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Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 112-102
29-30 25-24 36-22 22-26
Position#12
Record42-33
FormWWWLW
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game116.4
vs
Position#5
Record50-24
FormWLWWW
Points / game114.1
Allowed / game106.8
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Boston Celtics
09 Apr 2027
ATL v BOS
upcoming
05 Feb 2027
ATL v BOS
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
ATL112
BOS102
17 Jan 2026
ATL106
BOS132
04 Nov 2024
ATL93
BOS123
28 Mar 2024
ATL123
BOS122
25 Mar 2024
ATL120
BOS118
27 Apr 2023
ATL120
BOS128
23 Apr 2023
ATL121
BOS129
21 Apr 2023
ATL130
BOS122
11 Mar 2023
ATL125
BOS134
16 Nov 2022
ATL101
BOS126
28 Jan 2022
ATL108
BOS92
17 Nov 2021
ATL110
BOS99
24 Feb 2021
ATL127
BOS112
03 Feb 2020
ATL115
BOS123
19 Jan 2019
ATL105
BOS113
23 Nov 2018
ATL96
BOS114
18 Nov 2017
ATL99
BOS110
06 Nov 2017
ATL107
BOS110
06 Apr 2017
ATL123
BOS116
13 Jan 2017
ATL101
BOS103
26 Apr 2016
ATL110
BOS83
19 Apr 2016
ATL89
BOS72
16 Apr 2016
ATL102
BOS101
09 Apr 2016
ATL118
BOS107
24 Nov 2015
ATL121
BOS97
02 Dec 2014
ATL109
BOS105
09 Apr 2014
ATL105
BOS97
23 Nov 2013
ATL87
BOS94
25 Jan 2013
ATL123
BOS111
05 Jan 2013
ATL81
BOS89
08 May 2012
ATL87
BOS86
01 May 2012
ATL80
BOS87
29 Apr 2012
ATL83
BOS74
20 Apr 2012
ATL97
BOS92
19 Mar 2012
ATL76
BOS79
01 Apr 2011
ATL88
BOS83
22 Nov 2010
ATL76
BOS99
29 Jan 2010
ATL100
BOS91
08 Jan 2010
ATL93
BOS85
27 Mar 2009
ATL93
BOS99
17 Dec 2008
ATL85
BOS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
108-97
108
97
+11
97avg 111
H12/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
122-99
122
99
+23
116avg 111
H14/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
124-112
124
112
+12
123avg 111
H16/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
135-120
135
120
+15
131avg 111
A19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
95-117
95
117
-22
83avg 111
A21/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
126-110
126
110
+16
122avg 111
H22/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
146-107
146
107
+39
148avg 111
H23/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
130-129 OT
130
129
+1
121avg 111
A25/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
102-109
102
109
-7
86avg 111
A27/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
123-113
123
113
+10
120avg 111
H28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
27-29
25-29
26-18
31-30
29-22
35-26
27-21
34-21
33-29
37-33
20-29
37-30
30-26
34-26
34-38
27-35
27-27
22-39
19-16
35-36
28-25
39-20
24-29
32-22
39-24
45-29
30-32
37-29
36-26
25-40
23-26
29-26
31-29
22-32
20-22
27-30
39-24
22-28
35-31
232.4Avg total
121.1Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)118.3116.4234.7+1.856%
Season at home (38)118.1114.8232.9+3.358%
Season away (37)118.4118.1236.5+0.354%
Last 10 (10)121.1111.3232.4+9.880%
Last 5 (5)125.4113.6239.0+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)116.3114.7231.0+1.767%
vs Similar (13)114.2114.4228.5-0.254%
vs Weaker (14)125.0110.4235.4+14.693%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
116-125
116
125
-9
106avg 105
A11/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
102-104
102
104
-2
91avg 105
A13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
111-100
111
100
+11
109avg 105
H14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
120-112
120
112
+8
120avg 105
H16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
120-99
120
99
+21
113avg 105
H18/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
117-112
117
112
+5
111avg 105
A21/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
92-102
92
102
-10
76avg 105
H23/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
119-109
119
109
+10
115avg 105
H25/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
109-102
109
102
+7
110avg 105
H27/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
114-99
114
99
+15
106avg 105
A29/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
27-29
32-39
26-28
28-27
31-29
24-24
19-24
29-27
35-14
29-31
18-28
31-32
34-29
26-25
29-26
36-23
27-27
26-23
31-26
29-27
26-27
29-34
33-24
23-14
21-33
33-29
15-26
20-31
29-22
39-30
31-26
26-29
29-31
32-22
22-20
27-21
36-28
26-26
25-24
218.4Avg total
112.0Scored
106.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)114.1106.8220.9+7.368%
Season at home (37)114.1107.0221.1+7.270%
Season away (37)114.1106.6220.8+7.565%
Last 10 (10)112.0106.4218.4+5.670%
Last 5 (5)110.2104.8215.0+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)103.4107.8211.1-4.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)112.199.7211.8+12.586%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
Atlanta HawksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H12/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H14/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H16/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A21/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H22/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
71-46
71
46
+25
H23/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
73-55
73
55
+18
A25/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A27/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H28/03
NBA
117.9Avg total
