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Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 109-105
34-27 27-38 21-22 27-18
Position#11
Record15-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game111.3
vs
Position#22
Record15-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game112.5
Allowed / game114.1
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Phoenix Suns
06 Apr 2027
GSW v PHX
upcoming
02 Nov 2026
GSW116
PHX113
20 Dec 2025
GSW119
PHX116
04 Nov 2025
GSW118
PHX107
31 Jan 2025
GSW105
PHX130
28 Dec 2024
GSW109
PHX105
10 Feb 2024
GSW113
PHX112
24 Oct 2023
GSW104
PHX108
13 Mar 2023
GSW123
PHX112
10 Jan 2023
GSW113
PHX125
30 Mar 2022
GSW103
PHX107
03 Dec 2021
GSW118
PHX96
11 May 2021
GSW122
PHX116
27 Dec 2019
GSW105
PHX96
30 Oct 2019
GSW110
PHX121
10 Mar 2019
GSW111
PHX115
22 Oct 2018
GSW123
PHX103
01 Apr 2018
GSW117
PHX107
12 Feb 2018
GSW129
PHX83
03 Dec 2016
GSW138
PHX109
13 Nov 2016
GSW133
PHX120
12 Mar 2016
GSW123
PHX116
16 Dec 2015
GSW128
PHX103
02 Apr 2015
GSW107
PHX106
31 Jan 2015
GSW106
PHX87
09 Mar 2014
GSW113
PHX107
27 Dec 2013
GSW115
PHX86
20 Feb 2013
GSW108
PHX98
02 Feb 2013
GSW113
PHX93
13 Feb 2012
GSW102
PHX96
07 Feb 2011
GSW92
PHX104
02 Dec 2010
GSW101
PHX107
22 Mar 2010
GSW131
PHX133
26 Dec 2009
GSW132
PHX127
15 Mar 2009
GSW130
PHX154
04 Feb 2009
GSW124
PHX112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
W
99-93
99
93
+6
90avg 111
H06/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
90-107
90
107
-17
80avg 111
H07/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
114-106
114
106
+8
107avg 111
H09/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
90-91
90
91
-1
101avg 111
A12/12
NBA Cup
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
133-143
133
143
-10
125avg 111
H16/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
93-144
93
144
-51
72avg 111
A20/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
113-103
113
103
+10
109avg 111
A22/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
105-111
105
111
-6
98avg 111
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
113-115
113
115
-2
106avg 111
H26/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
92-102
92
102
-10
78avg 111
A28/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
31-21
24-23
26-27
31-31
15-25
26-22
18-29
21-30
28-28
44-32
21-16
18-20
19-24
32-24
21-23
33-46
41-35
33-33
26-29
15-37
23-32
21-40
34-35
26-15
24-22
29-38
34-28
32-33
22-29
31-27
20-22
23-23
29-32
24-29
37-31
21-19
22-30
19-32
30-21
215.7Avg total
104.2Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)112.9111.3224.2+1.652%
Season at home (14)112.1110.5222.6+1.650%
Season away (15)113.6112.1225.7+1.553%
Last 10 (10)104.2111.5215.7-7.330%
Last 5 (5)103.2115.0218.2-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)115.8117.2233.0-1.550%
vs Similar (15)109.3114.2223.5-4.940%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)117.1104.7221.8+12.470%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
124-126
124
126
-2
125avg 110
A06/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
111-121
111
121
-10
108avg 110
A08/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
110-115
110
115
-5
103avg 110
A08/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
134-126
134
126
+8
133avg 110
A14/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
116-109
116
109
+7
108avg 110
H16/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
111-120
111
120
-9
109avg 110
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
125-133
125
133
-8
126avg 110
H22/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
90-117
90
117
-27
79avg 110
A24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
110-100
110
100
+10
106avg 110
H26/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
89-98
89
98
-9
78avg 110
H28/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-34
32-20
28-45
31-27
29-26
29-27
24-34
29-34
34-29
28-28
25-27
23-31
38-39
38-32
36-34
22-21
33-21
24-30
26-28
33-30
29-32
30-28
24-37
28-23
26-41
33-23
35-39
31-30
26-27
25-28
28-45
11-17
38-34
20-22
27-22
25-22
25-28
14-27
25-17
25-26
228.5Avg total
112.0Scored
116.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)112.5114.1226.5-1.650%
Season at home (17)112.4111.2223.6+1.159%
Season away (13)112.6117.8230.4-5.238%
Last 10 (10)112.0116.5228.5-4.530%
Last 5 (5)105.0113.6218.6-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)111.2116.4227.6-5.240%
vs Similar (16)110.4110.4220.9+0.056%
vs Weaker (4)123.8122.8246.5+1.050%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
Golden State WarriorsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H06/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H07/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H09/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A12/12
NBA Cup
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H16/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
38-69
38
69
-31
A20/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A22/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H26/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A28/12
NBA
104.6Avg total
