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Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 124-112
34-21 33-29 37-33 20-29
Position#13
Record38-33
FormWWWWW
Points / game117.7
Allowed / game116.9
vs
Position#12
Record41-27
FormWWWWW
Points / game116.2
Allowed / game113.7
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Orlando Magic
13 Mar 2027
ATL v ORL
upcoming
19 Dec 2026
ATL v ORL
upcoming
16 Mar 2026
ATL124
ORL112
04 Nov 2025
ATL127
ORL112
13 Apr 2025
ATL117
ORL105
20 Feb 2025
ATL108
ORL114
25 Feb 2024
ATL109
ORL92
17 Jan 2024
ATL106
ORL104
19 Dec 2022
ATL126
ORL125
21 Oct 2022
ATL108
ORL98
22 Dec 2021
ATL98
ORL104
15 Nov 2021
ATL129
ORL111
13 May 2021
ATL116
ORL93
20 Apr 2021
ATL112
ORL96
13 Dec 2020
ATL116
ORL107
11 Dec 2020
ATL112
ORL116
26 Feb 2020
ATL120
ORL130
26 Oct 2019
ATL103
ORL99
09 Oct 2019
ATL88
ORL97
10 Feb 2019
ATL108
ORL124
21 Jan 2019
ATL103
ORL122
01 Apr 2018
ATL94
ORL88
09 Dec 2017
ATL117
ORL110
04 Feb 2017
ATL113
ORL86
13 Dec 2016
ATL120
ORL131
08 Feb 2016
ATL110
ORL117
18 Jan 2016
ATL98
ORL81
27 Feb 2015
ATL95
ORL88
12 Dec 2014
ATL87
ORL81
26 Nov 2013
ATL92
ORL109
09 Nov 2013
ATL104
ORL94
30 Mar 2013
ATL97
ORL88
19 Nov 2012
ATL81
ORL72
23 Feb 2012
ATL83
ORL78
28 Apr 2011
ATL84
ORL81
24 Apr 2011
ATL88
ORL85
22 Apr 2011
ATL88
ORL84
30 Mar 2011
ATL85
ORL82
20 Dec 2010
ATL91
ORL81
18 Oct 2010
ATL73
ORL102
10 May 2010
ATL84
ORL98
08 May 2010
ATL75
ORL105
24 Mar 2010
ATL86
ORL84
26 Nov 2009
ATL76
ORL93
04 Apr 2009
ATL82
ORL88
07 Jan 2009
ATL102
ORL106
20 Oct 2008
ATL103
ORL109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#19
L
97-128
97
128
-31
84avg 112
H21/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
115-104
115
104
+11
115avg 112
H22/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
119-98
119
98
+21
113avg 112
H25/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
126-96
126
96
+30
125avg 112
H27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
135-101
135
101
+34
141avg 112
H01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
131-113
131
113
+18
128avg 112
A05/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
125-116
125
116
+9
125avg 112
H07/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
124-112
124
112
+12
118avg 112
H10/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
108-97
108
97
+11
97avg 112
H12/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
122-99
122
99
+23
116avg 112
H14/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
35-28
24-30
22-41
32-30
28-26
29-31
26-17
35-20
25-23
40-21
19-34
37-26
39-30
22-24
28-16
44-25
31-33
28-27
32-16
25-38
41-33
32-18
33-24
28-38
38-35
31-21
28-22
40-26
24-27
31-38
29-21
30-21
27-29
25-29
26-18
31-30
29-22
35-26
27-21
226.6Avg total
120.2Scored
106.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)117.7116.9234.6+0.854%
Season at home (36)116.8115.9232.6+0.953%
Season away (35)118.7118.1236.7+0.654%
Last 10 (10)120.2106.4226.6+13.890%
Last 5 (5)122.0107.4229.4+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)103.0114.0217.0-11.033%
vs Similar ◀ (14)114.6115.6230.1-1.050%
vs Weaker (13)121.0109.0230.0+12.085%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
110-109
110
109
+1
101avg 105
A25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
108-113
108
113
-5
97avg 105
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
92-106
92
106
-14
82avg 105
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
126-109
126
109
+17
130avg 105
H04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
115-114
115
114
+1
109avg 105
H06/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
119-92
119
92
+27
119avg 105
A07/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
130-91
130
91
+39
135avg 105
A09/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
128-122
128
122
+6
124avg 105
H11/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
136-131 OT
136
131
+5
129avg 105
H12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
121-117
121
117
+4
118avg 105
A15/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-33
28-23
26-24
31-29
29-22
24-21
27-38
28-32
26-23
31-27
18-31
17-25
27-24
30-30
40-27
29-28
26-33
34-29
31-26
24-26
27-30
33-20
30-28
29-14
25-15
42-40
33-15
30-21
38-35
24-27
34-27
32-33
36-26
27-30
33-25
27-42
41-27
30-28
27-28
23-34
228.9Avg total
118.5Scored
110.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)116.2113.7230.0+2.560%
Season at home (34)116.6113.8230.4+2.868%
Season away (34)115.9113.6229.6+2.353%
Last 10 (10)118.5110.4228.9+8.180%
Last 5 (5)126.8110.6237.4+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)95.7115.3211.0-19.70%
vs Similar ◀ (13)112.4113.8226.2-1.454%
vs Weaker (14)119.5110.5230.0+9.079%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
Atlanta HawksOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#19
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H21/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H22/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H25/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A05/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H07/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H10/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H12/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H14/03
NBA
120.4Avg total
63.5Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.659.0118.6+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.457.2116.6+2.259%-
