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Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 106-132
23-30 28-52 23-35 32-15
Position#12
Record20-23
FormWWWLL
Points / game117.9
Allowed / game118.9
vs
Position#5
Record25-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game116.7
Allowed / game110.2
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Boston Celtics
09 Apr 2027
ATL v BOS
upcoming
05 Feb 2027
ATL v BOS
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
ATL112
BOS102
17 Jan 2026
ATL106
BOS132
04 Nov 2024
ATL93
BOS123
28 Mar 2024
ATL123
BOS122
25 Mar 2024
ATL120
BOS118
27 Apr 2023
ATL120
BOS128
23 Apr 2023
ATL121
BOS129
21 Apr 2023
ATL130
BOS122
11 Mar 2023
ATL125
BOS134
16 Nov 2022
ATL101
BOS126
28 Jan 2022
ATL108
BOS92
17 Nov 2021
ATL110
BOS99
24 Feb 2021
ATL127
BOS112
03 Feb 2020
ATL115
BOS123
19 Jan 2019
ATL105
BOS113
23 Nov 2018
ATL96
BOS114
18 Nov 2017
ATL99
BOS110
06 Nov 2017
ATL107
BOS110
06 Apr 2017
ATL123
BOS116
13 Jan 2017
ATL101
BOS103
26 Apr 2016
ATL110
BOS83
19 Apr 2016
ATL89
BOS72
16 Apr 2016
ATL102
BOS101
09 Apr 2016
ATL118
BOS107
24 Nov 2015
ATL121
BOS97
02 Dec 2014
ATL109
BOS105
09 Apr 2014
ATL105
BOS97
23 Nov 2013
ATL87
BOS94
25 Jan 2013
ATL123
BOS111
05 Jan 2013
ATL81
BOS89
08 May 2012
ATL87
BOS86
01 May 2012
ATL80
BOS87
29 Apr 2012
ATL83
BOS74
20 Apr 2012
ATL97
BOS92
19 Mar 2012
ATL76
BOS79
01 Apr 2011
ATL88
BOS83
22 Nov 2010
ATL76
BOS99
29 Jan 2010
ATL100
BOS91
08 Jan 2010
ATL93
BOS85
27 Mar 2009
ATL93
BOS99
17 Dec 2008
ATL85
BOS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
129-140
129
140
-11
119avg 111
A30/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
126-102
126
102
+24
122avg 111
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
111-99
111
99
+12
108avg 111
A03/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
117-134
117
134
-17
109avg 111
A04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
100-118
100
118
-18
93avg 111
A06/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
117-100
117
100
+17
111avg 111
H08/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
110-87
110
87
+23
104avg 111
A10/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
124-111
124
111
+13
120avg 111
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
116-141
116
141
-25
99avg 111
A14/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
101-117
101
117
-16
92avg 111
A16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-35
36-35
29-43
26-27
33-26
37-23
28-24
28-29
33-30
27-17
34-23
17-29
29-35
41-42
36-30
11-27
26-31
23-30
24-25
27-32
37-26
28-27
24-13
28-34
30-28
28-22
16-25
36-12
27-28
32-25
35-25
30-33
30-37
30-44
26-21
30-39
25-33
31-21
31-34
14-29
230.0Avg total
115.1Scored
114.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)117.9118.9236.8-1.047%
Season at home (18)117.4119.8237.3-2.439%
Season away (25)118.2118.2236.4+0.152%
Last 10 (10)115.1114.9230.0+0.250%
Last 5 (5)113.6111.2224.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)114.2123.6237.9-9.412%
vs Similar (16)117.8120.2238.1-2.450%
vs Weaker (6)124.8120.7245.5+4.250%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
108-114
108
114
-6
92avg 107
A28/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
129-119
129
119
+10
122avg 107
A31/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
120-106
120
106
+14
113avg 107
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
146-115
146
115
+31
143avg 107
A04/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
115-101
115
101
+14
101avg 107
H06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
110-114
110
114
-4
96avg 107
H08/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
125-117
125
117
+8
122avg 107
H10/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-100
95
100
-5
86avg 107
H11/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
96-98
96
98
-2
88avg 107
A13/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
119-114
119
114
+5
112avg 107
A16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-31
33-24
22-31
23-28
31-38
28-26
40-32
30-23
28-29
34-32
26-27
32-18
42-28
29-35
42-36
33-16
31-14
23-19
31-34
30-34
35-31
23-27
24-21
28-35
37-30
31-30
29-26
28-31
26-21
29-29
20-23
20-27
24-19
32-34
21-26
19-19
25-36
29-28
29-29
36-21
226.1Avg total
116.3Scored
109.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)116.7110.2226.9+6.562%
Season at home (19)117.1110.9228.0+6.163%
Season away (21)116.3109.6225.9+6.862%
Last 10 (10)116.3109.8226.1+6.560%
Last 5 (5)109.0108.6217.6+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)110.0111.4221.4-1.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)119.5109.8229.3+9.776%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
Atlanta HawksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A30/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
70-49
70
49
+21
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A03/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A06/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H08/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A10/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A14/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A16/01
NBA
121.6Avg total
62.1Scored
59.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.561.6121.1-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.960.5119.5-1.638%-
Last 30 away (17)59.962.4122.3-2.441%-
