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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 110-100
38-34 20-22 27-22 25-22
Position#22
Record14-14
FormWWLLL
Points / game113.4
Allowed / game115.1
vs
Position#9
Record16-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game119.8
Allowed / game116.3
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
02 Apr 2027
PHX v DEN
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
PHX120
DEN127
24 Mar 2026
PHX123
DEN125
29 Nov 2025
PHX112
DEN130
08 Feb 2025
PHX105
DEN122
25 Dec 2024
PHX110
DEN100
01 Dec 2023
PHX111
DEN119
11 May 2023
PHX100
DEN125
07 May 2023
PHX129
DEN124
05 May 2023
PHX121
DEN114
06 Apr 2023
PHX119
DEN115
31 Mar 2023
PHX100
DEN93
21 Nov 2021
PHX126
DEN97
20 Oct 2021
PHX98
DEN110
09 Jun 2021
PHX123
DEN98
07 Jun 2021
PHX122
DEN105
23 Jan 2021
PHX112
DEN120
22 Jan 2021
PHX126
DEN130
08 Feb 2020
PHX108
DEN117
23 Dec 2019
PHX111
DEN113
12 Jan 2019
PHX102
DEN93
29 Dec 2018
PHX118
DEN122
10 Feb 2018
PHX113
DEN123
28 Jan 2017
PHX112
DEN123
27 Nov 2016
PHX114
DEN120
23 Dec 2015
PHX96
DEN104
14 Nov 2015
PHX105
DEN81
26 Nov 2014
PHX120
DEN112
19 Jan 2014
PHX117
DEN103
08 Nov 2013
PHX114
DEN103
11 Mar 2013
PHX93
DEN108
12 Nov 2012
PHX110
DEN100
21 Apr 2012
PHX107
DEN118
22 Dec 2011
PHX85
DEN110
10 Mar 2011
PHX97
DEN116
15 Nov 2010
PHX100
DEN94
13 Apr 2010
PHX123
DEN101
01 Mar 2010
PHX101
DEN85
23 Mar 2009
PHX118
DEN115
20 Dec 2008
PHX108
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
113-105
113
105
+8
116avg 110
H01/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
104-93
104
93
+11
103avg 110
H04/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
124-126
124
126
-2
125avg 110
A06/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
111-121
111
121
-10
108avg 110
A08/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
110-115
110
115
-5
103avg 110
A08/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
134-126
134
126
+8
133avg 110
A14/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
116-109
116
109
+7
108avg 110
H16/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
111-120
111
120
-9
109avg 110
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
125-133
125
133
-8
126avg 110
H22/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
90-117
90
117
-27
79avg 110
A24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-29
31-20
19-29
28-27
29-19
23-20
23-32
29-22
33-34
32-20
28-45
31-27
29-26
29-27
24-34
29-34
34-29
28-28
25-27
23-31
38-39
38-32
36-34
22-21
33-21
24-30
26-28
33-30
29-32
30-28
24-37
28-23
26-41
33-23
35-39
31-30
26-27
25-28
28-45
11-17
230.3Avg total
113.8Scored
116.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)113.4115.1228.5-1.850%
Season at home (15)114.1112.9226.9+1.260%
Season away (13)112.6117.8230.4-5.238%
Last 10 (10)113.8116.5230.3-2.740%
Last 5 (5)115.2121.0236.2-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)111.3118.2229.6-6.933%
vs Similar (17)111.9112.8224.7-0.853%
vs Weaker (4)123.8122.8246.5+1.050%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
122-126
122
126
-4
123avg 110
A02/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
119-115
119
115
+4
118avg 110
H04/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
114-126
114
126
-12
105avg 110
A06/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
113-122
113
122
-9
109avg 110
A08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
141-111
141
111
+30
150avg 110
A08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
120-98
120
98
+22
120avg 110
H14/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
130-129
130
129
+1
131avg 110
A17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
124-126
124
126
-2
124avg 110
A20/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
132-129 OT
132
129
+3
131avg 110
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
117-90
117
90
+27
119avg 110
H24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
36-27
31-33
32-34
33-31
24-26
33-28
29-30
27-37
35-29
25-36
27-24
29-36
28-33
36-30
20-23
38-23
33-25
35-36
35-27
29-22
19-25
35-22
37-29
41-21
34-47
21-35
34-26
35-30
31-36
21-38
37-22
28-29
31-38
22-26
38-26
27-26
28-25
45-28
17-11
240.4Avg total
123.2Scored
117.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)119.8116.3236.1+3.459%
Season at home (12)118.0114.0232.0+4.067%
Season away (15)121.2118.2239.4+3.053%
Last 10 (10)123.2117.2240.4+6.060%
Last 5 (5)124.6114.4239.0+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)108.3116.7225.0-8.333%
vs Similar (16)113.6114.6228.1-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)124.0115.3239.3+8.773%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -8.2-8.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +5.4+5.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -8.2-8.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +5.4+5.4
Phoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H01/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H04/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A06/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A08/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A08/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A14/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H16/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H22/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A24/12
NBA
115.8Avg total
