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Avellino vs Capo d'Orlando Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 94-65
30-17 17-15 24-20 23-13
Position#3
Record8-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#8
Record7-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game75.5
ItalyLega ARound 13
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Avellino v Capo d'Orlando
27 Dec 2017
AVE97
KDO69
27 Dec 2016
AVE94
KDO65
24 Apr 2016
AVE85
KDO69
01 Mar 2015
AVE65
KDO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capo d'Orlando winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A20/11
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H23/11
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H27/11
Lega A
Juventus
#17
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A29/11
Champions League
Venezia
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H04/12
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H07/12
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A12/12
Lega A
Strasbourg
#9
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A14/12
Champions League
Cremona
#16
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A18/12
Lega A
Cibona
#37
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H21/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
11-25
18-14
22-15
17-27
16-11
21-17
21-21
20-15
20-15
16-19
20-24
21-24
18-19
19-22
27-10
14-21
21-13
14-23
29-23
21-15
16-18
22-10
26-18
17-28
20-10
20-9
17-28
12-15
8-21
17-14
20-13
16-21
19-18
26-16
25-18
25-17
16-12
23-21
11-7
146.9Avg total
76.6Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.275.4154.7+3.867%
Season at home (6)82.778.0160.7+4.767%
Season away (6)75.872.8148.7+3.067%
Last 10 (10)76.670.3146.9+6.360%
Last 5 (5)75.465.8141.2+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.583.0156.5-9.50%
vs Similar (14)78.775.1153.8+3.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)79.871.7151.5+8.285%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H17/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A23/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
96-53
96
53
+43
H30/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
A05/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H13/11
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A20/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H27/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A05/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H11/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H17/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
25-13
16-17
26-21
25-31
14-14
15-16
22-24
25-17
23-14
21-13
27-9
25-18
18-24
16-20
19-16
21-18
10-10
25-20
23-28
19-25
18-22
22-11
27-33
21-19
18-15
18-13
19-24
20-17
14-27
14-17
22-19
19-22
22-10
21-22
17-10
13-17
16-24
19-13
24-11
156.5Avg total
81.4Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.075.5154.5+3.558%
Season at home (7)79.668.1147.7+11.486%
Season away (5)78.285.8164.0-7.620%
Last 10 (10)81.475.1156.5+6.370%
Last 5 (5)76.674.2150.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)66.877.2144.0-10.315%
vs Similar (17)78.173.4151.5+4.771%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
AvellinoCapo d'Orlando
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A20/11
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/11
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H27/11
Lega A
Juventus
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A29/11
Champions League
Venezia
#1
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H04/12
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H07/12
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A12/12
Lega A
Strasbourg
#9
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A14/12
Champions League
Cremona
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A18/12
Lega A
Cibona
#37
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H21/12
Champions League
71.3Avg total
35.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.337.074.3+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.836.174.8+2.756%-
Last 30 away (14)35.638.173.6-2.521%-
Last 10 (10)35.236.171.3-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.035.069.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.541.074.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (14)35.837.072.8-1.229%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.236.175.3+3.262%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H17/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A23/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H30/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A05/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H13/11
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A20/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A05/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H11/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H17/12
Lega A
77.2Avg total
38.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.437.274.6+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.433.570.9+3.973%-
Last 30 away (15)37.440.978.3-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.377.2+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)36.039.675.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.537.072.5-1.546%-
vs Similar (17)38.837.476.2+1.465%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.6
52.5%
51.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.7
35.5%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.413.1
67.5%
74.0%13.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.0
52.1%
51.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.6
36.2%
35.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.913.9
82.2%
74.0%13.9
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WWLLWLWWLW
Capo d'Orlando
WWLWLWWWLW
#3
League position
#8
+6.7
Net rating
+4.3
108.0
Offensive rating
103.7
101.2
Defensive rating
99.4
52.8%
Effective FG%
52.9%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.7%
Turnover %
21.0%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.5%
3-point %
36.2%
61.1%
Assist %
62.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 103.7Defence101.2 · 99.4Shooting52.8% · 52.9%3-point %35.5% · 36.2%Ball care17.7% · 21.0%Off. rebounds31.2% · 29.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Avellino   ■ Capo d'Orlando
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Avellino wins
1
Capo d'Orlando wins
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/16HCibona75-57
18/12/16ACremona86-73
14/12/16AStrasbourg57-63
12/12/16ACantu74-75
07/12/16HMega Bemax85-61
04/12/16HVenezia78-80
29/11/16AJuventus85-75
27/11/16HBrindisi76-73
23/11/16HTenerife75-76
20/11/16ASassari75-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/16HSassari72-65
11/12/16HPistoia79-64
05/12/16AReggiana70-80
27/11/16HVarese76-71
20/11/16ACaserta86-91
13/11/16HCremona79-76
05/11/16ABrescia90-89 OT
30/10/16HCantu96-53
23/10/16ATrento76-85
17/10/16HTorino90-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game79.282.775.8
Allowed / game75.478.072.8
Point differential+3.8+4.7+3.0
Avg total154.7160.7148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW58%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%86%20%
Points / game79.079.678.2
Allowed / game75.568.185.8
Point differential+3.5+11.4-7.6
Avg total154.5147.7164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1211192%89.678.4+11.2
2 Venezia1310377%81.878.1+3.8
3 Avellino128467%79.275.4+3.8
4 Reggiana128467%82.280.2+2.1
5 Capo d'Orlando127558%79.075.5+3.5
6 Caserta127558%83.283.2+0.1
7 Brindisi126650%82.581.3+1.2
8 Torino126650%82.983.6-0.7
9 Trento125742%75.875.8+0.0
10 Sassari125742%75.275.5-0.3
11 Brescia125742%80.581.6-1.1
12 Pistoia125742%76.379.4-3.1
13 Pesaro124833%76.179.5-3.4
14 Cantu124833%78.384.2-5.8
15 Varese134931%75.880.1-4.3
16 Cremona1221017%75.982.8-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino3017242394
Capo d'Orlando1715201365
← all games of the day
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