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Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 105-99
18-19 31-29 25-27 31-24
Position#11
Record40-31
FormWLLLW
Points / game103.3
Allowed / game103.5
vs
Position#7
Record41-29
FormWLWLW
Points / game107.1
Allowed / game103.6
USANBA· Philips Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Toronto Raptors
16 Feb 2027
ATL v TOR
upcoming
07 Nov 2025
ATL97
TOR109
22 Oct 2025
ATL118
TOR138
25 Jan 2025
ATL94
TOR117
23 Jan 2025
ATL119
TOR122
23 Feb 2024
ATL121
TOR123
28 Jan 2024
ATL126
TOR125
19 Nov 2022
ATL124
TOR122
26 Feb 2022
ATL127
TOR100
31 Jan 2022
ATL100
TOR106
06 Feb 2021
ATL132
TOR121
20 Jan 2020
ATL117
TOR122
23 Nov 2019
ATL116
TOR119
07 Feb 2019
ATL101
TOR119
21 Nov 2018
ATL108
TOR124
24 Jan 2018
ATL93
TOR108
25 Nov 2017
ATL78
TOR112
10 Mar 2017
ATL105
TOR99
07 Apr 2016
ATL95
TOR87
02 Dec 2015
ATL86
TOR96
20 Feb 2015
ATL80
TOR105
26 Nov 2014
ATL115
TOR126
18 Mar 2014
ATL118
TOR113
01 Nov 2013
ATL102
TOR95
16 Apr 2013
ATL96
TOR113
30 Jan 2013
ATL93
TOR92
15 Apr 2012
ATL86
TOR102
16 Jan 2012
ATL93
TOR84
02 Feb 2011
ATL100
TOR87
09 Apr 2010
ATL107
TOR101
02 Dec 2009
ATL146
TOR115
19 Jan 2009
ATL87
TOR84
07 Nov 2008
ATL110
TOR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
109-104 OT
109
104
+5
A14/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
84-99
84
99
-15
A16/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
90-108
90
108
-18
H25/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
86-105
86
105
-19
A26/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
114-98
114
98
+16
A28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
100-95
100
95
+5
H02/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
130-135
130
135
-5
H04/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
L
96-97
96
97
-1
H05/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
111-119
111
119
-8
H07/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
110-105
110
105
+5
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
21-20
33-26
22-23
22-21
18-33
24-29
20-16
24-25
25-38
17-24
24-21
19-22
27-27
19-31
21-25
24-24
27-23
33-24
30-27
27-22
36-30
18-24
19-19
33-39
27-38
28-29
42-29
30-19
20-31
24-31
22-16
42-35
24-26
24-33
21-25
23-27
23-23
35-30
29-25
209.5Avg total
103.0Scored
106.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)103.3103.5206.8-0.156%
Season at home (36)105.6105.3210.8+0.356%
Season away (35)101.0101.6202.6-0.657%
Last 10 (10)103.0106.5209.5-3.540%
Last 5 (5)109.4110.2219.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)112.0113.5225.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (22)104.5107.3211.9-2.850%
vs Weaker (6)107.896.3204.2+11.583%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
101-102
101
102
-1
H12/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
94-105
94
105
-11
A15/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H16/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
107-97
107
97
+10
H25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
112-106
112
106
+6
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
92-91
92
91
+1
A28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
96-105
96
105
-9
H02/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
114-106
114
106
+8
A04/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
94-101
94
101
-7
A05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
24-20
31-21
19-36
18-24
21-34
25-20
30-27
31-20
13-21
14-34
32-10
18-29
27-26
29-22
33-20
25-28
28-24
29-28
30-26
21-25
19-28
23-14
29-24
26-24
20-38
14-20
36-23
35-27
27-26
17-25
35-28
19-12
23-41
25-27
27-21
22-26
23-20
23-18
26-23
197.9Avg total
99.4Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)107.1103.6210.7+3.559%
Season at home (34)110.4102.9213.3+7.565%
Season away (36)104.0104.2208.2-0.253%
Last 10 (10)99.498.5197.9+0.960%
Last 5 (5)98.098.0196.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)103.7105.0208.7-1.339%
vs Weaker (12)106.2102.8209.0+3.567%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +5.9+5.9
Atlanta HawksToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A14/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A16/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
49-63
49
63
-14
H25/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A26/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H02/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
60-77
60
77
-17
H04/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H05/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H07/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H09/03
NBA
106.4Avg total
51.3Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.653.2105.8-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.155.1111.2+1.044%-
Last 30 away (14)48.651.099.6-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)51.355.1106.4-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)57.058.0115.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)56.555.5112.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)51.554.7106.2-3.132%-
