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Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 101-94
12-19 41-23 27-25 21-27
Position#14
Record27-33
FormLWLLW
Points / game105.2
Allowed / game105.2
vs
Position#7
Record37-25
FormWWWLW
Points / game108.1
Allowed / game104.1
USANBA· BMO Harris Bradley Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors
06 Nov 2026
MIL v TOR
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
MIL94
TOR122
18 Dec 2025
MIL105
TOR111
17 Jan 2025
MIL130
TOR112
12 Nov 2024
MIL99
TOR85
05 Apr 2024
MIL111
TOR117
19 Mar 2023
MIL118
TOR111
17 Jan 2023
MIL130
TOR122
15 Jan 2022
MIL96
TOR103
05 Jan 2022
MIL111
TOR117
18 Feb 2021
MIL96
TOR110
16 Feb 2021
MIL113
TOR124
10 Aug 2020
MIL106
TOR114
02 Nov 2019
MIL115
TOR105
23 May 2019
MIL v TOR
upcoming
17 May 2019
MIL125
TOR103
15 May 2019
MIL108
TOR100
05 Jan 2019
MIL116
TOR123
29 Oct 2018
MIL124
TOR109
05 Jan 2018
MIL110
TOR129
27 Apr 2017
MIL89
TOR92
22 Apr 2017
MIL76
TOR87
20 Apr 2017
MIL104
TOR77
04 Mar 2017
MIL101
TOR94
25 Nov 2016
MIL99
TOR105
15 Mar 2016
MIL89
TOR107
26 Dec 2015
MIL90
TOR111
19 Jan 2015
MIL89
TOR92
05 Apr 2014
MIL98
TOR102
02 Nov 2013
MIL90
TOR97
06 Apr 2013
MIL100
TOR83
02 Mar 2013
MIL122
TOR114
23 Apr 2012
MIL92
TOR86
11 Apr 2011
MIL93
TOR86
08 Feb 2011
MIL92
TOR74
20 Jan 2010
MIL113
TOR107
09 Dec 2009
MIL117
TOR95
05 Jan 2009
MIL107
TOR97
01 Nov 2008
MIL87
TOR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#13
L
88-106
88
106
-18
76avg 96
H09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
114-122
114
122
-8
111avg 96
H11/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
116-100
116
100
+16
114avg 96
A12/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
102-89
102
89
+13
97avg 96
H14/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
129-125
129
125
+4
122avg 96
A16/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
95-109
95
109
-14
82avg 96
H25/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
100-96
100
96
+4
96avg 96
H26/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
95-102
95
102
-7
85avg 96
A28/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
98-110
98
110
-12
90avg 96
H02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
112-101
112
101
+11
110avg 96
H04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
29-27
19-26
25-25
30-47
25-29
29-27
30-19
29-22
33-30
26-22
28-26
23-19
28-15
26-27
25-28
39-33
23-27
33-22
34-43
27-36
19-23
29-28
20-22
21-23
21-24
35-26
23-23
25-27
25-25
23-25
22-25
15-32
22-31
29-23
32-24
34-19
32-28
19-29
27-25
210.9Avg total
104.9Scored
106.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)105.2105.2210.4-0.045%
Season at home (32)107.7105.6213.3+2.150%
Season away (28)102.4104.9207.2-2.539%
Last 10 (10)104.9106.0210.9-1.150%
Last 5 (5)100.0103.6203.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)107.0107.0214.0+0.060%
vs Similar ◀ (18)102.2106.3208.5-4.233%
vs Weaker (7)112.7113.4226.1-0.743%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
118-109
118
109
+9
112avg 92
H07/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
109-112
109
112
-3
99avg 92
A09/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
101-102
101
102
-1
92avg 92
H12/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
94-105
94
105
-11
80avg 92
A15/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
90-85
90
85
+5
78avg 92
H16/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
107-97
107
97
+10
94avg 92
H25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
112-106
112
106
+6
102avg 92
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
92-91
92
91
+1
78avg 92
A28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
96-105
96
105
-9
78avg 92
H02/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
114-106
114
106
+8
108avg 92
A04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-31
35-29
27-22
21-27
33-25
30-28
25-30
21-29
27-25
24-20
31-21
19-36
18-24
21-34
25-20
30-27
31-20
13-21
14-34
32-10
18-29
27-26
29-22
33-20
25-28
28-24
29-28
30-26
21-25
19-28
23-14
29-24
26-24
20-38
14-20
36-23
35-27
27-26
17-25
35-28
205.1Avg total
103.3Scored
101.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)108.1104.1212.2+4.160%
Season at home (32)110.9103.1214.0+7.966%
Season away (30)105.1105.1210.3+0.053%
Last 10 (10)103.3101.8205.1+1.560%
Last 5 (5)104.2101.0205.2+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)102.8105.3208.1-2.544%
vs Weaker (14)108.1105.3213.4+2.957%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
Milwaukee BucksToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#13
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
55-76
55
76
-21
H11/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A12/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H14/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A16/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H25/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H26/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A28/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
37-63
37
63
-26
H02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H04/03
NBA
106.0Avg total
51.5Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.956.3109.1-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.155.5109.6-1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)51.757.0108.7-5.320%-