Last 30 away (13)59.961.3121.2-1.454%-
Last 10 (10)63.556.9120.4+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)62.659.8122.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.057.0108.0-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)59.360.6119.9-1.350%-
vs Weaker (13)62.057.8119.8+4.269%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H06/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A07/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A09/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H11/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
71-55
71
55
+16
A15/03
NBA
114.6Avg total
60.3Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.556.4111.9-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.655.7110.2-1.138%-
Last 30 away (14)56.557.2113.7-0.757%-
Last 10 (10)60.354.3114.6+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)64.655.6120.2+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)53.059.3112.3-6.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)55.055.2110.2-0.246%-
vs Weaker (14)56.456.9113.3-0.443%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 120.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.529.8
55.7%
54.8%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.114.2
36.3%
35.8%42.6
🏀 Free throws23.418.0
76.9%
78.1%18.0
They take 92.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 118.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.330.5
56.2%
54.8%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.5
34.4%
35.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws28.923.0
79.6%
78.1%23.0
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
WWWWWWWWWL
Orlando Magic
WWWWWWWLLW
#13
League position
#12
+13.6
Net rating
+7.9
118.0
Offensive rating
115.4
104.5
Defensive rating
107.6
55.2%
Effective FG%
54.4%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
12.6%
Turnover %
12.4%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.3%
3-point %
34.4%
67.7%
Assist %
66.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.0 · 115.4Defence104.5 · 107.6Shooting55.2% · 54.4%3-point %36.3% · 34.4%Ball care12.6% · 12.4%Off. rebounds29.7% · 27.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Atlanta Hawks wins
4
Orlando Magic wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HMilwaukee Bucks122-99
12/03/26HBrooklyn Nets108-97
10/03/26HDallas Mavericks124-112
07/03/26HPhiladelphia 76ers125-116
05/03/26AMilwaukee Bucks131-113
01/03/26HPortland Trail Blazers135-101
27/02/26HWashington Wizards126-96
25/02/26HWashington Wizards119-98
22/02/26HBrooklyn Nets115-104
21/02/26HMiami Heat97-128
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26AMiami Heat121-117
12/03/26HWashington Wizards136-131 OT
11/03/26HCleveland Cavaliers128-122
09/03/26AMilwaukee Bucks130-91
07/03/26AMinnesota Timberwolves119-92
06/03/26HDallas Mavericks115-114
04/03/26HWashington Wizards126-109
01/03/26HDetroit Pistons92-106
27/02/26HHouston Rockets108-113
25/02/26ALos Angeles Lakers110-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW54%
HomeWWWWW53%
AwayWLLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713635
Win %54%53%54%
Points / game117.7116.8118.7
Allowed / game116.9115.9118.1
Point differential+0.8+0.9+0.6
Avg total234.6232.6236.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%33%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (18)44% (9)56% (9)
Overtime %3%3%3%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW60%
HomeLWWWW68%
AwayWWWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683434
Win %60%68%53%
Points / game116.2116.6115.9
Allowed / game113.7113.8113.6
Point differential+2.5+2.8+2.3
Avg total230.0230.4229.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%26%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (23)67% (12)73% (11)
Overtime %7%3%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder72561678%117.6108.0+9.6
2 San Antonio Spurs69511874%119.2111.8+7.4
3 Detroit Pistons71502170%117.1109.8+7.2
4 Boston Celtics71472466%114.5107.0+7.5
5 Houston Rockets70452564%115.1110.5+4.6
6 New York Knicks72462664%115.9110.0+5.8
7 Orlando Magic68412760%116.2113.7+2.5
8 Denver Nuggets73442960%119.9116.1+3.8
9 Phoenix Suns70422860%113.0110.5+2.5
10 Los Angeles Lakers72432960%115.4114.9+0.5
11 Cleveland Cavaliers72423058%118.8115.1+3.7
12 Toronto Raptors72423058%113.8111.9+2.0
13 Minnesota Timberwolves73423158%118.4115.5+2.8
14 Atlanta Hawks71383354%117.7116.9+0.8
15 Philadelphia 76ers72383453%114.9115.8-0.9
16 Miami Heat73383552%119.8116.9+2.9
17 Los Angeles Clippers70363451%113.0112.0+1.0
18 Charlotte Hornets73363749%115.9112.9+3.0
19 Golden State Warriors72353749%115.1114.3+0.8
20 Portland Trail Blazers72333946%115.4118.0-2.6
21 Milwaukee Bucks71314044%111.4115.8-4.4
22 Chicago Bulls72304242%116.1120.2-4.1
23 Dallas Mavericks72264636%113.2117.1-3.9
24 Memphis Grizzlies71244734%115.8119.1-3.3
25 New Orleans Pelicans70224831%115.8120.2-4.4
26 Utah Jazz72215129%117.6125.1-7.6
27 Sacramento Kings73195426%111.0120.5-9.6
28 Brooklyn Nets70185226%107.2115.8-8.6
29 Washington Wizards69175225%112.5123.2-10.6
30 Indiana Pacers72175524%111.5120.1-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks34333720124
Orlando Magic21293329112
← all games of the day
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