vs Weaker (6)55.347.0102.3+8.367%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H12/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A15/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H16/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H02/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A04/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A09/03
NBA
98.5Avg total
46.7Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.853.2105.9-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.354.2107.5-0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)52.152.0104.1+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)46.751.898.5-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)47.053.4100.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)53.053.2106.2-0.256%-
vs Weaker (12)52.453.1105.5-0.750%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 103.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.428.9
49.5%
50.2%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.1
32.9%
35.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws29.720.9
70.4%
77.0%20.9
They take 83.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 99.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.928.8
49.7%
50.2%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.7
35.6%
35.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws24.318.7
77.0%
77.0%18.7
They take 79.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
WLLLWWLLLW
Toronto Raptors
WLWLWWWWLL
#11
League position
#7
-3.5
Net rating
+1.0
102.2
Offensive rating
105.6
105.7
Defensive rating
104.7
49.5%
Effective FG%
50.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
15.0%
Turnover %
12.8%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
21.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.9%
3-point %
35.6%
56.8%
Assist %
44.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 105.6Defence105.7 · 104.7Shooting49.5% · 50.8%3-point %32.9% · 35.6%Ball care15.0% · 12.8%Off. rebounds22.9% · 21.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Atlanta Hawks wins
7
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/17HBrooklyn Nets110-105
07/03/17HGolden State Warriors111-119
05/03/17HIndiana Pacers96-97
04/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers130-135
02/03/17HDallas Mavericks100-95
28/02/17ABoston Celtics114-98
26/02/17AOrlando Magic86-105
25/02/17HMiami Heat90-108
16/02/17ALos Angeles Clippers84-99
14/02/17APortland Trail Blazers109-104 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/17ANew Orleans Pelicans94-87
05/03/17AMilwaukee Bucks94-101
04/03/17AWashington Wizards114-106
02/03/17HWashington Wizards96-105
28/02/17ANew York Knicks92-91
26/02/17HPortland Trail Blazers112-106
25/02/17HBoston Celtics107-97
16/02/17HCharlotte Hornets90-85
15/02/17AChicago Bulls94-105
12/02/17HDetroit Pistons101-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW56%
HomeWLLLW56%
AwayLWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713635
Win %56%56%57%
Points / game103.3105.6101.0
Allowed / game103.5105.3101.6
Point differential-0.1+0.3-0.6
Avg total206.8210.8202.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%22%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (26)50% (10)69% (16)
Overtime %6%8%3%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW59%
HomeLWWWL65%
AwayLWWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703436
Win %59%65%53%
Points / game107.1110.4104.0
Allowed / game103.6102.9104.2
Point differential+3.5+7.5-0.2
Avg total210.7213.3208.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (23)33% (12)36% (11)
Overtime %4%3%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors71581382%116.6104.9+11.6
2 San Antonio Spurs70541677%105.798.1+7.6
3 Houston Rockets71482368%115.2108.6+6.6
4 Boston Celtics72462664%107.5104.7+2.8
5 Cleveland Cavaliers69442564%109.9106.5+3.4
6 Utah Jazz71442762%100.396.1+4.2
7 Washington Wizards70432761%108.3105.4+3.0
8 Los Angeles Clippers71422959%106.4104.6+1.8
9 Toronto Raptors70412959%107.1103.6+3.5
10 Memphis Grizzlies71403156%101.9100.8+1.0
11 Atlanta Hawks71403156%103.3103.5-0.1
12 Oklahoma City Thunder69383155%106.1106.0+0.1
13 Indiana Pacers70363451%105.3105.8-0.5
14 Detroit Pistons71353649%101.5101.2+0.3
15 Miami Heat73353848%102.6101.5+1.0
16 Chicago Bulls71343748%102.5103.0-0.5
17 Milwaukee Bucks69333648%103.9104.0-0.1
18 Denver Nuggets72333946%109.9110.5-0.6
19 Portland Trail Blazers70323846%107.6109.5-1.9
20 Charlotte Hornets72324044%103.7103.5+0.2
21 Minnesota Timberwolves70313944%104.4103.8+0.6
22 New York Knicks71304142%105.9108.5-2.6
23 Dallas Mavericks70294141%97.9100.1-2.3
24 Sacramento Kings69274239%102.6105.7-3.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans71264537%102.8106.3-3.5
26 Orlando Magic73264736%99.6105.9-6.4
27 Phoenix Suns71254635%107.5112.0-4.6
28 Philadelphia 76ers71254635%101.3107.9-6.6
29 Los Angeles Lakers73225130%104.5110.6-6.1
30 Brooklyn Nets69125717%105.3114.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks18312531105
Toronto Raptors1929272499
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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