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Avellino vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 96-97 (OT)
26-19 24-19 13-25 24-24 9-10
Position#9
Record14-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game80.3
Avellino
Italy
vs
Trieste 🏆
Italy
Position#10
Record13-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game83.1
ItalyLega ARound 25
Domestic2018-19
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#31
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
H30/01
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
66-88
66
88
-22
89avg 109
A03/02
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
no box
A05/02
Champions League
Brescia
#12
W
79-67
79
67
+12
118avg 109
H10/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#2
L
92-95
92
95
-3
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#6
L
79-97
79
97
-18
102avg 109
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
76-71
76
71
+5
78avg 109
H10/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
91-59
91
59
+32
127avg 109
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
65-76
65
76
-11
52avg 109
A24/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
89-91
89
91
-2
82avg 109
A31/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
15-19
10-27
20-19
28-27
10-26
18-17
10-18
26-23
24-24
15-15
25-28
18-26
22-15
21-8
18-18
12-28
28-19
40-22
12-26
20-29
21-28
22-18
16-22
15-27
15-26
24-9
22-9
24-17
19-14
29-15
19-13
17-22
15-19
18-21
15-14
28-8
20-32
23-25
18-26
163.8Avg total
80.7Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.580.3160.8+0.258%
Season at home (12)82.576.1158.6+6.475%
Season away (12)78.484.5162.9-6.142%
Last 10 (10)80.783.1163.8-2.430%
Last 5 (5)80.078.8158.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.681.1154.7-7.633%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.682.6158.2-7.046%
vs Weaker (7)87.677.0164.6+10.686%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
73-77
73
77
-4
75avg 118
H13/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
74-82
74
82
-8
102avg 118
A20/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
115-110 OT
115
110
+5
no box
H27/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
85-77
85
77
+8
131avg 118
A03/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
96-104
96
104
-8
126avg 118
H10/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-77
90
77
+13
no box
A03/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
105-68
105
68
+37
137avg 118
H09/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
no box
A17/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
88-66
88
66
+22
84avg 118
A24/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
97-80
97
80
+17
94avg 118
H31/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
22-13
21-16
17-25
13-17
14-18
18-30
29-17
30-27
25-23
22-27
24-24
32-15
20-22
19-16
14-24
24-27
26-34
19-24
27-19
24-22
16-14
25-25
25-16
16-21
30-8
29-20
30-19
25-26
14-14
27-21
9-21
24-22
24-16
23-13
17-15
35-24
26-13
22-19
14-24
172.1Avg total
89.8Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.583.1170.5+4.454%
Season at home (12)94.084.0178.0+10.067%
Season away (12)80.982.2163.1-1.242%
Last 10 (10)89.882.3172.1+7.560%
Last 5 (5)91.074.6165.6+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.884.8169.6+0.027%
vs Weaker (19)86.377.3163.6+9.084%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
AvellinoTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#31
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/01
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A03/02
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A05/02
Champions League
Brescia
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#6
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H10/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A24/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A31/03
Lega A
84.5Avg total
40.0Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.181.7-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.241.380.5-2.138%-
Last 30 away (14)40.242.983.1-2.729%-
Last 10 (10)40.044.584.5-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.844.483.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.642.280.8-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.944.282.2-6.323%-
vs Weaker (7)44.337.181.4+7.157%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H13/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A20/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H27/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A03/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H10/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H09/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A17/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
61-37
61
37
+24
H31/03
Lega A
85.2Avg total
45.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.581.7+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.040.484.4+3.650%-
Last 30 away (14)40.338.478.7+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)45.339.985.2+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)46.836.082.8+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.242.584.6-0.327%-
vs Weaker (19)42.337.780.1+4.663%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.1
48.8%
51.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.0
30.3%
35.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.415.0
77.3%
72.3%15.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.622.3
54.9%
51.0%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.9
38.5%
35.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.012.7
74.7%
72.3%12.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
LLWWLLWLLL
Trieste
WWLWWLWWLL
#9
League position
#10
-2.4
Net rating
+8.2
100.6
Offensive rating
116.8
103.0
Defensive rating
108.6
47.4%
Effective FG%
56.0%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.4%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.3%
3-point %
38.5%
66.7%
Assist %
63.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 116.8Defence103.0 · 108.6Shooting47.4% · 56.0%3-point %30.3% · 38.5%Ball care17.0% · 18.4%Off. rebounds26.1% · 33.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Avellino   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Avellino wins
1
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
16/12/18Trieste v Avellino110-64
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/19APesaro89-91
24/03/19AVenezia65-76
17/03/19HReggiana91-59
10/03/19HVarese76-71
03/03/19ATrento79-97
15/02/19HBrindisi92-95
10/02/19HBrescia79-67
05/02/19AVentspils102-106 OT
03/02/19AVirtus Bologna66-88
30/01/19HLe Mans68-81
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/19HCremona97-80
24/03/19ACantu88-66
17/03/19ATrento75-82
09/03/19HPesaro105-68
03/03/19APistoia90-77
10/02/19HVarese96-104
03/02/19ABrescia85-77
27/01/19HTorino115-110 OT
20/01/19AVirtus Bologna74-82
13/01/19HOlimpia Milano73-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL58%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%75%42%
Points / game80.582.578.4
Allowed / game80.376.184.5
Point differential+0.2+6.4-6.1
Avg total160.8158.6162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW54%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLWWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %54%67%42%
Points / game87.594.080.9
Allowed / game83.184.082.2
Point differential+4.4+10.0-1.2
Avg total170.5178.0163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2519676%86.978.8+8.0
2 Venezia2517868%81.473.6+7.7
3 Cremona2516964%82.778.1+4.6
4 Brindisi25151060%81.779.0+2.7
5 Avellino24141058%80.580.3+0.2
6 Varese25141156%79.075.1+3.9
7 Trento25141156%79.781.3-1.6
8 Trieste24131154%87.583.1+4.4
9 Sassari25131252%85.381.5+3.8
10 Cantu25131252%84.086.6-2.6
11 Brescia25121348%79.880.5-0.6
12 Virtus Bologna25121348%80.281.4-1.2
13 Torino2571828%82.986.9-4.0
14 Reggiana2571828%77.682.8-5.2
15 Pesaro2571828%80.292.4-12.2
16 Pistoia2561924%75.483.1-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Avellino26241324996
Trieste191925241097
← all games of the day
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