Last 10 (10)51.554.5106.0-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)48.253.6101.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)55.254.8110.0+0.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)50.654.9105.4-4.328%-
vs Weaker (7)57.160.9118.0-3.743%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H07/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A09/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H12/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A15/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H16/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H02/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A04/03
NBA
104.5Avg total
51.3Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.253.8106.9-0.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.354.2107.5-0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)53.053.3106.3-0.357%-
Last 10 (10)51.353.2104.5-1.960%-
Last 5 (5)49.255.0104.2-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)52.454.2106.6-1.850%-
vs Weaker (14)54.053.3107.3+0.764%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 104.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.230.1
53.6%
50.2%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.18.7
39.4%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.718.6
78.5%
77.0%18.6
They take 78.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 103.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.129.4
50.6%
50.2%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.3
36.7%
35.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.919.6
78.7%
77.0%19.6
They take 80.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLLWLWWWLL
Toronto Raptors
WLWWWWLLLW
#14
League position
#7
-1.2
Net rating
+1.6
110.2
Offensive rating
109.4
111.3
Defensive rating
107.8
55.1%
Effective FG%
51.9%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
13.1%
Turnover %
12.8%
16.5%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.4%
3-point %
36.7%
65.7%
Assist %
42.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 109.4Defence111.3 · 107.8Shooting55.1% · 51.9%3-point %39.4% · 36.7%Ball care13.1% · 12.8%Off. rebounds16.5% · 23.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/17HLos Angeles Clippers112-101
02/03/17HDenver Nuggets98-110
28/02/17ACleveland Cavaliers95-102
26/02/17HPhoenix Suns100-96
25/02/17HUtah Jazz95-109
16/02/17ABrooklyn Nets129-125
14/02/17HDetroit Pistons102-89
12/02/17AIndiana Pacers116-100
11/02/17HLos Angeles Lakers114-122
09/02/17HMiami Heat88-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/17AWashington Wizards114-106
02/03/17HWashington Wizards96-105
28/02/17ANew York Knicks92-91
26/02/17HPortland Trail Blazers112-106
25/02/17HBoston Celtics107-97
16/02/17HCharlotte Hornets90-85
15/02/17AChicago Bulls94-105
12/02/17HDetroit Pistons101-102
09/02/17AMinnesota Timberwolves109-112
07/02/17HLos Angeles Clippers118-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW45%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLWWWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603228
Win %45%50%39%
Points / game105.2107.7102.4
Allowed / game105.2105.6104.9
Point differential-0.1+2.1-2.5
Avg total210.4213.3207.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%28%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)40% (10)57% (7)
Overtime %5%6%4%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeLWWWL66%
AwayWLLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623230
Win %60%66%53%
Points / game108.1110.9105.1
Allowed / game104.1103.1105.1
Point differential+4.1+7.9+0.0
Avg total212.2214.0210.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%41%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (21)30% (10)36% (11)
Overtime %5%3%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors61501182%117.5105.3+12.2
2 San Antonio Spurs60471378%106.798.3+8.3
3 Cleveland Cavaliers60421870%111.3106.3+5.0
4 Houston Rockets62431969%115.1108.3+6.9
5 Boston Celtics62402265%108.0105.4+2.6
6 Utah Jazz62382461%100.496.0+4.3
7 Washington Wizards60362460%107.8105.5+2.4
8 Toronto Raptors62372560%108.1104.1+4.1
9 Los Angeles Clippers61362559%107.9105.1+2.8
10 Memphis Grizzlies62362658%101.299.8+1.4
11 Oklahoma City Thunder62352756%106.4106.2+0.2
12 Atlanta Hawks61342756%103.8104.6-0.8
13 Chicago Bulls61313051%102.8103.1-0.4
14 Indiana Pacers61313051%105.3106.2-0.9
15 Detroit Pistons62303248%102.0102.2-0.2
16 Denver Nuggets61283346%110.8111.4-0.6
17 Miami Heat62283445%101.9102.1-0.2
18 Milwaukee Bucks60273345%105.2105.2-0.1
19 Charlotte Hornets61263543%104.8104.6+0.1
20 Portland Trail Blazers60253542%107.5110.2-2.6
21 Minnesota Timberwolves61253641%105.1105.2-0.1
22 Dallas Mavericks61253641%97.899.8-2.0
23 Sacramento Kings61253641%102.6105.5-2.9
24 New York Knicks62253740%105.7108.7-3.0
25 New Orleans Pelicans62243839%103.1106.5-3.4
26 Orlando Magic62233937%99.7105.7-6.0
27 Philadelphia 76ers62233937%101.8107.8-6.0
28 Phoenix Suns62204232%107.5112.6-5.1
29 Los Angeles Lakers62194331%104.0110.9-6.9
30 Brooklyn Nets60105017%105.3114.2-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks12412721101
Toronto Raptors1923252794
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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