PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 89-98
25-28 14-27 25-17 25-26
Position#22
Record15-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game114.6
vs
Position#17
Record19-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game118.7
Allowed / game111.6
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Dallas Mavericks
27 Nov 2026
PHX v DAL
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
PHX112
DAL107
10 Feb 2026
PHX120
DAL111
27 Dec 2024
PHX89
DAL98
26 Oct 2024
PHX114
DAL102
25 Dec 2023
PHX114
DAL128
26 Jan 2023
PHX95
DAL99
19 Oct 2022
PHX107
DAL105
15 May 2022
PHX90
DAL123
10 May 2022
PHX110
DAL80
04 May 2022
PHX129
DAL109
02 May 2022
PHX121
DAL114
19 Nov 2021
PHX112
DAL104
17 Nov 2021
PHX105
DAL98
23 Dec 2020
PHX106
DAL102
13 Aug 2020
PHX128
DAL102
02 Aug 2020
PHX117
DAL115
29 Nov 2019
PHX113
DAL120
13 Dec 2018
PHX99
DAL89
17 Oct 2018
PHX121
DAL100
31 Jan 2018
PHX102
DAL88
09 Apr 2017
PHX124
DAL111
12 Jan 2017
PHX108
DAL113
28 Oct 2015
PHX95
DAL111
22 Mar 2015
PHX98
DAL92
23 Dec 2014
PHX124
DAL115
17 Jan 2014
PHX107
DAL110
21 Dec 2013
PHX123
DAL108
01 Feb 2013
PHX99
DAL109
06 Dec 2012
PHX94
DAL97
08 Mar 2012
PHX96
DAL94
30 Jan 2012
PHX99
DAL122
27 Mar 2011
PHX83
DAL91
17 Feb 2011
PHX106
DAL112
28 Jan 2010
PHX112
DAL106
10 Mar 2009
PHX117
DAL122
09 Jan 2009
PHX128
DAL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
104-93
104
93
+11
103avg 110
H04/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
124-126
124
126
-2
125avg 110
A06/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
111-121
111
121
-10
108avg 110
A08/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
110-115
110
115
-5
103avg 110
A08/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
134-126
134
126
+8
133avg 110
A14/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
116-109
116
109
+7
108avg 110
H16/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
111-120
111
120
-9
109avg 110
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
125-133
125
133
-8
126avg 110
H22/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
90-117
90
117
-27
79avg 110
A24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
110-100
110
100
+10
106avg 110
H26/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
23-20
23-32
29-22
33-34
32-20
28-45
31-27
29-26
29-27
24-34
29-34
34-29
28-28
25-27
23-31
38-39
38-32
36-34
22-21
33-21
24-30
26-28
33-30
29-32
30-28
24-37
28-23
26-41
33-23
35-39
31-30
26-27
25-28
28-45
11-17
38-34
20-22
27-22
25-22
229.5Avg total
113.5Scored
116.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)113.3114.6227.9-1.352%
Season at home (16)113.8112.1225.9+1.862%
Season away (13)112.6117.8230.4-5.238%
Last 10 (10)113.5116.0229.5-2.540%
Last 5 (5)110.4115.8226.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)111.2116.4227.6-5.240%
vs Similar ◀ (16)112.1111.9224.1+0.256%
vs Weaker (4)123.8122.8246.5+1.050%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
137-131
137
131
+6
132avg 107
A02/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
121-116
121
116
+5
116avg 107
H04/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
137-101
137
101
+36
139avg 107
A06/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
125-118
125
118
+7
122avg 107
A08/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
104-118
104
118
-14
122avg 107
A11/12
NBA Cup
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
143-133
143
133
+10
149avg 107
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
95-118
95
118
-23
80avg 107
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
113-97
113
97
+16
105avg 107
H22/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
132-108
132
108
+24
124avg 107
H24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
99-105
99
105
-6
85avg 107
H25/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
36-29
39-39
37-34
25-26
35-31
22-38
39-21
31-22
37-28
34-27
35-24
35-28
35-26
30-33
25-31
24-32
30-25
19-33
31-28
46-33
35-41
33-33
29-26
30-24
19-26
28-39
18-29
23-22
31-18
20-26
39-31
28-31
34-22
40-23
30-32
24-26
16-31
28-33
31-15
235.1Avg total
120.6Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)118.7111.6230.2+7.166%
Season at home (15)115.3106.2221.5+9.167%
Season away (14)122.2117.4239.6+4.964%
Last 10 (10)120.6114.5235.1+6.170%
Last 5 (5)116.4112.2228.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)112.5111.4223.9+1.162%
vs Similar ◀ (16)121.4115.1236.6+6.362%
vs Weaker (5)119.6100.6220.2+19.080%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +4.3+4.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +4.3+4.3
Phoenix SunsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H04/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A06/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A08/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A08/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A14/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H16/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H22/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H26/12
NBA
115.7Avg total
59.7Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.656.1113.6+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.257.0114.2+0.253%-