Last 10 (10)62.159.5121.6+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)59.658.2117.8+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)57.064.1121.1-7.125%-
vs Similar (16)58.960.3119.2-1.438%-
vs Weaker (6)64.561.5126.0+3.067%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A28/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A31/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A04/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
D
58-58
58
58
+0
H08/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H10/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H11/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A13/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A16/01
NBA
116.1Avg total
60.0Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.855.6116.4+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.053.1113.1+6.964%-
Last 30 away (16)61.457.9119.3+3.669%-
Last 10 (10)60.056.1116.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)58.257.0115.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)57.054.2111.2+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)61.555.9117.4+5.668%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 115.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.927.4
53.8%
54.8%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.415.8
37.3%
35.8%47.4
🏀 Free throws18.412.9
70.1%
78.1%12.9
They take 93.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 116.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.028.2
55.3%
54.8%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.615.4
37.0%
35.8%46.2
🏀 Free throws16.413.7
83.5%
78.1%13.7
They take 92.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LLWWWLLWWL
Boston Celtics
WLLWLWWWWL
#12
League position
#5
+0.2
Net rating
+6.7
110.6
Offensive rating
120.1
110.4
Defensive rating
113.4
54.8%
Effective FG%
55.4%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
11.7%
Turnover %
11.1%
20.2%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.18
37.3%
3-point %
37.0%
71.3%
Assist %
53.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 120.1Defence110.4 · 113.4Shooting54.8% · 55.4%3-point %37.3% · 37.0%Ball care11.7% · 11.1%Off. rebounds20.2% · 30.3%Free throws0.20 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Atlanta Hawks wins
5
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/26APortland Trail Blazers101-117
14/01/26ALos Angeles Lakers116-141
12/01/26AGolden State Warriors124-111
10/01/26ADenver Nuggets110-87
08/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans117-100
06/01/26AToronto Raptors100-118
04/01/26AToronto Raptors117-134
03/01/26ANew York Knicks111-99
31/12/25HMinnesota Timberwolves126-102
30/12/25AOklahoma City Thunder129-140
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/26AMiami Heat119-114
13/01/26AIndiana Pacers96-98
11/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs95-100
10/01/26HToronto Raptors125-117
08/01/26HDenver Nuggets110-114
06/01/26HChicago Bulls115-101
04/01/26ALos Angeles Clippers146-115
02/01/26ASacramento Kings120-106
31/12/25AUtah Jazz129-119
28/12/25APortland Trail Blazers108-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL47%
HomeLLLWW39%
AwayLWWLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431825
Win %47%39%52%
Points / game117.9117.4118.2
Allowed / game118.9119.8118.2
Point differential-1.0-2.4+0.1
Avg total236.8237.3236.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%22%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)33% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW62%
HomeWWLWL63%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %62%63%62%
Points / game116.7117.1116.3
Allowed / game110.2110.9109.6
Point differential+6.5+6.1+6.8
Avg total226.9228.0225.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%32%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)33% (6)57% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4034685%121.0108.1+12.9
2 Detroit Pistons39291074%117.6111.1+6.5
3 Denver Nuggets41281368%122.6117.2+5.3
4 San Antonio Spurs39261367%117.4112.4+5.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves42271564%120.0114.5+5.5
6 Los Angeles Lakers38241463%116.4116.5-0.1
7 Boston Celtics40251562%116.7110.2+6.5
8 Houston Rockets39241562%117.1110.7+6.4
9 Phoenix Suns40241660%115.2111.4+3.8
10 Toronto Raptors42251760%114.3112.2+2.1
11 New York Knicks39231659%118.6115.4+3.2
12 Orlando Magic39221756%116.2114.6+1.5
13 Cleveland Cavaliers43241956%120.0117.4+2.6
14 Philadelphia 76ers40221855%116.8115.7+1.1
15 Golden State Warriors42231955%115.8113.2+2.5
16 Miami Heat40211952%119.7117.8+1.9
17 Portland Trail Blazers42202248%115.9118.4-2.6
18 Atlanta Hawks43202347%117.9118.9-1.0
19 Chicago Bulls41192246%117.3120.7-3.4
20 Los Angeles Clippers41182344%112.5113.4-0.9
21 Memphis Grizzlies40172342%114.8116.2-1.4
22 Milwaukee Bucks41172441%112.4115.8-3.3
23 Dallas Mavericks43172640%114.2117.0-2.9
24 Charlotte Hornets41152637%116.6116.7-0.1
25 Utah Jazz42142833%119.4127.6-8.3
26 Brooklyn Nets39122731%108.9113.8-4.8
27 Sacramento Kings42123029%110.6120.6-10.0
28 Washington Wizards40103025%112.7124.0-11.3
29 Indiana Pacers42103224%111.0118.3-7.4
30 New Orleans Pelicans44103423%115.0122.3-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks23282332106
Boston Celtics30523515132
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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