63.8Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.557.4119.8+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (18)62.455.3117.7+7.172%-
Last 30 away (12)62.660.5123.1+2.158%-
Last 10 (10)63.854.1117.9+9.790%-
Last 5 (5)66.654.2120.8+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)64.352.0116.3+12.3100%-
vs Similar (13)59.558.8118.4+0.746%-
vs Weaker (14)64.857.1121.9+7.679%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A11/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H18/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A21/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H23/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H25/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H27/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A29/03
NBA
110.4Avg total
57.5Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.650.4107.0+6.273%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.452.0108.4+4.459%-
Last 30 away (13)56.848.3105.2+8.592%-
Last 10 (10)57.552.9110.4+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)53.252.6105.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)52.853.6106.4-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)58.049.2107.2+8.782%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 121.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.929.0
57.0%
54.8%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.715.2
36.5%
35.8%45.6
🏀 Free throws22.117.5
79.2%
78.1%17.5
They take 92.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.725.2
54.0%
54.8%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.314.1
35.0%
35.8%42.3
🏀 Free throws22.419.3
86.2%
78.1%19.3
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
WLWWWLWWWW
Boston Celtics
WWWLWWWWLL
#12
League position
#5
+9.6
Net rating
+5.8
118.2
Offensive rating
116.0
108.6
Defensive rating
110.2
55.9%
Effective FG%
53.3%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
12.7%
Turnover %
12.3%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.5%
3-point %
35.0%
66.7%
Assist %
60.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.2 · 116.0Defence108.6 · 110.2Shooting55.9% · 53.3%3-point %36.5% · 35.0%Ball care12.7% · 12.3%Off. rebounds29.3% · 28.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Atlanta Hawks wins
5
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HSacramento Kings123-113
27/03/26ABoston Celtics102-109
25/03/26ADetroit Pistons130-129 OT
23/03/26HMemphis Grizzlies146-107
22/03/26HGolden State Warriors126-110
21/03/26AHouston Rockets95-117
19/03/26ADallas Mavericks135-120
16/03/26HOrlando Magic124-112
14/03/26HMilwaukee Bucks122-99
12/03/26HBrooklyn Nets108-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26ACharlotte Hornets114-99
27/03/26HAtlanta Hawks109-102
25/03/26HOklahoma City Thunder119-109
23/03/26HMinnesota Timberwolves92-102
21/03/26AMemphis Grizzlies117-112
18/03/26HGolden State Warriors120-99
16/03/26HPhoenix Suns120-112
14/03/26HWashington Wizards111-100
13/03/26AOklahoma City Thunder102-104
11/03/26ASan Antonio Spurs116-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeWWWWW58%
AwayWWLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753837
Win %56%58%54%
Points / game118.3118.1118.4
Allowed / game116.4114.8118.1
Point differential+1.8+3.3+0.3
Avg total234.7232.9236.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%42%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (18)38% (8)60% (10)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayWLLWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743737
Win %68%70%65%
Points / game114.1114.1114.1
Allowed / game106.8107.0106.6
Point differential+7.3+7.2+7.5
Avg total220.9221.1220.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%43%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (19)43% (7)50% (12)
Overtime %1%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder73581579%118.5107.8+10.7
2 San Antonio Spurs72541875%119.3111.2+8.2
3 Detroit Pistons74542073%117.5109.5+8.0
4 Boston Celtics74502468%114.1106.8+7.3
5 Los Angeles Lakers73482566%116.6114.7+1.9
6 Denver Nuggets76482863%121.3116.6+4.7
7 New York Knicks73462763%116.6110.5+6.1
8 Cleveland Cavaliers74462862%119.4115.2+4.2
9 Houston Rockets74452961%114.4110.1+4.3
10 Minnesota Timberwolves74452961%117.9114.4+3.5
11 Toronto Raptors73423158%114.5111.9+2.6
12 Phoenix Suns73413256%113.0110.8+2.2
13 Atlanta Hawks75423356%118.3116.4+1.8
14 Philadelphia 76ers75413455%116.1116.5-0.4
15 Miami Heat75403553%120.4117.8+2.6
16 Orlando Magic72383453%115.2115.0+0.2
17 Charlotte Hornets75393652%116.1111.7+4.3
18 Los Angeles Clippers75393652%114.0112.5+1.5
19 Portland Trail Blazers76383850%115.3116.1-0.8
20 Golden State Warriors75363948%114.9114.9-0.0
21 Chicago Bulls74294539%116.4121.0-4.6
22 Milwaukee Bucks74294539%110.4116.9-6.4
23 Memphis Grizzlies74254934%115.1119.2-4.0
24 New Orleans Pelicans76255133%115.1119.5-4.4
25 Dallas Mavericks74245032%113.9118.9-5.1
26 Utah Jazz75215428%117.4125.4-8.0
27 Sacramento Kings76195725%110.7121.1-10.4
28 Brooklyn Nets75185724%106.3115.4-9.1
29 Washington Wizards74175723%112.6124.0-11.4
30 Indiana Pacers75175823%112.2120.6-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks29253622112
Boston Celtics30242226102
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