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Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 90-108
24-25 25-38 17-24 24-21
Position#12
Record32-24
FormLWLWL
Points / game103.8
Allowed / game104.2
vs
Position#13
Record25-32
FormWWLLW
Points / game101.5
Allowed / game102.5
USANBA· Philips Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Miami Heat
08 Feb 2027
ATL v MIA
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
ATL117
MIA129
20 Feb 2026
ATL97
MIA128
26 Dec 2025
ATL111
MIA126
18 Apr 2025
ATL114
MIA123
24 Feb 2025
ATL98
MIA86
28 Dec 2024
ATL120
MIA110
09 Apr 2024
ATL111
MIA117
11 Nov 2023
ATL109
MIA117
16 Jan 2023
ATL121
MIA113
27 Nov 2022
ATL98
MIA106
24 Apr 2022
ATL86
MIA110
22 Apr 2022
ATL111
MIA110
21 Jan 2022
ATL110
MIA108
12 Jan 2022
ATL91
MIA115
23 Apr 2021
ATL118
MIA103
20 Feb 2020
ATL129
MIA124
31 Oct 2019
ATL97
MIA106
06 Jan 2019
ATL106
MIA82
03 Nov 2018
ATL123
MIA118
04 Apr 2018
ATL86
MIA115
18 Dec 2017
ATL110
MIA104
24 Feb 2017
ATL90
MIA108
07 Dec 2016
ATL103
MIA95
19 Feb 2016
ATL111
MIA115
14 Dec 2015
ATL88
MIA100
27 Mar 2015
ATL99
MIA86
14 Nov 2014
ATL114
MIA103
12 Apr 2014
ATL98
MIA85
20 Jan 2014
ATL121
MIA114
20 Feb 2013
ATL90
MIA103
09 Nov 2012
ATL89
MIA95
12 Feb 2012
ATL87
MIA107
05 Jan 2012
ATL109
MIA116
11 Apr 2011
ATL90
MIA98
18 Mar 2011
ATL85
MIA106
10 Feb 2010
ATL76
MIA94
18 Nov 2009
ATL105
MIA90
03 May 2009
ATL91
MIA78
29 Apr 2009
ATL106
MIA91
22 Apr 2009
ATL93
MIA108
19 Apr 2009
ATL90
MIA64
14 Apr 2009
ATL81
MIA79
27 Feb 2009
ATL91
MIA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
L
86-112
86
112
-26
70avg 96
H28/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
142-139 OT
142
139
+3
132avg 96
H29/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
93-116
93
116
-23
76avg 96
A02/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
113-108
113
108
+5
115avg 96
A03/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
113-86
113
86
+27
116avg 96
H05/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
95-120
95
120
-25
79avg 96
H07/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
117-106
117
106
+11
115avg 96
H09/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
107-108
107
108
-1
101avg 96
A11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
109-104 OT
109
104
+5
99avg 96
A14/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
84-99
84
99
-15
76avg 96
A16/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-37
20-30
23-26
18-19
30-37
31-28
22-16
21-23
22-29
25-33
24-32
22-22
26-32
21-18
26-36
40-22
35-24
30-15
26-26
22-21
21-29
29-25
23-37
22-29
39-30
33-25
26-32
19-19
28-17
31-26
25-31
23-34
21-28
21-20
33-26
22-23
22-21
18-33
24-29
20-16
215.7Avg total
105.9Scored
109.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)103.8104.2208.0-0.557%
Season at home (27)106.4105.6212.0+0.959%
Season away (29)101.3103.0204.3-1.755%
Last 10 (10)105.9109.8215.7-3.950%
Last 5 (5)102.4107.4209.8-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)104.0108.5212.5-4.550%
vs Similar ◀ (22)103.6105.9209.5-2.259%
vs Weaker (4)112.892.0204.8+20.8100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
116-103
116
103
+13
106avg 93
H29/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
104-96
104
96
+8
91avg 93
H31/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
116-93
116
93
+23
106avg 93
H02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
125-102
125
102
+23
128avg 93
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
115-113
115
113
+2
109avg 93
A07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
106-88
106
88
+18
100avg 93
A09/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
108-99
108
99
+9
93avg 93
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
109-117
109
117
-8
98avg 93
A12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
107-116
107
116
-9
91avg 93
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
117-109
117
109
+8
114avg 93
A16/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-33
29-27
26-31
26-12
28-32
28-20
28-25
20-19
29-22
33-25
32-24
22-22
32-17
32-35
36-23
25-27
40-33
31-24
22-31
22-25
28-15
27-29
26-19
25-25
20-22
29-31
25-19
34-27
27-27
21-27
28-30
33-33
28-36
29-24
30-27
20-29
34-28
24-17
30-28
29-36
215.9Avg total
112.3Scored
103.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)101.5102.5203.9-1.044%
Season at home (27)104.1102.3206.4+1.948%
Season away (30)99.1102.7201.8-3.640%
Last 10 (10)112.3103.6215.9+8.780%
Last 5 (5)109.4105.8215.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)106.5105.2211.8+1.275%
vs Similar ◀ (15)101.7100.5202.2+1.147%
vs Weaker (11)109.5109.7219.2-0.355%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
Atlanta HawksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
L
45-67
45
67
-22
H28/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H29/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A02/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A03/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
65-39
65
39
+26
H05/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H07/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H09/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
59-43
59
43
+16
A11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A14/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A16/02
NBA
106.5Avg total