60.5Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.456.2113.6+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.957.2114.1-0.347%-
Last 30 away (13)58.154.8112.9+3.269%-
Last 10 (10)60.555.3115.8+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)60.460.2120.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)54.757.2111.9-2.633%-
vs Similar (17)56.654.9111.5+1.765%-
vs Weaker (4)67.059.2126.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A02/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H04/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A06/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
71-48
71
48
+23
A08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H14/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
D
66-66
66
66
+0
A20/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H24/12
NBA
120.7Avg total
60.9Scored
59.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.559.6117.1-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.157.2112.4-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)59.561.7121.2-2.225%-
Last 10 (10)60.959.8120.7+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)60.659.8120.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)56.063.3119.3-7.30%-
vs Similar (16)55.658.2113.8-2.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)60.560.6121.2-0.136%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 113.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.125.4
53.9%
54.3%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.714.8
41.5%
35.9%44.4
🏀 Free throws22.118.6
84.2%
77.8%18.6
They take 82.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 123.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers73.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.136.9
60.4%
54.3%73.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.5
36.5%
35.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.717.9
72.5%
77.8%17.9
They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLLWWLLLWW
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWWLLWL
#22
League position
#9
-2.7
Net rating
+5.6
114.7
Offensive rating
115.6
117.4
Defensive rating
110.0
57.5%
Effective FG%
58.6%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.8%
20.4%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
41.5%
3-point %
36.5%
70.1%
Assist %
70.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 115.6Defence117.4 · 110.0Shooting57.5% · 58.6%3-point %41.5% · 36.5%Ball care14.2% · 14.8%Off. rebounds20.4% · 23.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Phoenix Suns wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/24ADenver Nuggets90-117
22/12/24HDetroit Pistons125-133
20/12/24HIndiana Pacers111-120
16/12/24HPortland Trail Blazers116-109
14/12/24AUtah Jazz134-126
08/12/24AOrlando Magic110-115
08/12/24AMiami Heat111-121
06/12/24ANew Orleans Pelicans124-126
04/12/24HSan Antonio Spurs104-93
01/12/24HGolden State Warriors113-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/24HPhoenix Suns117-90
23/12/24ANew Orleans Pelicans132-129 OT
20/12/24APortland Trail Blazers124-126
17/12/24ASacramento Kings130-129
14/12/24HLos Angeles Clippers120-98
08/12/24AAtlanta Hawks141-111
08/12/24AWashington Wizards113-122
06/12/24ACleveland Cavaliers114-126
04/12/24HGolden State Warriors119-115
02/12/24ALos Angeles Clippers122-126

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %50%60%38%
Points / game113.4114.1112.6
Allowed / game115.1112.9117.8
Point differential-1.8+1.2-5.2
Avg total228.5226.9230.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %7%7%8%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW59%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %59%67%53%
Points / game119.8118.0121.2
Allowed / game116.3114.0118.2
Point differential+3.4+4.0+3.0
Avg total236.1232.0239.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)67% (6)57% (7)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3026487%121.8110.2+11.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder2621581%115.1103.4+11.7
3 Boston Celtics3022873%118.9109.8+9.1
4 Houston Rockets2719870%114.4106.7+7.6
5 New York Knicks2920969%117.9110.1+7.8
6 Memphis Grizzlies30201067%122.7113.0+9.7
7 Dallas Mavericks29191066%118.7111.6+7.1
8 Orlando Magic30191163%107.2103.6+3.6
9 Denver Nuggets27161159%119.8116.3+3.4
10 Los Angeles Clippers30171357%109.6107.6+2.0
11 Los Angeles Lakers30171357%111.3113.8-2.5
12 Milwaukee Bucks26141254%112.8111.6+1.2
13 Golden State Warriors28151354%113.6111.7+2.0
14 Miami Heat27141352%112.1109.4+2.8
15 Minnesota Timberwolves29151452%109.1106.9+2.2
16 Indiana Pacers30151550%114.8115.9-1.1
17 San Antonio Spurs30151550%111.7112.8-1.1
18 Phoenix Suns28141450%113.4115.1-1.8
19 Atlanta Hawks28141450%117.2120.0-2.8
20 Sacramento Kings30131743%114.8113.6+1.2
21 Detroit Pistons30131743%111.9114.6-2.7
22 Chicago Bulls30131743%117.2121.1-4.0
23 Philadelphia 76ers28111739%106.4110.5-4.2
24 Brooklyn Nets29111838%108.7114.0-5.3
25 Portland Trail Blazers2992031%107.1116.8-9.7
26 Utah Jazz2872125%110.3119.5-9.2
27 Charlotte Hornets2972224%106.4113.0-6.6
28 Toronto Raptors3072323%112.1117.3-5.3
29 New Orleans Pelicans3052517%105.7117.2-11.5
30 Washington Wizards2742315%107.4122.2-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns38202725110
Denver Nuggets34222222100
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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