PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 139-120
40-33 34-38 41-24 24-25
Position#9
Record18-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game120.5
Allowed / game117.5
vs
Position#18
Record17-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game118.7
Allowed / game119.7
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Atlanta Hawks
17 Dec 2026
DEN v ATL
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
DEN87
ATL110
01 Jan 2025
DEN139
ATL120
06 Apr 2024
DEN142
ATL110
04 Feb 2023
DEN128
ATL108
12 Nov 2021
DEN105
ATL96
28 Mar 2021
DEN126
ATL102
12 Nov 2019
DEN121
ATL125
15 Nov 2018
DEN138
ATL93
10 Jan 2018
DEN97
ATL110
23 Dec 2016
DEN108
ATL109
25 Jan 2016
DEN105
ATL119
11 Mar 2015
DEN115
ATL102
07 Nov 2013
DEN109
ATL107
04 Mar 2013
DEN104
ATL88
13 Mar 2012
DEN118
ATL117
28 Feb 2011
DEN100
ATL90
23 Dec 2009
DEN124
ATL104
25 Feb 2009
DEN110
ATL109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
141-111
141
111
+30
150avg 110
A08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
120-98
120
98
+22
120avg 110
H14/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
130-129
130
129
+1
131avg 110
A17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
124-126
124
126
-2
124avg 110
A20/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
132-129 OT
132
129
+3
131avg 110
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
117-90
117
90
+27
119avg 110
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
100-110
100
110
-10
94avg 110
A26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
135-149
135
149
-14
135avg 110
H28/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
134-121
134
121
+13
132avg 110
H29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
132-121
132
121
+11
131avg 110
A31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-23
33-25
35-36
35-27
29-22
19-25
35-22
37-29
41-21
34-47
21-35
34-26
35-30
31-36
21-38
37-22
28-29
31-38
22-26
38-26
27-26
28-25
45-28
17-11
34-38
22-20
22-27
22-25
38-40
27-40
36-36
34-33
36-38
31-23
47-28
20-32
36-37
28-29
34-23
34-32
244.9Avg total
126.5Scored
118.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)120.5117.5238.0+3.058%
Season at home (14)120.4117.0237.4+3.464%
Season away (17)120.6117.9238.5+2.753%
Last 10 (10)126.5118.4244.9+8.170%
Last 5 (5)123.6118.2241.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)124.3132.3256.7-8.033%
vs Similar (14)119.9117.4237.4+2.557%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)122.8115.3238.1+7.569%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
134-132 OT
134
132
+2
134avg 109
H07/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
111-141
111
141
-30
95avg 109
H08/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
W
108-100
108
100
+8
135avg 109
A12/12
NBA Cup
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
102-110
102
110
-8
122avg 109
A14/12
NBA Cup
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
126-133 OT
126
133
-7
124avg 109
A20/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
112-128
112
128
-16
111avg 109
H22/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
117-104
117
104
+13
117avg 109
H24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
141-133
141
133
+8
141avg 109
H27/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
120-110
120
110
+10
123avg 109
H28/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
136-107
136
107
+29
125avg 109
A29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
38-35
30-33
25-22
23-38
25-33
36-35
27-35
22-28
25-26
34-18
27-28
28-26
21-29
34-27
19-28
29-36
37-24
21-30
33-30
27-43
22-30
27-27
36-28
35-19
17-36
30-30
35-19
21-33
32-31
38-44
50-25
35-28
26-30
32-26
27-26
35-25
29-33
40-24
32-25
240.5Avg total
120.7Scored
119.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)118.7119.7238.4-1.055%
Season at home (17)119.4120.6240.1-1.259%
Season away (14)117.8118.6236.4-0.850%
Last 10 (10)120.7119.8240.5+0.960%
Last 5 (5)125.2116.4241.6+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)112.2118.3230.5-6.150%
vs Similar (13)121.9121.2243.2+0.746%
vs Weaker (6)120.8116.3237.2+4.567%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +4.5+4.5
Denver NuggetsAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
71-48
71
48
+23
A08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H14/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
D
66-66
66
66
+0
A20/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H28/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A31/12
NBA
123.8Avg total
62.6Scored
61.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.461.8121.2-2.430%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.761.7119.4-4.038%-
Last 30 away (17)60.761.9122.6-1.224%-
Last 10 (10)62.661.2123.8+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)61.463.2124.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.770.7131.3-10.00%-
vs Similar (14)58.160.8118.9-2.636%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)60.560.8121.3-0.431%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
D
64-64
64
64
+0
H07/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