52.8Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.651.5102.1-0.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.751.0103.7+1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)48.552.0100.5-3.527%-
Last 10 (10)52.853.7106.5-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)52.650.8103.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.852.094.8-9.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)50.352.5102.8-2.127%-
vs Weaker (4)60.045.8105.8+14.2100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H29/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H31/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A09/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A16/02
NBA
110.8Avg total
58.4Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.053.8107.8+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.154.4109.5+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)53.053.3106.3-0.344%-
Last 10 (10)58.452.4110.8+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)53.451.2104.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.849.8102.5+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)52.752.6105.3+0.153%-
vs Weaker (11)56.257.0113.2-0.836%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 105.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.729.7
51.5%
50.2%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.4
30.7%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws28.421.3
75.0%
77.0%21.3
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.031.5
54.3%
50.2%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.8
39.6%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.016.9
76.8%
77.0%16.9
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LWLWLWWLWL
Miami Heat
WLLWWWWWWW
#12
League position
#13
-3.8
Net rating
+8.8
102.3
Offensive rating
113.9
106.0
Defensive rating
105.0
49.7%
Effective FG%
55.9%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
14.5%
Turnover %
14.6%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.7%
3-point %
39.6%
59.6%
Assist %
50.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 113.9Defence106.0 · 105.0Shooting49.7% · 55.9%3-point %30.7% · 39.6%Ball care14.5% · 14.6%Off. rebounds20.5% · 25.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Atlanta Hawks wins
4
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/17ALos Angeles Clippers84-99
14/02/17APortland Trail Blazers109-104 OT
11/02/17ASacramento Kings107-108
09/02/17HDenver Nuggets117-106
07/02/17HUtah Jazz95-120
05/02/17HOrlando Magic113-86
03/02/17AHouston Rockets113-108
02/02/17AMiami Heat93-116
29/01/17HNew York Knicks142-139 OT
28/01/17HWashington Wizards86-112
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/17AHouston Rockets117-109
14/02/17HOrlando Magic107-116
12/02/17APhiladelphia 76ers109-117
11/02/17ABrooklyn Nets108-99
09/02/17AMilwaukee Bucks106-88
07/02/17AMinnesota Timberwolves115-113
05/02/17HPhiladelphia 76ers125-102
02/02/17HAtlanta Hawks116-93
31/01/17HBrooklyn Nets104-96
29/01/17HDetroit Pistons116-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL57%
HomeLWWLW59%
AwayLWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562729
Win %57%59%55%
Points / game103.8106.4101.3
Allowed / game104.2105.6103.0
Point differential-0.5+0.9-1.7
Avg total208.0212.0204.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%30%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (21)60% (5)69% (16)
Overtime %7%11%3%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW44%
HomeWWWWL48%
AwayWWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572730
Win %44%48%40%
Points / game101.5104.199.1
Allowed / game102.5102.3102.7
Point differential-1.0+1.9-3.6
Avg total203.9206.4201.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%26%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)33% (6)56% (9)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5748984%118.3105.5+12.8
2 San Antonio Spurs56431377%106.798.4+8.4
3 Cleveland Cavaliers56401671%111.5105.9+5.6
4 Houston Rockets59411869%114.7107.8+6.8
5 Boston Celtics57372065%108.4105.6+2.8
6 Utah Jazz57352261%100.295.7+4.5
7 Los Angeles Clippers57352261%108.0104.5+3.6
8 Washington Wizards56342261%108.1105.5+2.6
9 Toronto Raptors57332458%108.5104.3+4.1
10 Memphis Grizzlies59342558%100.799.6+1.1
11 Atlanta Hawks56322457%103.8104.2-0.5
12 Oklahoma City Thunder57322556%105.9106.0-0.1
13 Indiana Pacers58302852%105.4106.2-0.7
14 Chicago Bulls57282949%102.1102.8-0.7
15 Detroit Pistons58283048%101.5101.8-0.3
16 Milwaukee Bucks55253045%105.7105.4+0.3
17 Miami Heat57253244%101.5102.5-1.0
18 Denver Nuggets57253244%110.5111.9-1.4
19 Sacramento Kings58253343%103.2105.6-2.4
20 Charlotte Hornets57243342%104.5104.4+0.1
21 Portland Trail Blazers57243342%107.4110.0-2.6
22 New York Knicks58233540%106.0109.4-3.3
23 New Orleans Pelicans58233540%103.3106.9-3.6
24 Dallas Mavericks56223439%98.1100.4-2.3
25 Minnesota Timberwolves57223539%104.8105.7-0.9
26 Philadelphia 76ers57223539%101.5106.9-5.4
27 Orlando Magic59213836%99.6106.2-6.6
28 Los Angeles Lakers58193933%104.5110.7-6.3
29 Phoenix Suns57183932%106.9112.4-5.5
30 Brooklyn Nets5694716%105.5114.2-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks2425172490
Miami Heat25382421108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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