Last 30 away (13)58.154.8112.9+3.269%-
Last 10 (10)59.756.0115.7+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)56.857.2114.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)55.057.1112.1-2.140%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)56.854.6111.4+2.269%-
vs Weaker (4)67.059.2126.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A02/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H04/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A06/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A08/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A11/12
NBA Cup
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H22/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H25/12
NBA
114.9Avg total
59.9Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.754.5113.2+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.250.5104.7+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)63.158.5121.7+4.673%-
Last 10 (10)59.955.0114.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)57.254.8112.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)54.252.0106.2+2.262%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)60.856.8117.5+4.062%-
vs Weaker (5)60.050.8110.8+9.2100%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 113.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.926.4
55.1%
54.3%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.814.1
39.4%
35.9%42.3
🏀 Free throws21.918.4
84.0%
77.8%18.4
They take 83.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 123.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.928.2
54.3%
54.3%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.215.3
41.1%
35.9%45.9
🏀 Free throws27.621.1
76.4%
77.8%21.1
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WLLLWWLLLW
Dallas Mavericks
LWWLWLWWWW
#22
League position
#17
-2.5
Net rating
+4.6
115.0
Offensive rating
116.0
117.5
Defensive rating
111.4
56.8%
Effective FG%
57.4%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.3%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.4%
3-point %
41.1%
69.6%
Assist %
58.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 116.0Defence117.5 · 111.4Shooting56.8% · 57.4%3-point %39.4% · 41.1%Ball care13.7% · 14.3%Off. rebounds21.7% · 25.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Phoenix Suns wins
5
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/24HDenver Nuggets110-100
24/12/24ADenver Nuggets90-117
22/12/24HDetroit Pistons125-133
20/12/24HIndiana Pacers111-120
16/12/24HPortland Trail Blazers116-109
14/12/24AUtah Jazz134-126
08/12/24AOrlando Magic110-115
08/12/24AMiami Heat111-121
06/12/24ANew Orleans Pelicans124-126
04/12/24HSan Antonio Spurs104-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/24HMinnesota Timberwolves99-105
24/12/24HPortland Trail Blazers132-108
22/12/24HLos Angeles Clippers113-97
20/12/24HLos Angeles Clippers95-118
16/12/24AGolden State Warriors143-133
11/12/24AOklahoma City Thunder104-118
08/12/24AToronto Raptors125-118
06/12/24AWashington Wizards137-101
04/12/24HMemphis Grizzlies121-116
02/12/24APortland Trail Blazers137-131

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW52%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %52%62%38%
Points / game113.3113.8112.6
Allowed / game114.6112.1117.8
Point differential-1.3+1.8-5.2
Avg total227.9225.9230.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL66%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %66%67%64%
Points / game118.7115.3122.2
Allowed / game111.6106.2117.4
Point differential+7.1+9.1+4.9
Avg total230.2221.5239.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%53%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3026487%121.8110.2+11.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder2722581%115.3103.8+11.5
3 Boston Celtics3123874%119.6109.7+10.0
4 New York Knicks3021970%117.6109.3+8.3
5 Houston Rockets2920969%114.8107.1+7.7
6 Memphis Grizzlies32221069%124.0113.7+10.2
7 Dallas Mavericks29191066%118.7111.6+7.1
8 Orlando Magic32191359%105.9103.3+2.7
9 Denver Nuggets28161257%119.1116.1+3.0
10 Los Angeles Clippers30171357%109.6107.6+2.0
11 Los Angeles Lakers30171357%111.3113.8-2.5
12 Miami Heat28151354%111.3108.6+2.7
13 Golden State Warriors28151354%113.6111.7+2.0
14 Minnesota Timberwolves30161453%109.2107.1+2.1
15 Milwaukee Bucks27141352%112.5111.6+0.9
16 Phoenix Suns29151452%113.3114.6-1.3
17 Atlanta Hawks29151452%118.0120.5-2.4
18 San Antonio Spurs31161552%111.2112.0-0.8
19 Indiana Pacers32151747%114.4116.8-2.4
20 Detroit Pistons31141745%111.9114.5-2.6
21 Sacramento Kings31131842%114.7113.6+1.2
22 Chicago Bulls31131842%117.7121.8-4.1
23 Philadelphia 76ers28111739%106.4110.5-4.2
24 Brooklyn Nets31121939%108.1113.1-5.1
25 Portland Trail Blazers30102033%107.6116.9-9.3
26 Utah Jazz2972224%110.6119.6-8.9
27 Charlotte Hornets3072323%106.5113.0-6.5
28 Toronto Raptors3172423%112.5118.5-6.0
29 Washington Wizards2852318%107.6121.8-14.2
30 New Orleans Pelicans3252716%106.5118.0-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns2514252589
Dallas Mavericks2827172698
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.