48-71
48
71
-23
H08/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A12/12
NBA Cup
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A14/12
NBA Cup
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A20/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
49-73
49
73
-24
H22/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
53-64
53
64
-11
H27/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H28/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A29/12
NBA
116.5Avg total
55.3Scored
61.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.860.6118.4-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.161.6119.7-3.547%-
Last 30 away (15)57.559.6117.1-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)55.361.2116.5-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)55.861.6117.4-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)52.563.6116.1-11.120%-
vs Similar (13)62.061.5123.5+0.554%-
vs Weaker (6)59.354.8114.2+4.567%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 126.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers72.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.336.1
60.9%
54.3%72.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.911.8
38.2%
35.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws24.518.9
77.1%
77.8%18.9
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 120.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.428.4
53.2%
54.3%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.414.3
38.2%
35.9%42.9
🏀 Free throws26.520.6
77.7%
77.8%20.6
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLLWWLWWW
Atlanta Hawks
WWWWLLLWLW
#9
League position
#18
+7.7
Net rating
+0.5
120.7
Offensive rating
112.1
113.0
Defensive rating
111.7
59.6%
Effective FG%
54.9%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.9%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.2%
3-point %
38.2%
69.7%
Assist %
70.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence120.7 · 112.1Defence113.0 · 111.7Shooting59.6% · 54.9%3-point %38.2% · 38.2%Ball care14.1% · 14.9%Off. rebounds27.0% · 26.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Denver Nuggets wins
2
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/24AUtah Jazz132-121
29/12/24HDetroit Pistons134-121
28/12/24HCleveland Cavaliers135-149
26/12/24APhoenix Suns100-110
24/12/24HPhoenix Suns117-90
23/12/24ANew Orleans Pelicans132-129 OT
20/12/24APortland Trail Blazers124-126
17/12/24ASacramento Kings130-129
14/12/24HLos Angeles Clippers120-98
08/12/24AAtlanta Hawks141-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24AToronto Raptors136-107
28/12/24HMiami Heat120-110
27/12/24HChicago Bulls141-133
24/12/24HMinnesota Timberwolves117-104
22/12/24HMemphis Grizzlies112-128
20/12/24ASan Antonio Spurs126-133 OT
14/12/24AMilwaukee Bucks102-110
12/12/24ANew York Knicks108-100
08/12/24HDenver Nuggets111-141
07/12/24HLos Angeles Lakers134-132 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW58%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayWLWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %58%64%53%
Points / game120.5120.4120.6
Allowed / game117.5117.0117.9
Point differential+3.0+3.4+2.7
Avg total238.0237.4238.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)67% (6)57% (7)
Overtime %10%0%18%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW55%
HomeLLWWW59%
AwayWWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %55%59%50%
Points / game118.7119.4117.8
Allowed / game119.7120.6118.6
Point differential-1.0-1.2-0.8
Avg total238.4240.1236.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)80% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3329488%122.4110.5+11.9
2 Oklahoma City Thunder3025583%115.4103.6+11.8
3 Boston Celtics3324973%119.6108.9+10.7
4 New York Knicks3324973%118.4109.7+8.7
5 Houston Rockets31211068%114.1106.7+7.4
6 Memphis Grizzlies34231168%123.2114.1+9.1
7 Dallas Mavericks33201361%117.0111.2+5.7
8 Orlando Magic34201459%105.5103.3+2.3
9 Denver Nuggets31181358%120.5117.5+3.0
10 Los Angeles Clippers33191458%108.8107.8+1.1
11 Los Angeles Lakers32181456%111.9114.3-2.4
12 Miami Heat31171455%111.3108.7+2.6
13 Atlanta Hawks31171455%118.7119.7-1.0
14 Minnesota Timberwolves32171553%109.2107.4+1.8
15 Milwaukee Bucks29151452%112.7111.8+1.0
16 Golden State Warriors31161552%112.2111.2+1.0
17 San Antonio Spurs33171652%111.5111.2+0.3
18 Indiana Pacers34161847%114.6116.9-2.2
19 Phoenix Suns32151747%112.2114.0-1.8
20 Detroit Pistons33151845%112.0114.6-2.6
21 Chicago Bulls34151944%117.2121.1-3.9
22 Philadelphia 76ers30131743%107.2110.3-3.1
23 Sacramento Kings33141942%114.8113.7+1.1
24 Brooklyn Nets33122136%108.0113.3-5.3
25 Portland Trail Blazers32112134%108.1117.3-9.3
26 Toronto Raptors3482624%111.6119.1-7.4
27 Charlotte Hornets3272522%106.2112.8-6.7
28 Utah Jazz3272522%110.7119.8-9.0
29 Washington Wizards3162519%108.9121.9-13.0
30 New Orleans Pelicans3452915%106.7118.0-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets40344124139
Atlanta Hawks33382425120
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.