49.2Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.454.1107.5-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.155.9110.9-0.836%-
Last 30 away (16)52.052.5104.5-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)49.255.4104.6-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)47.454.4101.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.060.8112.8-8.850%-
vs Similar (15)53.155.7108.8-2.727%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)56.249.9106.1+6.370%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A06/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A08/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A08/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A14/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H16/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H22/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H26/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H28/12
NBA
116.0Avg total
58.4Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.856.0112.9+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.956.9112.8-1.147%-
Last 30 away (13)58.154.8112.9+3.269%-
Last 10 (10)58.457.6116.0+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)53.258.0111.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)55.057.1112.1-2.140%-
vs Similar (16)55.454.6110.0+0.962%-
vs Weaker (4)67.059.2126.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 104.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.724.2
48.7%
54.3%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.914.0
35.1%
35.9%42.0
🏀 Free throws18.913.6
72.0%
77.8%13.6
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.125.6
53.2%
54.3%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.114.3
39.6%
35.9%42.9
🏀 Free throws21.617.9
82.9%
77.8%17.9
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
LLLWLLLWLW
Phoenix Suns
LWLLLWWLLL
#11
League position
#22
-7.5
Net rating
-4.6
104.5
Offensive rating
114.3
112.0
Defensive rating
118.9
50.4%
Effective FG%
55.9%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
14.2%
Turnover %
13.9%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.1%
3-point %
39.6%
67.5%
Assist %
69.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 114.3Defence112.0 · 118.9Shooting50.4% · 55.9%3-point %35.1% · 39.6%Ball care14.2% · 13.9%Off. rebounds26.3% · 23.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24ALos Angeles Clippers92-102
26/12/24HLos Angeles Lakers113-115
24/12/24HIndiana Pacers105-111
22/12/24AMinnesota Timberwolves113-103
20/12/24AMemphis Grizzlies93-144
16/12/24HDallas Mavericks133-143
12/12/24AHouston Rockets90-91
09/12/24HMinnesota Timberwolves114-106
07/12/24HMinnesota Timberwolves90-107
06/12/24HHouston Rockets99-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24HDallas Mavericks89-98
26/12/24HDenver Nuggets110-100
24/12/24ADenver Nuggets90-117
22/12/24HDetroit Pistons125-133
20/12/24HIndiana Pacers111-120
16/12/24HPortland Trail Blazers116-109
14/12/24AUtah Jazz134-126
08/12/24AOrlando Magic110-115
08/12/24AMiami Heat111-121
06/12/24ANew Orleans Pelicans124-126

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL52%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayLLLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %52%50%53%
Points / game112.9112.1113.6
Allowed / game111.3110.5112.1
Point differential+1.6+1.6+1.5
Avg total224.2222.6225.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%21%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWLLWL59%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %50%59%38%
Points / game112.5112.4112.6
Allowed / game114.1111.2117.8
Point differential-1.6+1.1-5.2
Avg total226.5223.6230.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%24%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3127487%122.7111.0+11.7
2 Oklahoma City Thunder2823582%115.0103.4+11.5
3 Boston Celtics3123874%119.6109.7+10.0
4 New York Knicks3122971%118.2110.0+8.1
5 Houston Rockets2920969%114.8107.1+7.7
6 Memphis Grizzlies32221069%124.0113.7+10.2
7 Dallas Mavericks30201067%118.0110.8+7.1
8 Orlando Magic32191359%105.9103.3+2.7
9 Los Angeles Clippers31181358%109.4107.1+2.2
10 Los Angeles Lakers30171357%111.3113.8-2.5
11 Denver Nuggets29161355%119.6117.2+2.4
12 Minnesota Timberwolves30161453%109.2107.1+2.1
13 Atlanta Hawks30161453%118.1120.1-2.0
14 Miami Heat29151452%111.3109.0+2.3
15 Golden State Warriors29151452%112.9111.3+1.6
16 San Antonio Spurs31161552%111.2112.0-0.8
17 Milwaukee Bucks28141450%112.5111.8+0.7
18 Phoenix Suns30151550%112.5114.1-1.6
19 Indiana Pacers32151747%114.4116.8-2.4
20 Detroit Pistons31141745%111.9114.5-2.6
21 Chicago Bulls32141844%117.6121.4-3.8
22 Sacramento Kings31131842%114.7113.6+1.2
23 Philadelphia 76ers28111739%106.4110.5-4.2
24 Brooklyn Nets31121939%108.1113.1-5.1
25 Portland Trail Blazers30102033%107.6116.9-9.3
26 Utah Jazz2972224%110.6119.6-8.9
27 Toronto Raptors3172423%112.5118.5-6.0
28 Charlotte Hornets3172423%106.1112.8-6.6
29 Washington Wizards2952417%108.4122.3-13.8
30 New Orleans Pelicans3252716%106.5118.0-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors34272127109
Phoenix Suns27382218105
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