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#15
W
114-111
114
111
+3
113avg 100
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
L
99-121
99
121
-22
32avg 100
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
W
108-104
108
104
+4
92avg 100
A03/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#19
W
120-105
120
105
+15
118avg 100
A05/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#19
W
139-132
139
132
+7
139avg 100
H07/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-33
44-29
27-38
33-25
33-20
35-23
29-19
31-19
26-30
22-29
33-33
33-29
35-32
31-31
19-28
25-29
25-34
31-35
29-28
32-32
16-28
30-16
43-38
25-29
18-33
30-30
26-29
25-29
37-29
31-27
19-23
21-25
37-32
31-29
25-24
27-20
28-32
38-27
39-35
34-38
233.0Avg total
118.1Scored
114.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)118.1114.9233.0+3.260%
Season at home (4)121.0123.2244.2-2.250%
Season away (6)116.2109.3225.5+6.867%
Last 10 (10)118.1114.9233.0+3.260%
Last 5 (5)116.0114.6230.6+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)106.2116.3222.6-10.133%
vs Similar (8)115.1115.9231.0-0.850%
vs Weaker (10)128.9112.3241.2+16.690%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
100-109
100
109
-9
84avg 105
H02/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#7
L
113-121
113
121
-8
104avg 105
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#17
W
107-103
107
103
+4
96avg 105
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
134-99
134
99
+35
127avg 105
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#24
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
119avg 105
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
125-111
125
111
+14
118avg 105
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
108-97
108
97
+11
103avg 105
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
93-109
93
109
-16
78avg 105
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#29
W
109-102
109
102
+7
102avg 105
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
119-80
119
80
+39
123avg 105
A07/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-32
31-23
25-33
25-21
28-27
30-18
30-37
25-39
26-27
24-22
33-24
24-30
33-21
33-33
39-21
29-24
26-31
30-30
30-21
31-35
44-25
34-24
21-25
26-37
24-23
31-27
22-24
31-23
29-29
21-28
23-25
20-27
28-14
34-27
25-38
22-23
40-20
30-19
26-18
23-23
218.8Avg total
113.3Scored
105.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)114.8105.1219.9+9.778%
Season at home (5)120.0107.8227.8+12.2100%
Season away (4)108.2101.8210.0+6.550%
Last 10 (10)113.3105.5218.8+7.870%
Last 5 (5)110.899.8210.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)109.7108.7218.3+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)115.2105.2220.5+10.075%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
Atlanta HawksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A21/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
68-43
68
43
+25
A23/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#21
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A03/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#19
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A05/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#19
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H07/11
NBA
118.5Avg total
60.6Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.957.8117.8+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.856.8112.6-0.962%-
Last 30 away (17)63.158.6121.7+4.465%-
Last 10 (10)60.657.9118.5+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)59.256.6115.8+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)54.459.3113.8-4.942%-
vs Similar (8)59.057.8116.8+1.262%-
vs Weaker (10)67.356.1123.4+11.290%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H02/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#7
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#17
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#24
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#29
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
70-39
70
39
+31
A07/11
NBA
109.5Avg total
59.5Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.851.8110.5+7.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.352.7111.0+5.653%-
Last 30 away (13)59.450.5109.9+8.869%-
Last 10 (10)59.550.0109.5+9.570%-
Last 5 (5)63.047.2110.2+15.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)54.753.2107.8+1.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)59.851.4111.2+8.467%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 112.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.327.9
54.4%
54.0%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.013.4
33.5%
35.0%40.2
🏀 Free throws21.716.5
76.0%
76.6%16.5
They take 91.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.6
53.4%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.915.6
35.5%
35.0%46.8
🏀 Free throws23.017.3
75.2%
76.6%17.3
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
WWWLWLLLWW
Boston Celtics
WWLWWWWWLL
#12
League position
#4
-9.2
Net rating
+4.5
109.3
Offensive rating
111.2
118.5
Defensive rating
106.7
52.6%
Effective FG%
53.3%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
14.7%
Turnover %
13.3%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.5%
3-point %
35.5%
68.3%
Assist %
64.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 111.2Defence118.5 · 106.7Shooting52.6% · 53.3%3-point %33.5% · 35.5%Ball care14.7% · 13.3%Off. rebounds26.8% · 26.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Atlanta Hawks wins
4
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HWashington Wizards139-132
05/11/26AWashington Wizards120-105
03/11/26AIndiana Pacers108-104
31/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans99-121
30/10/26HCleveland Cavaliers114-111
28/10/26HMiami Heat117-129
27/10/26AHouston Rockets110-120
25/10/26HHouston Rockets114-121
23/10/26ACharlotte Hornets128-81
21/10/26AOrlando Magic132-125
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ACharlotte Hornets119-80
05/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks109-102
03/11/26AHouston Rockets93-109
01/11/26AOrlando Magic108-97
30/10/26HChicago Bulls125-111
27/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-124 OT
26/10/26HChicago Bulls134-99
23/10/26HNew York Knicks107-103
20/10/26ADetroit Pistons113-121
02/05/26HPhiladelphia 76ers100-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game118.1121.0116.2
Allowed / game114.9123.2109.3
Point differential+3.2-2.2+6.8
Avg total233.0244.2225.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%100%50%
Points / game114.8120.0108.2
Allowed / game105.1107.8101.8
Point differential+9.7+12.2+6.5
Avg total219.9227.8210.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers108280%122.0114.3+7.7
2 Philadelphia 76ers108280%109.4106.6+2.8
3 Houston Rockets97278%117.9107.6+10.3
4 Boston Celtics97278%114.8105.1+9.7
5 San Antonio Spurs97278%117.7108.7+9.0
6 Oklahoma City Thunder97278%112.0107.4+4.6
7 Detroit Pistons86275%111.1101.8+9.4
8 Portland Trail Blazers86275%121.4112.4+9.0
9 Minnesota Timberwolves107370%118.4107.7+10.7
10 Memphis Grizzlies96367%117.9111.8+6.1
11 Golden State Warriors96367%117.8113.0+4.8
12 Atlanta Hawks106460%118.1114.9+3.2
13 Denver Nuggets74357%115.4114.7+0.7
14 Toronto Raptors95456%118.2112.8+5.4
15 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.2114.7+4.6
16 Dallas Mavericks95456%112.1110.9+1.2
17 New York Knicks84450%110.0105.1+4.9
18 New Orleans Pelicans94544%120.2118.8+1.4
19 Washington Wizards94544%111.4112.3-0.9
20 Indiana Pacers93633%111.2114.2-3.0
21 Miami Heat93633%116.0122.6-6.6
22 Charlotte Hornets103730%96.3110.2-13.9
23 Phoenix Suns72529%113.9121.4-7.6
24 Brooklyn Nets82625%106.6112.9-6.2
25 Orlando Magic82625%105.5115.0-9.5
26 Los Angeles Clippers81712%109.1115.6-6.5
27 Chicago Bulls81712%111.6129.6-18.0
28 Utah Jazz91811%106.9118.2-11.3
29 Milwaukee Bucks91811%109.7122.1-12.4
30 Sacramento Kings91811%109.2123.3-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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