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Sassari vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 105-84
23-30 24-18 32-17 26-19
Position#4
Record13-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game81.5
Sassari 🏆
Italy
vs
Avellino
Italy
Position#9
Record14-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game81.0
ItalyLega ARound 26
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Sassari v Avellino
14 Apr 2019
SAS105
AVE84
02 Jan 2018
SAS88
AVE95
20 Nov 2016
SAS70
AVE75
28 Feb 2016
SAS94
AVE95
24 Nov 2014
SAS81
AVE75
24 Nov 2013
SAS78
AVE75
11 Nov 2012
SAS102
AVE81
25 Feb 2012
SAS87
AVE73
02 Jan 2011
SAS71
AVE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Leiden
#22
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
L
90-98
90
98
-8
113avg 129
A10/03
Lega A
Leiden
#22
W
94-68
94
68
+26
no box
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Pistoia
#16
W
90-82 OT
90
82
+8
no box
A17/03
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#13
W
87-68
87
68
+19
no box
A20/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
88-70
88
70
+18
92avg 129
H24/03
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#13
L
83-83
83
83
+0
no box
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
90-72
90
72
+18
87avg 129
H31/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
93-79
93
79
+14
221avg 129
A07/04
Lega A
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A10/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
21-26
34-26
21-28
23-27
15-27
23-21
29-23
25-22
17-17
20-12
32-17
21-23
18-23
17-13
22-19
16-14
20-15
30-23
21-16
21-16
21-14
20-15
26-25
12-23
16-29
22-17
33-14
21-16
17-22
26-19
26-15
26-20
21-19
19-20
27-20
22-25
26-22
20-25
26-17
170.8Avg total
90.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.381.5166.8+3.852%
Season at home (12)86.879.5166.2+7.258%
Season away (13)83.983.4167.3+0.546%
Last 10 (10)90.680.2170.8+10.480%
Last 5 (5)89.678.6168.2+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)81.084.4165.4-3.425%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.279.6169.8+10.681%
This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
66-88
66
88
-22
89avg 109
A03/02
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
no box
A05/02
Champions League
Brescia
#12
W
79-67
79
67
+12
118avg 109
H10/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#2
L
92-95
92
95
-3
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#6
L
79-97
79
97
-18
102avg 109
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
76-71
76
71
+5
78avg 109
H10/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
91-59
91
59
+32
127avg 109
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
65-76
65
76
-11
52avg 109
A24/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
89-91
89
91
-2
82avg 109
A31/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
96-97 OT
96
97
-1
no box
H09/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
10-26
18-17
10-18
26-23
24-24
15-15
25-28
18-26
22-15
21-8
18-18
12-28
28-19
40-22
12-26
20-29
21-28
22-18
16-22
15-27
15-26
24-9
22-9
24-17
19-14
29-15
19-13
17-22
15-19
18-21
15-14
28-8
20-32
23-25
18-26
26-19
24-19
13-25
24-24
168.2Avg total
83.5Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.181.0162.0+0.156%
Season at home (13)83.577.7161.2+5.869%
Season away (12)78.484.5162.9-6.142%
Last 10 (10)83.584.7168.2-1.230%
Last 5 (5)83.478.8162.2+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)70.479.4149.8-9.025%
vs Similar (14)77.183.6160.7-6.643%
vs Weaker (7)87.677.0164.6+10.686%
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +6.9+6.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +6.9+6.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
SassariAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#22
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A10/03
Lega A
Leiden
#22
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Pistoia
#16
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#13
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A20/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H24/03
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#13
L
28-52
28
52
-24
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H31/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A07/04
Lega A
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A10/04
FIBA Europe Cup
81.3Avg total
40.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.841.884.7+1.055%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.941.084.9+2.954%-
Last 30 away (16)41.942.584.4-0.656%-
Last 10 (10)40.041.381.3-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.281.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)42.746.389.0-3.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.039.682.6+3.367%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A03/02
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A05/02
Champions League
Brescia
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#6
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H10/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A24/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A31/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H09/04
Lega A
86.0Avg total
41.2Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.681.0-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.640.479.1-1.838%-
Last 30 away (14)40.242.983.1-2.729%-
Last 10 (10)41.244.886.0-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.681.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.041.077.0-5.025%-
vs Similar (14)38.843.882.6-5.029%-
vs Weaker (7)44.337.181.4+7.157%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.6
55.4%
51.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.5
37.0%
35.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.216.4
77.4%
72.3%16.4
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.1
48.8%
51.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.0
30.3%
35.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.415.0
77.3%
72.3%15.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
WWWLWWWWLW
Avellino
LLLWWLLWLL
#4
League position
#9
+7.4
Net rating
-2.4
119.3
Offensive rating
100.6
111.9
Defensive rating
103.0
55.4%
Effective FG%
47.4%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
14.4%
Turnover %
17.0%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.0%
3-point %
30.3%
60.5%
Assist %
66.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence119.3 · 100.6Defence111.9 · 103.0Shooting55.4% · 47.4%3-point %37.0% · 30.3%Ball care14.4% · 17.0%Off. rebounds32.6% · 26.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Sassari   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sassari wins
5
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
23/12/18Avellino v Sassari86-78
29/04/18Avellino v Sassari67-80
02/01/18Sassari v Avellino88-95 OT
18/03/17Avellino v Sassari77-65
17/02/17Avellino v Sassari68-69
20/11/16Sassari v Avellino70-75
28/02/16Sassari v Avellino94-95
09/11/15Avellino v Sassari88-90
15/03/15Avellino v Sassari70-83
24/11/14Sassari v Avellino81-75
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/19AHapoel Holon94-89
07/04/19AOlimpia Milano93-79
31/03/19HVirtus Bologna90-72
27/03/19HKarsiyaka83-83
24/03/19HTrento88-70
20/03/19AKarsiyaka87-68
17/03/19APistoia90-82 OT
13/03/19HLeiden94-68
10/03/19AVenezia90-98
06/03/19ALeiden97-93
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/19HTrieste96-97 OT
31/03/19APesaro89-91
24/03/19AVenezia65-76
17/03/19HReggiana91-59
10/03/19HVarese76-71
03/03/19ATrento79-97
15/02/19HBrindisi92-95
10/02/19HBrescia79-67
05/02/19AVentspils102-106 OT
03/02/19AVirtus Bologna66-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW52%
HomeWLLWW58%
AwayLLLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %52%58%46%
Points / game85.386.883.9
Allowed / game81.579.583.4
Point differential+3.8+7.2+0.5
Avg total166.8166.2167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)20% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %12%17%8%
Avellino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeLWWWL69%
AwayLLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %56%69%42%
Points / game81.183.578.4
Allowed / game81.077.784.5
Point differential+0.1+5.8-6.1
Avg total162.0161.2162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%31%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)80% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2620677%87.279.0+8.1
2 Venezia2517868%81.473.6+7.7
3 Cremona2516964%82.778.1+4.6
4 Brindisi25151060%81.779.0+2.7
5 Trieste25141156%87.883.6+4.2
6 Avellino25141156%81.181.0+0.1
7 Trento25141156%79.781.3-1.6
8 Varese26141254%79.275.8+3.4
9 Sassari25131252%85.381.5+3.8
10 Cantu25131252%84.086.6-2.6
11 Brescia25121348%79.880.5-0.6
12 Virtus Bologna25121348%80.281.4-1.2
13 Torino2571828%82.986.9-4.0
14 Reggiana2571828%77.682.8-5.2
15 Pesaro2571828%80.292.4-12.2
16 Pistoia2561924%75.483.1-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari23243226105
Avellino3018171984
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